Study Score Prediction Question Thread

[brenden]

Nisha, your English is difficult because whilst the median is 31 it's hard to tell if a lot of the data will be at the high end. I put you at 36-40 I think. I mean, I'd assume the 17 people who beat you are pretty damn good so could be higher than 40 even. I'm sure you understand the trouble.
Methods - 40
Spesh 37[?]
Chem - 38
Physics -35-36

What is required for a 40? In terms of marks [English]

For a 40 you'd be aiming for an 8, 8 and a 9, and hoping that an amount equivalent to your rank also get an A+ in the exam.

If I drop a mark, is there still a chance for a 50? This is a legitmate question since the person who achieved a 50 last year at my school dropped 2 marks, on his statement of results on Ex 2.

Still a chance for a 50. I think it would depend on the grad year also. Last year, he might have got 100% for his SAC GA and 100% on his exam 1. If you dropped a mark, you might have -1 mark on all three.
As for your prediction it's extremely variable. You could be anyway from 38-50. It looks like you'll be very close to 50 being a Spesh student etc.

Spesh -> It's possible. I've been told that Spesh can be variable, Bcubed says he got an A+ B+ A+ = 41, and a guy he knew got A+ A+ A and got 39. I don't think it would get 40 because of the exam 2 weighting.

Chem -> An A on the exam could net you a 35-37, depends on how your cohort goes. With an A it should be a pretty safe 35 at least.

Physics -> You'd want a high A+ for 45-48. Certainly a chance of high 40s, depends on how high your mid year was (I'll assume pretty high because of your SACs. A Mid A+ could net 44.

[Unknown_one]

Thanks Brendan. 
Sorry for the trouble mate. =)

[Shenz0r]

I'm curious to what SS these would translate to.

English:
Unit 3 & 4 SACs: Very high A+ average in a strong cohort (mean was 37.8 )
Exam: 54/60

Methods:
SACs: A average in a strong cohort (mean was 36.5)
Exam 1: Mid A+
Exam 2: Mid A+

Biology:
SACs: Low A+ average in a very strong cohort (mean was 39.2)
Exam 1: Low A+
Exam 2: Mid A+

Chemistry:
SACs: High A+ average in a strong cohort (mean was 37.2)
Exam 1: Low A+
Exam 2: Mid A+

French:
Unit 3 & 4 SACs: B+ average in mid-strong cohort (mean of 34)
Exam: B+ or A

Cheers mate!

[StumbleBum]

I'm curious to what SS these would translate to.

English:
Unit 3 & 4 SACs: Very high A+ average in a strong cohort (mean was 37.8 )
Exam: 54/60
45+

Methods:
SACs: A average in a strong cohort (mean was 36.5)
Exam 1: Mid A+
Exam 2: Mid A+
42

Biology:
SACs: Low A+ average in a very strong cohort (mean was 39.2)
Exam 1: Low A+
Exam 2: Mid A+
41

Chemistry:
SACs: High A+ average in a strong cohort (mean was 37.2)
Exam 1: Low A+
Exam 2: Mid A+
42

French:
Unit 3 & 4 SACs: B+ average in mid-strong cohort (mean of 34)
Exam: B+ or A
36

Cheers mate!

[brenden]

Thanks Brendan. 
Sorry for the trouble mate. =)

No trouble man, you're welcome

I disagree quite slightly with SB so, here's mine. [+1 SB]

I'm curious to what SS these would translate to.

English:
Unit 3 & 4 SACs: Very high A+ average in a strong cohort (mean was 37.8 )
Exam: 54/60
I  think this should net 47; your scaled SACs are going to be pretty much full and iirc 56 netted 50 in 2011
Methods:
SACs: A average in a strong cohort (mean was 36.5)
Exam 1: Mid A+
Exam 2: Mid A+
42 I think is on the money. I'm not sure on your ranking but if SACs ended up a High A+ or either of the exams moved up just a tad it'd go to 43.
Biology:
SACs: Low A+ average in a very strong cohort (mean was 39.2)
Exam 1: Low A+
Exam 2: Mid A+
I'd put you closer to 43-44 on the assumption of a strong GA 2.
Chemistry:
SACs: High A+ average in a strong cohort (mean was 37.2)
Exam 1: Low A+
Exam 2: Mid A+
Same as Bio
French:
Unit 3 & 4 SACs: B+ average in mid-strong cohort (mean of 34)
Exam: B+ or A
I think 35 in 2011. The reason for my minimal difference -> 2011's exam(s) had a mean of 273.6, an A cutoff of 314. We'll say you get 315. Standard Dev. = 59.9, so I'd put that at .7 SDs away from the mean. I assume an A grade for scaled SACs so (43-37.2)/6.7 = .71 SDs from the mean. Repeat for U4 with the different data, .6 away. If a 35 is .7 away (5/7) then I put you there, -closer to being less- than rather than more than with a lower exam performance. Then again, you might end up with A+ SAC  GAs
Cheers mate!

Aiming to accurate because I'm assuming every increment means something to you (med cutoffs etc etc)
I'll add these later, gonna go write 6 essays with laseredd

[luke_rulz94]

English:
Average in an average cohort SAC's.
Exam: 44/60

Accounting:
Rank 1 in SAC's, 95%+ average, weak cohort though.
Exam 1: High A
Exam 2: A+

Physics:
Average in a decent cohort.
Exam 1: C
Exam 2: A

Methods:
Just above average in a mediocre cohort.
Exam 1 : 34/40
Exam 2 : 66/80

Spesh:
Above average in a class of 10. Cohort is above average.
Exam 1: 30/40
Exam 2: 60/80

[paulsterio]

Chinese SLA
GA 1: Low A+  GA 2: Low A+  GA 3: Low A+  --> 35 [could be wrong]

Nah man, defs not right - three A+'s no matter how low, mean that you're in the top 10% of the cohort, so even if you were the bottom in that 10% you'd be looking at a 38. So for three LOW A+'s, I'd say 38 - 40.

What is required for a 40? In terms of marks [English]

For a 40 you'd be aiming for an 8, 8 and a 9, and hoping that an amount equivalent to your rank also get an A+ in the exam.

Hmm, again, 50/60 (which is what an 8, 8, 9 is) with (I'm assuming) high A+'s in SACs will net far above a 40. Remember that a 40 is really three low-mid A+'s. I managed to get 42 with a 45/60 exam mark (9, 8.5, 5) but with very high SACs.

[AllAboutTheLGs]

ESL: 183/200 SACs at a medium-high cohort, 14/90 students scored a 40+ last year, 50-54/60 for the exam
Methods: 81/100 SACs in a very strong cohort, will scale to around 95-99 (friends scaled from 80 to 98 last year) mid-low A+ for exam 2, high A+ exam 1
Chemistry: 71/75 mid year, about medium/high sacs in strong cohort. mid/high A+ exam 2
Spesh: 74/100 SACs in a pretty strong cohort I'd assume.. with low/mid A's in both exams?
Thank you in advance for doing this

[brenden]

Chinese SLA
GA 1: Low A+  GA 2: Low A+  GA 3: Low A+  --> 35 [could be wrong]

Nah man, defs not right - three A+'s no matter how low, mean that you're in the top 10% of the cohort, so even if you were the bottom in that 10% you'd be looking at a 38. So for three LOW A+'s, I'd say 38 - 40.

What is required for a 40? In terms of marks [English]

For a 40 you'd be aiming for an 8, 8 and a 9, and hoping that an amount equivalent to your rank also get an A+ in the exam.

Hmm, again, 50/60 (which is what an 8, 8, 9 is) with (I'm assuming) high A+'s in SACs will net far above a 40. Remember that a 40 is really three low-mid A+'s. I managed to get 42 with a 45/60 exam mark (9, 8.5, 5) but with very high SACs.

http://www.vcaa.vic.edu.au/Documents/statistics/section2/vce_lote_chinese_2nd_lang_adv_ga11.pdf
The GA medians are B+, A, B+. For GA 1, 2 and 3 respectively 22%, 23% and 13% got an A+. 48/50 or above nets you an A+ for SACs.. Would three low A+s really net a 40?

On English, like you said above, three low A+s could net 38, so I thought aiming for two eights and a nine were appropriate.


-> Sorry for the delay Luke, I've been inactive, preparing for my Theatre monologue (done today). I'll work out whatever you've posted now. Likewise for Choong.

[paulsterio]

http://www.vcaa.vic.edu.au/Documents/statistics/section2/vce_lote_chinese_2nd_lang_adv_ga11.pdf
The GA medians are B+, A, B+. For GA 1, 2 and 3 respectively 22%, 23% and 13% got an A+. 48/50 or above nets you an A+ for SACs.. Would three low A+s really net a 40?

Oh wow, 22%, 23% and 13% got an A+? Ah right, I see the issue there, guess you're right 35 would be a fair prediction in that case. I thought Spesh was really competitive!
(19%, 10%, 9% A+'s respectively)

[spectroscopy]

would someone be kind enough to give a prediction for my brother in specialist please,

sacs: ranked somewhere between first and fifth at a select entry school, strong cohort

exam 1: low a+

exam 2: mid a+

[brenden]

http://www.vcaa.vic.edu.au/Documents/statistics/section2/vce_lote_chinese_2nd_lang_adv_ga11.pdf
The GA medians are B+, A, B+. For GA 1, 2 and 3 respectively 22%, 23% and 13% got an A+. 48/50 or above nets you an A+ for SACs.. Would three low A+s really net a 40?

Oh wow, 22%, 23% and 13% got an A+? Ah right, I see the issue there, guess you're right 35 would be a fair prediction in that case. I thought Spesh was really competitive!
(19%, 10%, 9% A+'s respectively)

Yeah TT reckons it's pretty jibbed with FL students doing SL etc etc

[aaackk]

just wondering, doesnt this seem a bit too high?

Psychology
GA 1: 152/180 GA 2: 190/200 GA 3: 162/180  --> 46


Could you please predict these for some of my friends:

Psychology
GA1: 163/180  GA2: 190/200 (scaled)  GA3: 163/180
GA1: 158/180  GA2: 200/200 (scaled)  GA3: 168/180

thanks!

[StumbleBum]

just wondering, doesnt this seem a bit too high?

Psychology
GA 1: 152/180 GA 2: 190/200 GA 3: 162/180  --> 46
Yes, I would say 42

Could you please predict these for some of my friends:

Psychology
GA1: 163/180  GA2: 190/200 (scaled)  GA3: 163/180
GA1: 158/180  GA2: 200/200 (scaled)  GA3: 168/180
43
44

thanks!

[cassettekid]

Media:
SACS: High A+
SAT/Folio: 34/35
Exam: I'm aiming/hoping to only lose 1 or 2 marks but for this scenario let's say 120/130