How to Predict your own Study Score - A Guide

[Obnoxious]

I calculated all my study scores and gave me an ATAR of 87.50. Don't know if I should feel happy or sceptical about this.

[MightyBeh]

I calculated all my study scores and gave me an ATAR of 87.50. Don't know if I should feel happy or sceptical about this.

Nothing wrong with healthy scepticism. Also nothing wrong with being happy. Probably best to be both and do your best with your remaining SACs and the exams, just to be sure.

[frussell]

If anybody did this method and is worried they got a really low study score, fear not. After my Psychology exam last year (before I got my results) I did this because I was stressing about what I would get.

After doing this and then triple checking it, it told me I would be getting a 32 raw score. Fortunately for myself, this method turned out to be completely incorrect as I got a 42.

[winged dragon 151]

I can't see the use of this. This is very outdated and basically should be deleted from the website. It's making other's feel like they can't get their dream study score. Please remove this outdated method

[MightyBeh]

I can't see the use of this. This is very outdated and basically should be deleted from the website. It's making other's feel like they can't get their dream study score. Please remove this outdated method

I just ran my actual GAs and Study Scores through this and got almost exact answers. Admittedly I don't think any of my study scores could be called anyone's dream scores (they're all reasonably unimpressive ) so I can't account for the extremes of the prediction accuracy but that being said, I wouldn't call it an outdated method given that it worked.

I generally stand by the philosophy that it's silly to waste time predicting your study scores when you could be using that time working toward getting a better one. If you're getting disappointing scores using this method, maybe you're being too hard yourself while estimating your GAs. Ultimately your predictions will never influence your actual study score, so if you feel it's useless there's no real benefit in doing it. Anyone can get a great score if they work hard enough.

[winged dragon 151]

The data we are supposed to run on is his researched data from 2012? No way man. I never trust out dated data as fluctuations and outliers skew any data set

[K888]

The data we are supposed to run on is his researched data from 2012? No way man. I never trust out dated data as fluctuations and outliers skew any data set

You can use the grade distributions from the most recent year to make calculations as accurate as possible

Obviously, nothing will be perfect - it is only a prediction, after all! This thread can be a great resource for the people that do wish to make predictions, though, and provides just one of the methods of study score prediction that are out there.
If someone does not receive a prediction that is as high as they desire, perhaps it can act as motivation to go and study more and work harder in order to realise their goal.

For what it's worth, I remember trying this back in 2015 for Revolutions, and it predicted the exact study score I achieved for it Once scores were released last year, I used the predictor and got very similar numbers to what my actual study scores were.

[IsaacM7]

hey guys im in the top half of my class in biology (certainly not the top 15), do i still have a chance in getting a 40+ study score in bio? if so, what mark would i need to achieve miraculously in the bio exam? (it said on a website my cohort is 330)

[nicker]

This method calculates the raw score right?

[Sine]

This method calculates the raw score right?

yup just the raw study score

[PhoenixxFire]

hey guys im in the top half of my class in biology (certainly not the top 15), do i still have a chance in getting a 40+ study score in bio? if so, what mark would i need to achieve miraculously in the bio exam? (it said on a website my cohort is 330)

It really depends on how good everyone who is beating you is and how well they do on the exam. If they do well on the exam and you do very well then it is possible. Either way doing well on the exam isn't going to hurt you.

[AhmadAkkad]

hey guys regarding this estimation, my cohort is made up of 3 student. If the three of us have the same marks but in the exam I preform reasonably well and the other 2 does bad or average. Does their performence affect my study score?

[HansFlemmenwerfer]

For English SACS, I got A+ for Unit 3 and 4. Both of units were 'Very High A+'; my lowest SAC was 93. I calculated my scores assuming I'd get 0 for the English exam, and I got 5 points (0.25*10+.25*10), which is 37+. Is this accurate?

[Quantum44]

For English SACS, I got A+ for Unit 3 and 4. Both of units were 'Very High A+'; my lowest SAC was 93. I calculated my scores assuming I'd get 0 for the English exam, and I got 5 points (0.25*10+.25*10), which is 37+. Is this accurate?

I think this system is a bit flawed in the way it works for lower study scores. According to your calculations, you would get 35+ for getting 50% overall in the coursework and exam, however in reality I think it would be much lower. In last years graded distribution, the average student received 64.7/100 for GA1, 68/100 for GA2 and 32.7/60 for GA3, giving a combined weighted percentage of 60.4%, meaning your hypothesised 50% would be significantly below the median, resulting in an <30 study score.