ATAR Notes: Forum

General Discussion => General Discussion Boards => News and Politics => Topic started by: thushan on May 14, 2014, 08:01:49 pm

Title: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 14, 2014, 08:01:49 pm
Your thoughts?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: pi on May 14, 2014, 08:10:02 pm
Well I'll be honest.


I don't think their ad this year (above) really stacks up to their previous ads (eg. below)


I mean, the characters nowadays just look weird. That's really all I have to say on the issue, I'm just really disappointed Australia is heading this way, it's a turn for the worst.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 14, 2014, 08:50:27 pm
Your thoughts?

(http://i.imgur.com/0pE1cOT.png)

(Just linked that from somewhere else, I have no particular love for the ALP either)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Thu Thu Train on May 14, 2014, 09:04:19 pm
Personally I support deregulation of uni fees. It will give those snobby private school kids a lesson in the value of education. And I'm so glad they're adding more funding for school chaplains as I believe every child who comes to Australia should receive an education in what is morally right and acceptable.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Hannibal on May 14, 2014, 09:14:42 pm
They are being hard on everyone, there's not many people really benefiting from it (Except defence/research). So in that respect it's decent, because a certain group isn't targeted.

Still,
PalmerUnitedAllTheWay  8)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 14, 2014, 09:18:32 pm
Research isn't benefiting from it. Very limited category of medical research is, which is really just a feel-good budget item. It's totally negated by the cuts to health.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: achre on May 14, 2014, 09:22:51 pm
(http://1-media-cdn.foolz.us/ffuuka/board/a/image/1346/51/1346512449841.jpg)
In truth, I have a bit more respect for the LNP. They've clearly prioritised the economy over their own popularity.

The only elements of the budget I've actually looked into are the deficit levy, fee deregulation and corporate tax cuts, and it all looks pretty sensible to me. Then again, I haven't chatted with anyone about it, so I don't want to risk saying things I can't defend. So I'll just be quiet.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 14, 2014, 09:42:32 pm
Well I'm definitely not an economic expert but I don't see how taxing petrol/healthcare and cutting education can be good for our economy. I mean, people will have less money to spend, and in twenty years we'll have a generation of spasticated carpenters. Can also see the lack of a disability scheme hurting the long-term economy, as if we could target certain disabilities early, we could prevent a compounded disadvantage such that we'd save money on those people as well as have the able to enter the workforce. Unemployment is expected to rise slightly and growth to slow. So as harsh as this budget is, is it even valuable for the economy?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 14, 2014, 09:43:15 pm
Quote from: Thu Thu Train
Personally I support deregulation of uni fees. It will give those snobby private school kids a lesson in the value of education. And I'm so glad they're adding more funding for school chaplains as I believe every child who comes to Australia should receive an education in what is morally right and acceptable.

Is this sarcastic lol?

Quote from: Hannibal
They are being hard on everyone, there's not many people really benefiting from it (Except defence/research). So in that respect it's decent, because a certain group isn't targeted.

Defence is not a benefit in my opinion - the opportunity cost is immense. As for medical research, well, it's great and all, but it's only there as a political ploy to make it harder for Labor and the Greens to reject the GP copayment. A GP copayment which is the thin end of the wedge towards a grossly injust, Americanised medical system, and which is in no way justified by the benefits to medical research. It is nice to finally see some security in Australian research, however.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Phy124 on May 14, 2014, 09:54:54 pm
someone please give me an unbiased tl;dr so I can appear informed on the issue kthxbai
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: achre on May 14, 2014, 10:04:07 pm
Fairly succint and unbiased* account.

*if you ignore the identification of "winners" and "losers"
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: MJRomeo81 on May 14, 2014, 10:36:58 pm
A harsh budget but necessary imo. We are living beyond our means.

People complaining about a $7 trip to the GP. Yet these people don't bat an eyelid when they purchase overpriced cigarettes and alcohol. I'd gladly give something back for my health.

I support the deregulation of uni fees. How does this prevent a child in the bush going to uni? HECS is still in place isn't it? Meaning you don't pay a cent until after you reach the income threshold. Perhaps now this will force unis to cut half of these mickey mouse degrees. 
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Thu Thu Train on May 14, 2014, 10:54:23 pm
A harsh budget but necessary imo. We are living beyond our means.
How are we living beyond our means?

Quote
People complaining about a $7 trip to the GP. Yet these people don't bat an eyelid when they purchase overpriced cigarettes and alcohol. I'd gladly give something back for my health.
A lot of people upset about the $7 fee to see the GP don't drink or smoke. A lot of them have chronic illnesses and $7 a visit adds up over time. Medicare is a publicly funded scheme so you already give something back for your health if you pay tax.

Quote
I support the deregulation of uni fees. How does this prevent a child in the bush going to uni? HECS is still in place isn't it? Meaning you don't pay a cent until after you reach the income threshold. Perhaps now this will force unis to cut half of these mickey mouse degrees. 
Why do you support this? What argument do you possibly have to show that deregulation is a good thing? They're now giving students a potentially crippling debt with interest that they'll have to make back when they start earning $50k/yr. Tell me why this is a good thing for future generations.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 14, 2014, 11:11:01 pm
People complaining about a $7 trip to the GP. Yet these people don't bat an eyelid when they purchase overpriced cigarettes and alcohol. I'd gladly give something back for my health.
This makes no sense whatsoever. How does having to pay for the GP have anything to do with purchasing cigarettes and alcohol? The people that will be most affected by the co-payment is families and individuals that are living pay check to pay check and have barely any disposable income. Are you trying to suggest that 'these people' are the ones purchasing cigarettes and alcohol and then complaining about having to pay for the GP? Because I can tell you that there are plenty of poor families that don't buy either of those goods and certainly don't want to, but will struggle with having to pay to go to the doctor anyway.

It's great that you have no problem giving 'something back for your health', but that doesn't mean that everyone should be compelled to do so. I have zero knowledge of your personal background and/or financial situation but it simply isn't feasible for a lot of people to have to pay for healthcare - which should be a universal right given we live under a system that intrinsically fosters health-based inequalities - no matter how much they would like to.

I support the deregulation of uni fees. How does this prevent a child in the bush going to uni? HECS is still in place isn't it? Meaning you don't pay a cent until after you reach the income threshold. Perhaps now this will force unis to cut half of these mickey mouse degrees. 
It prevents prospective students from going to university for a number of reasons.

Firstly, the amount that we're able to loan from the government is actually capped e.g. for law students it's capped at $95,000 which is an issue for full fee paying UoM JD students who are being charged $110,000 and hence have to already pay $15,000 upfront out of their own pocket to study that degree.

Secondly, with the move now of the government to introduce interest to the HELP program it means that students who go on to work in lower paying jobs will end up paying more for their degrees than those who earn more. Why? Simply because it's going to take them longer to pay back their loan, hence their interest accrues for longer.

Also just because students can take out loans and don't have to pay it back until they reach the income threshold (which has been lowered as well), it doesn't mean that universities should have the option to charge them exorbitant amounts to study. Not everyone is financially assured enough to be able to take out a huge debt that they don't know if they'll ever be able to pay back and might have hanging over them forever, particularly when there's no guarantee of future income. These aren't the only arguments against deregulation, but they're a couple of the larger ones.

Also I'm not sure how it gives universities any incentive to cut 'mickey mouse degrees'?

A harsh budget but necessary imo. We are living beyond our means.

The argument that we live beyond our means has been done to death for years now, so I'll just let an American Nobel-prize winning economist handle this for me: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/australia-you-dont-know-how-good-youve-got-it-20130901-2sytb.html

I wouldn't suggest that this budget is necessary by any means. We've been the financial envy of the world now for about 4 or 5 years, and we've just thrown that down the drain and become a laughing stock.

This isn't a budget with any economic benefit. It's a budget that seeks to establish a new Australian way of life and a new social hierarchy in this country, and ones that are pretty concerning at that.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 14, 2014, 11:20:32 pm
Fairly succint and unbiased* account.

*if you ignore the identification of "winners" and "losers"

The third row in that infograph makes me angry. Not so much for university students (although I still firmly believe that is bad policy) but for the fact that too much of the spending cuts is being siphoned away from the people who are most in need of government support.

I mean, under this budget, if you're a young person and you lose your job, you have to wait 6 months for unemployment benefits. If you are over 25 (so ineligible for Youth Allowance) then that's it. Done. Bad luck for you if you didn't come from an affluent middle class family who can afford to support you while you look for more work.

The deficit levy is temporary and it's taxed at a marginal rate, so 2 cents in every dollar earned over $180k. It's little more than a passing nuisance and most won't feel it at all. But once they're done paying that, the poors will keep paying for their share far into the future.

Don't worry though, we can use the money we saved to buy another $12 billion dollars worth of flying death machines we don't need. Hurrah for democracy!

Quote
Firstly, the amount that we're able to loan from the government is actually capped e.g. for law students it's capped at $95,000 which is an issue for full fee paying UoM JD students who are being charged $110,000 and hence have to already pay $15,000 upfront out of their own pocket to study that degree.

Correction on this count: they're removing the FEE-HELP cap from 2016:

http://studyassist.gov.au/sites/studyassist/helpfulresources/pages/studentoverview_budget2014
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 14, 2014, 11:23:21 pm
Well I'm definitely not an economic expert but I don't see how taxing petrol/healthcare and cutting education can be good for our economy. I mean, people will have less money to spend, and in twenty years we'll have a generation of spasticated carpenters. Can also see the lack of a disability scheme hurting the long-term economy, as if we could target certain disabilities early, we could prevent a compounded disadvantage such that we'd save money on those people as well as have the able to enter the workforce. Unemployment is expected to rise slightly and growth to slow. So as harsh as this budget is, is it even valuable for the economy?
The National Disability Insurance Scheme is something that this budget actually hasn't cut.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Chazef on May 15, 2014, 01:28:42 am
I read somewhere about currently enrolled students not being affected financially by fee deregulation, is this true? If so, does being on intermission and soon-to-be enrolled to another course count as being enrolled?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Chazef on May 15, 2014, 01:50:40 am
Just found this on the govt budget FAQ page:

Quote
Current Commonwealth supported undergraduate student who is transferring their studies

Lyndal is enrolled in a Bachelor of Arts course at a public university. She will finish her first year of study at the end of 2014. In 2015, she will transfer her studies to a Bachelor of Visual Arts (at another public university).

Lyndal will not be affected by the changes to student contributions in 2016. Her student contribution cannot exceed the specified maximum student contribution rate until she finishes her study or until the end of 2020, whichever comes first.

hopefully I'm going to be considered in the same light although I haven't finished any units in my original degree (engineering) unlike this Lyndal character who's going to have a year of uni behind her when transferring.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 15, 2014, 02:01:53 am
Spoiler
(http://1-media-cdn.foolz.us/ffuuka/board/a/image/1346/51/1346512449841.jpg)
In truth, I have a bit more respect for the LNP. They've clearly prioritised the economy over their own popularity.
I'm not sure how having an austere budget would be good for our economy or is in any way needed, let alone an austere budget that also attempts to raise revenues in really insensible ways (increasing the top marginal tax rate by 2%, but not closing tax loopholes and thereby allowing tax minimisation schemes to continue?)

Also to anyone here supporting dereg: Contrary to popular belief, our fees are already one of the highest in the world. They will now likely rise to the highest in the world for courses like medicine, law and commerce. The most conservative estimates speak of a 25% fee increase for most courses, and so you can imagine those ones will go up by even more. (A large part of that estimate would only be the part necessitated by the government cutting their end of the deal by 20%). HECS is nice, but a lot of OECD (developed) countries out there have far better schemes, especially now that indexation will be to 10 year government bonds rather than CPI.

Our economy is the world's envy in many ways. It definitely does not need an austere budget right now. It is true that deficits grew considerably under Labor, but our overall debt position is comfortable enough that we can let them slowly wind down each fiscal year, rather than enter into an emergency austere budget.

On the other hand though, the burden placed on university students here is amongst the heaviest developed world's heaviest. So to have an austere budget that we don't need, what we are doing is placing an even heavier burden on students ... right.

I read somewhere about currently enrolled students not being affected financially by fee deregulation, is this true? If so, does being on intermission and soon-to-be enrolled to another course count as being enrolled?
Yeah, you're safe. As long as you accepted and deferred before budget day.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: rosalie.brown on May 15, 2014, 06:56:45 am
Phy124,

What I recommend is that you have a detailed read through the website below:

http://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/what-the-federal-budget-2014-means-for-you/story-fn84fgcm-1226916437313

The website outlines what the 2014 Budget means for you and how much you will have to pay, depending on your circumstances.

In the words from The Age, these few sentences from their latest editorial on the Liberal Party (or more specifically, Tony Abbott), essentially summarise my opinion:

"Mr Abbott is about to find out just how difficult his task may be. He must seek forgiveness from the Australian people for breaking promises in delivering the first budget of his government.

This is a budget of cuts, with measures Mr Abbott pledged never to introduce when he sought and won the electorate's permission to form a government. To speak plainly, a new tax, temporary or otherwise, is a new tax. Less money for the national broadcaster is less money for the national broadcaster.

The decision to strip millions of dollars from health, education and indigenous affairs is a clear repudiation of the "no surprises" style of government Mr Abbott promised. Even his much-vaunted paid parental leave scheme is now confirmed as substantially reduced. Fuel costs will rise and a visit to the doctor will be more expensive."




Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Russ on May 15, 2014, 08:16:34 am
thoughts;

GP copay is fine. In practice it may very well turn out to be poorly devised but I don't object to the principle of it or the ideology. Nobody is entitled to free universal healthcare, it's just a thing we attempt to provide if possible. Many GPs will waive the fee for the disadvantaged, which is the reason they get a net $2 pay raise per patient. Making it $7 for each item means there are going to be some stupidly expensive visits if they include a script and pathology etc. Some number of new GP places though, which sort of makes it better?

Newstart changes are dumb and poorly thought out. No idea what they're really thinking there. Seems like a catch 22 almost.

Deregulation of university fees would likely not be the end of the world if they were keeping the HECS debt indexed rather than changing it. Free education would obviously be preferred but the changes to the payment system are worse than the changes to the fees.

Deficit levy is fine. Impact is relatively low looking at the numbers.

Cuts to health and education are just weird. GST going up huh?

No action on business tax or high income tax :<<

Those were my rambling thoughts
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: OutstandingInDivination on May 15, 2014, 08:25:25 am

Deregulation of university fees would likely not be the end of the world if they were keeping the HECS debt indexed rather than changing it. Free education would obviously be preferred but the changes to the payment system are worse than the changes to the fees.


are students who are currently enrolled in a course going to be affected by this? or is this only going to apply to students who are going t start uni next year or in 2016?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: magiconch on May 15, 2014, 09:16:42 am
Could someone please give some light/reassurance?  :( I deferred my five year Arts/Law course for next year. Will I be affected by these changes? Because if I am, I would simply start mid year this year :(
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Cappuccinos on May 15, 2014, 10:49:15 am
Could someone please give some light/reassurance?  :( I deferred my five year Arts/Law course for next year. Will I be affected by these changes? Because if I am, I would simply start mid year this year :(

"For students already studying, existing arrangements will remain until the end of 2020. This includes those who have commenced a course, or deferred commencement, on or before 13 May 2014" - http://www.budget.gov.au/2014-15/content/glossy/education/download/Budget_Glossy_education_web.pdf

So it sounds like your safe... I think.  The "From July 1 2016..." stuff is confusing me, I don't think it applies given that ^ statement but I don't want to give false hope hahaha
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 15, 2014, 10:53:00 am
I'd start mid year in case you fail a subject/don't want to overload.
(And wow ty charmanderp I actually just assumed that would be the first thing they cut)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 15, 2014, 11:26:08 am
GP copay is fine. In practice it may very well turn out to be poorly devised but I don't object to the principle of it or the ideology. Nobody is entitled to free universal healthcare, it's just a thing we attempt to provide if possible. Many GPs will waive the fee for the disadvantaged, which is the reason they get a net $2 pay raise per patient. Making it $7 for each item means there are going to be some stupidly expensive visits if they include a script and pathology etc. Some number of new GP places though, which sort of makes it better?
I might agree with you here Russ if it was an actual necessity that people pay the fee. We're adding the copay which adds about $1.2bn to the budget but spending $22bn on defence, $5.5bn on the PPL and another billion or so dollars on asylum detention. Surely these other things could have been adjusted before we compromised our very robust and enviable universal healthcare scheme? I just don't understand why the first things attacked have been health and education, which should arguably be the most important cornerstones of any society.

Deficit levy is fine. Impact is relatively low looking at the numbers.
I have no issue with the fiscal aspect of the deficit levy. The impact like you've said is truly minimal.

The thing is though that this levy is really nothing more than a PR scam - it's been introduced to perpetuate this myth that having a deficit/debt of 10% of GDP is a bad thing (which, as stated by multiple leading global economists, shouldn't be a concern at all for Australia) just so that the government can justify their cuts by laying blame upon the Rudd/Gillard years. They've taken the option of introducing a tax and claiming it's a necessity so that people will start to panic, but the amount that the tax will raise is so minimal that it really doesn't upset those it applies to i.e. the richer percentages of our population.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: magiconch on May 15, 2014, 01:29:10 pm
What a shame... If I start mid-year, I'd have to stay in the old structure (but have some leeway) but if I start next year, I would have to overload and make sure I pass all the units but I'd benefit from an updated structure and a "better" degree. Such hard decisions :(
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 15, 2014, 08:08:47 pm
I might agree with you here Russ if it was an actual necessity that people pay the fee. We're adding the copay which adds about $1.2bn to the budget but spending $22bn on defence, $5.5bn on the PPL and another billion or so dollars on asylum detention. Surely these other things could have been adjusted before we compromised our very robust and enviable universal healthcare scheme? I just don't understand why the first things attacked have been health and education, which should arguably be the most important cornerstones of any society.
What makes you say that $22bn on defence could be cut? We're also one of the only countries in the world without a PPL scheme (even though Abbott's one is shit), why shouldn't we spend money on it?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: simpak on May 15, 2014, 08:11:54 pm
"The FEE-HELP limit will be removed and there will be no limit on the amount of FEE-HELP and VET FEE‑HELP assistance that a student can access. This change will apply for all students from 1 January 2016."

WAIT - this is real thing?
Ie, when I apply for Med, I can definitely use my guaranteed entry card if necessary and not expect my mum to front me ~120k?
Or only if you're enrolling from 2016?  Like, could you start off in 2015 putting all your debt on HELP and then by 2016-2018 keep putting all of your debt on HELP because the start date for this new rule has passed?  Or do you still have a limit because you enrolled before Jan 1 2016...?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 15, 2014, 08:52:39 pm
"The FEE-HELP limit will be removed and there will be no limit on the amount of FEE-HELP and VET FEE‑HELP assistance that a student can access. This change will apply for all students from 1 January 2016."

WAIT - this is real thing?
Ie, when I apply for Med, I can definitely use my guaranteed entry card if necessary and not expect my mum to front me ~120k?
Or only if you're enrolling from 2016?  Like, could you start off in 2015 putting all your debt on HELP and then by 2016-2018 keep putting all of your debt on HELP because the start date for this new rule has passed?  Or do you still have a limit because you enrolled before Jan 1 2016...?

The changes to HELP are separate to the changes to uni fees and the CSP share. The cap on FEE-HELP will be removed on Jan 1 2016 for everybody, so you can go nuts.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: simpak on May 15, 2014, 09:26:42 pm
I wouldn't call them sep, I'm under the impression fee deregulation will still allow for there to be a massive increase in the fees (potentially) that could fuck you over regardless of whether you are CSP or full fee domestic.  Also they will begin charging interest on both HECS and HELP loans so I don't think they're separate.  Apparently even for students with an existing loan - my friend put 114k on her FEE-HELP for JD and that's going to have interest now so she's not verrrryyy happy.  I don't think anyone should be going nuts in light of the other changes!  They all seem pretty related to me, in terms of how they affect us overall...more debt, more opportunity for debt and taking a much longer time to pay off debt.

It's just interesting for me to be able to put that back on the table potentially...it was well and truly off the table as my widowed mother does not have 120k lying around.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: hobbitle on May 15, 2014, 09:34:11 pm
I didn't realise you wanted to do Med, simpak.  I know you sat the GAMSAT but thought you'd changed your mind.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 15, 2014, 09:42:10 pm
I wouldn't call them sep, I'm under the impression fee deregulation will still allow for there to be a massive increase in the fees (potentially) that could fuck you over regardless of whether you are CSP or full fee domestic.

I'm just talking about the HELP system, not the fees themselves. I mean that they two are separate in the sense that those on a CSP right now can stay in any CSP course until 2020 without being slugged with a fee increase, but the changes to the HELP system, including the indexation changes and removal on the FEE-HELP limit, will come into effect for all on 2016 regardless of a student's current status.

Have a good read of this document:

http://studyassist.gov.au/sites/studyassist/helpfulresources/pages/studentoverview_budget2014

In particular:

Quote from: studyassist.gov.au
Current Commonwealth supported students who finish their course and immediately commence in another course as a Commonwealth supported student (either at the undergraduate or postgraduate level), will also be eligible to study under existing arrangements for the duration of their study or until the 31st of December 2020 (whichever comes first).

If you're currently in an undergrad CSP and are offered a postgrad CSP, your fees will remain capped. It's anybody's guess what will happen to fees for non-CSP postgrad.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Sense on May 15, 2014, 09:42:17 pm
Does everyone know that Churches aren't taxed? They would be giving over 40 billion dollars back to Australia. But no, Abbot ignores all the free money flow to his buddies over at the church and takes it out of education and scientific research.

Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 15, 2014, 10:10:30 pm
What makes you say that $22bn on defence could be cut? We're also one of the only countries in the world without a PPL scheme (even though Abbott's one is shit), why shouldn't we spend money on it?
a) I'm not saying that we should cut the entire $22bn dollars, but cutting health and education before reducing (and in fact increasing) your military spending is absurd.

b) Again I'm not saying that we shouldn't have a PPL scheme and I think it's an important thing to have, but the Abbott one like you've said is awful, and disproportionately benefits the people who least need government assistance. When this is happening at the same time as cuts to health and education I have issues with the scheme, how much it costs and whether it's worth, as well as the government's agenda behind it.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 15, 2014, 10:24:34 pm
For anyone interested in the social effects upon education of the changes: http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/graduates-could-pay-up-to-120000-in-debt-hecs-architect-warns-20140514-zrctv.html
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: M_BONG on May 15, 2014, 10:25:32 pm
This is beautiful:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TrxAlX6aOy8
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 15, 2014, 10:42:33 pm
This is beautiful:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TrxAlX6aOy8
It really is about time, hey? Loved that speech.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: simpak on May 15, 2014, 11:08:11 pm
I didn't realise you wanted to do Med, simpak.  I know you sat the GAMSAT but thought you'd changed your mind.

I'm applying because I'm not 100% sure of what I'm doing and I want #noregrets at the end of the year...so not sure I would ever accept but yeah.  Needed to know whether to bother putting in the form for guaranteed entry or not...
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 16, 2014, 12:46:18 am
a) I'm not saying that we should cut the entire $22bn dollars, but cutting health and education before reducing (and in fact increasing) your military spending is absurd.

b) Again I'm not saying that we shouldn't have a PPL scheme and I think it's an important thing to have, but the Abbott one like you've said is awful, and disproportionately benefits the people who least need government assistance. When this is happening at the same time as cuts to health and education I have issues with the scheme, how much it costs and whether it's worth, as well as the government's agenda behind it.
a) I think that would depend on what the current funding levels are. I don't claim to be an expert on defence spending, but I'm not sure that ours is too high at all, especially considering it's mostly spent on salaries (counterbalancing the public service cuts? :P)

b) Yeah, the scrapping of the Labor funding arrangements with the states is awful. I highly doubt that it will stand, and obviously really hope that it won't.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 16, 2014, 12:53:46 am
y'all just jealous of my f-35 fighter jets
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 16, 2014, 09:41:12 am
Was having an argument with someone in my family (she's abt 60) about the budget and is pretty right wing - needless to say I got shot down :( This is what she has to say about the budget:

"This budget is absolutely necessary and the low income earners need to have benefits cut. Why is it that in this country a driver, a person who didn't study at school, earns more than a doctor or an engineer? <At Ford a driver earns ~$120,000 per annum> They need to drop labourers' wages - this country pays too much to these labourers. They should pay wages acccording to your level of education. After all, the people who are struggling for money are only doing so because they drink and smoke and pay for hookers, and they cheat the system by earning cash in hand. They should get rid of the dole so these lazy people can go and find work.

Alternatively, the dole people should be kept in one place from 7 am to 5 pm and made to work or study under close watch. They should not be allowed to go out and spend money [on alcohol and cigarettes and hookers]."

Man, I was seething inside but I couldn't say anything coz I kept getting shut down and talked over. Also, I saw many similar attitudes in comments in newspapers as well :/
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 16, 2014, 11:16:45 am
call her senile (she is) and laugh it off

but for real tho, where can i get that 120k job as a driver. my whole life is a lie
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Reckoner on May 16, 2014, 02:23:21 pm
Was having an argument with someone in my family (she's abt 60) about the budget and is pretty right wing - needless to say I got shot down :( This is what she has to say about the budget:

"This budget is absolutely necessary and the low income earners need to have benefits cut. Why is it that in this country a driver, a person who didn't study at school, earns more than a doctor or an engineer? <At Ford a driver earns ~$120,000 per annum> They need to drop labourers' wages - this country pays too much to these labourers. They should pay wages acccording to your level of education. After all, the people who are struggling for money are only doing so because they drink and smoke and pay for hookers, and they cheat the system by earning cash in hand. They should get rid of the dole so these lazy people can go and find work.

Alternatively, the dole people should be kept in one place from 7 am to 5 pm and made to work or study under close watch. They should not be allowed to go out and spend money [on alcohol and cigarettes and hookers]."

Man, I was seething inside but I couldn't say anything coz I kept getting shut down and talked over. Also, I saw many similar attitudes in comments in newspapers as well :/

Yeah, their points aren't too strong imo. Those laborers earning 120k aren't the ones who cutting welfare is going to hurt. The cuts to unemployment benefits will hurt graduates who have the education, but can't find a grad job and are deemed over qualified for entry level positions. Now that HECS-debt accrues real interest, the longer you take to pay it back, the more you pay. Meaning that if you have no money, you just keep getting into a worse and worse situation.

They seem to be thinking dole bludgers and tradies are the same thing.


Instead of raising the pension age, a person's house should be classed as assessable income when considering eligibility for the pension. It should be assumed that you could reverse mortgage, say, 30% of the equity in your home if need be.

Instead of a deficit levy, reduce the tax benefits from salary sacrificing into super. It's primarily high income earners who are able to contribute extra to super anyway.   

The new interest rate of HECS will screw up a lot of people who went back to uni and getting larger HECS debt under the assumption that it would not accrue real interest. Kinda unethical to apply it to existing debt imo.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Russ on May 16, 2014, 03:07:11 pm
I might agree with you here Russ if it was an actual necessity that people pay the fee. We're adding the copay which adds about $1.2bn to the budget but spending $22bn on defence, $5.5bn on the PPL and another billion or so dollars on asylum detention. Surely these other things could have been adjusted before we compromised our very robust and enviable universal healthcare scheme? I just don't understand why the first things attacked have been health and education, which should arguably be the most important cornerstones of any society.

Balancing the budget means that you have a finite amount of resources to provide to all the areas according to what you see as important. Saying that we're spending X on area 1 and 10X on area 2 doesn't really invalidate either one as being too little or too much money. Macroeconomists are the ones who know about these things but I don't see it as a necessity to provide 100% of funding to GP consultations, just because it's less money than something else. I also don't think (despite working in the system) that healthcare has any special place as above fiscal concerns. Health is criminally underfunded but that's a separate issue.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: ninwa on May 16, 2014, 03:52:54 pm
Instead of raising the pension age, a person's house should be classed as assessable income when considering eligibility for the pension. It should be assumed that you could reverse mortgage, say, 30% of the equity in your home if need be.

Instead of a deficit levy, reduce the tax benefits from salary sacrificing into super. It's primarily high income earners who are able to contribute extra to super anyway.   

The new interest rate of HECS will screw up a lot of people who went back to uni and getting larger HECS debt under the assumption that it would not accrue real interest. Kinda unethical to apply it to existing debt imo.

I think #1 is already in the Budget? (Actually, maybe I'm getting confused with the commission of audit - pretty sure it was in there.) It's been debated for a long time and I don't know if even this government would dare to touch this. It can be problematic as well - for a lot of pensioners, they've been living in their family home for decades and it is their only significant asset, and including it in the means test is basically forcing them to take a reverse mortgage which I'm uncomfortable with.

Agree with #2 but I'd love to see how that might impact on the economy in terms of the investments that superannuation funds make.

Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Reckoner on May 17, 2014, 02:03:38 am
I think #1 is already in the Budget? (Actually, maybe I'm getting confused with the commission of audit - pretty sure it was in there.) It's been debated for a long time and I don't know if even this government would dare to touch this. It can be problematic as well - for a lot of pensioners, they've been living in their family home for decades and it is their only significant asset, and including it in the means test is basically forcing them to take a reverse mortgage which I'm uncomfortable with.

In the audit, not the budget I don't think. I see where you're coming from. Personally I would prefer this to potentially having people work for longer than they perhaps should. But thats just me, I do acknowledge your point though. 
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 17, 2014, 05:07:31 am

(http://images.smh.com.au/2014/05/16/5432402/17haggle-620x349.jpg)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: pi on May 17, 2014, 09:17:10 am
http://theconversation.com/how-much-student-debt-will-you-be-facing-post-budget-26712

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-e-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-frc3/t1.0-9/s720x720/10259956_792357357441391_4065228730813619442_n.png)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 17, 2014, 11:13:48 am
Oh dear.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 17, 2014, 01:09:06 pm
Lol fuck. Should've done undergrad med. Ahhh sigh. Y u no tell me this before I pick career path.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 17, 2014, 03:33:40 pm
Lol fuck. Should've done undergrad med. Ahhh sigh. Y u no tell me this before I pick career path.

Doesn't a 99.95 net you a full scholarship regardless?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: ninwa on May 17, 2014, 03:36:08 pm
In the audit, not the budget I don't think. I see where you're coming from. Personally I would prefer this to potentially having people work for longer than they perhaps should. But thats just me, I do acknowledge your point though. 

Good point, I guess it's the lesser of two evils
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: pi on May 17, 2014, 03:37:07 pm
Doesn't a 99.95 net you a full scholarship regardless?

Not for the MD part of things :P

Obligatory #monashmasterrace
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: grannysmith on May 17, 2014, 06:29:50 pm
Oh wow. That's just depressing.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 17, 2014, 06:34:05 pm
It's a horrible budget. It's based on a manufactured "Budget Emergency" (the vast majority of the world would kill for our situation), allowing them to shunt through their neo-conservative ideology of the rich and big business. It's a trojan horse that'll leave a scar upon this great nation.

It takes a razor to some of the most cherished and worthwhile programmes in this nation and yet, it ignores the income side. I'm no economics professor but everyone knows there are two sides to a budget, income and expenditure. They're slashing expenditure without much thought for the in-flows. Yes, they have a temporary levy but that hardly fixes anything in the long term, it will expire. In a round about (and dishonest way), there is an increase in tax income because of "bracket creep" (average incomes will go up, i.e. people will get pay rises due to inflation, etc but they will not adjust the tax brackets to match, more people will move into the higher brackets). In-fact, this is the majority item that is fixing the budget, their bracket creep.

They are slashing all these programmes but ignore the fact that multinational mining companies are ripping wealth out of this country for a meager sum. Even 60 years ago, countries like Iran were charging 50%+ tax on their oil because they realised it was whats best for their nation, they didn't want to let rich, majority foreign, companies rip wealth out of their nation. Yet, we roll over and take it. If we taxed mining at a respectable rate, many of these cuts wouldn't be necessary.

This also ignores the elephant in the room, Abbotts absolutely massive paid parental leave scheme. In a time when he's trying to cut expenditure, he doesn't seem to keen to cut this.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 17, 2014, 06:35:31 pm
http://theconversation.com/how-much-student-debt-will-you-be-facing-post-budget-26712

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-e-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-frc3/t1.0-9/s720x720/10259956_792357357441391_4065228730813619442_n.png)
BUT MY ARTS DEGREE IS USELESS.

It's a horrible budget. It's based on a manufactured "Budget Emergency" (the vast majority of the world would kill for our situation), allowing them to shunt through their neo-conservative ideology of the rich and big business. It's a trojan horse that'll leave a scar upon this great nation.

It takes a razor to some of the most cherished and worthwhile programmes in this nation and yet, it ignores the income side. I'm no economics professor but everyone knows there are two sides to a budget, income and expenditure. They're slashing expenditure without much thought for the in-flows. Yes, they have a temporary levy but that hardly fixes anything in the long term, it will expire. In a round about (and dishonest way), there is an increase in tax income because of "bracket creep" (average incomes will go up, i.e. people will get pay rises due to inflation, etc but they will not adjust the tax brackets to match, more people will move into the higher brackets). In-fact, this is the majority item that is fixing the budget, their bracket creep.

They are slashing all these programmes but ignore the fact that multinational mining companies are ripping wealth out of this country for a meager sum. Even 60 years ago, countries like Iran were charging 50%+ tax on their oil because they realised it was whats best for their nation, they didn't want to let rich, majority foreign, companies rip wealth out of their nation. Yet, we roll over and take it. If we taxed mining at a respectable rate, many of these cuts wouldn't be necessary.

This also ignores the elephant in the room, Abbotts absolutely massive paid parental leave scheme. In a time when he's trying to cut expenditure, he doesn't seem to keen to cut this.
You. I like you.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Russ on May 17, 2014, 06:36:09 pm
Lol fuck. Should've done undergrad med. Ahhh sigh. Y u no tell me this before I pick career path.

Some people were talking about it before, but apparently since you've already started, if you go straight into postgrad medicine after finishing undergrad then it won't affect you until 2020 (so you get 3 years on the old system)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 17, 2014, 06:39:40 pm
A harsh budget but necessary imo. We are living beyond our means.

Prove it. This myth constantly floats around but no one has seemed to prove this often repeated newsbite. It's often said a lie repeated enough becomes truth, if you accept this as truth, what basis did you accept it on? Or did it just stick in your mind because you heard it constantly?

People complaining about a $7 trip to the GP. Yet these people don't bat an eyelid when they purchase overpriced cigarettes and alcohol. I'd gladly give something back for my health.

We already give back plenty in taxes. It's a myth to think we should (or need to) pay more.

It boils down to a basic choice in many government policies. Do we: (a) punish the minority who is abusing the system, at the cost of the majority OR (b) allow this and help the majority of good, innocent workers? It's the same question with the dole. Yes, there are some "dole bludgers" but its a choice between allowing that or turning out good people who have hit bad times out onto the street.


Nobody is entitled to free universal healthcare

Why shouldn't we be? Why shouldn't society as a collective provide one of the most basic needs to its citizens, health?

Does everyone know that Churches aren't taxed? They would be giving over 40 billion dollars back to Australia. But no, Abbot ignores all the free money flow to his buddies over at the church and takes it out of education and scientific research.

It's not just churches, its any non for profit organisation. Churches aren't special, they're a class of non-profit organisations. The red cross isn't taxed for instance. I'm not 100% but your local kids scouting club isn't taxed either. Animal shelters, etc. The list on. 

Churches pick up a lot of slack charitable work-wise where the government fails as well.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 17, 2014, 06:40:35 pm
Bill Shortens reply is worth watching as well - http://iview.abc.net.au/programs/budget-in-reply-special/IV1414C001S00
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Paulrus on May 17, 2014, 07:05:13 pm
i think them forcing unemployed people under 30 to wait 6 months to apply for the dole made me angriest tbh.
the point of the dole is that it's an immediate source of relief when you lose your job to give you some time to get back on your feet. if you're between 25-30, and too old for youth allowance, if you find yourself unemployed you're basically screwed for 6 months unless you can get support from your family. if the idea is to galvanise people into looking for work, they need to stop watching today tonight stories on 'dole-bludgers' because the vast majority of people on the dole aren't on it because they enjoy being on it.

to me it just kind of shows that old elitist attitude of 'if you're poor, it's your own fault for not working hard enough'.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Russ on May 17, 2014, 07:08:00 pm
Why shouldn't we be? Why shouldn't society as a collective provide one of the most basic needs to its citizens, health?

Are you saying that the greater the need, the greater the obligation to provide it? I reject that premise. In any case, shouldn't it need to be demonstrated that there is an entitlement to provision of 100% free healthcare?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 17, 2014, 07:35:38 pm
Are you saying that the greater the need, the greater the obligation to provide it? I reject that premise. In any case, shouldn't it need to be demonstrated that there is an entitlement to provision of 100% free healthcare?
How do you reject that premise? Are you saying that walking past a hungry student on the street and reusing to buy them food is equivalent to walking past someone severely starving and refusing to buy them food?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Jono_CP on May 17, 2014, 07:42:45 pm
Did anyone else go to the Crown Casino Liberal Party Function with the likes of Costello and Hockey? Pretty cool, but a little daunting to see such rich schools like Haileybury...
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Sense on May 17, 2014, 07:44:24 pm



It's not just churches, its any non for profit organisation. Churches aren't special, they're a class of non-profit organisations. The red cross isn't taxed for instance. I'm not 100% but your local kids scouting club isn't taxed either. Animal shelters, etc. The list on. 

Churches pick up a lot of slack charitable work-wise where the government fails as well.

Yes, but the animal shelter doesn't use a big chunk of its money on 'missions' with absolutely no benefit to the country. With all their leaders living the high life whilst ignoring all the sexual assault and fraud going on around them.

They're a corrupt organisation in every way. A business with so many criminals + no income tax = disaster.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Chazef on May 17, 2014, 08:07:25 pm
Quote
Yes, but the animal shelter doesn't use a big chunk of its money on 'missions' with absolutely no benefit to the country. With all their leaders living the high life whilst ignoring all the sexual assault and fraud going on around them.

They're a corrupt organisation in every way. A business with so many criminals + no income tax = disaster.

I don't think sexual assault has much to do with the economics of the church despite it obviously being an issue. I also think you're generalising religious institutions here like not all churches have a vatican where heaps of money is stored and even catholic churches don't necessarily contribute directly to all the elite leaders living the high life. I think the real question is whether they should be required to contribute to taxes despite already contributing to charity in society. Taxes are a kind of non-voluntary multi-purpose charity anyway.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 17, 2014, 08:10:57 pm
i think them forcing unemployed people under 30 to wait 6 months to apply for the dole made me angriest tbh.
the point of the dole is that it's an immediate source of relief when you lose your job to give you some time to get back on your feet. if you're between 25-30, and too old for youth allowance, if you find yourself unemployed you're basically screwed for 6 months unless you can get support from your family. if the idea is to galvanise people into looking for work, they need to stop watching today tonight stories on 'dole-bludgers' because the vast majority of people on the dole aren't on it because they enjoy being on it.

to me it just kind of shows that old elitist attitude of 'if you're poor, it's your own fault for not working hard enough'.

I don't actually think it's a bad thing. Although the government should invest the money that they saved from this into providing more opportunities for employment, or education for that matter.

If people really didn't enjoy being on the 'dole' they should actively try to invest in themselves and make a better future. My parents came from disadvantaged backgrounds, having to commit themselves in the beginning to 60+hour work weeks with insanely for them to set me up.

The government should just quit the allowances altogether and grant employer's bonuses for hiring these people. Would make more sense and encourage these people to work for their money.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: M_BONG on May 17, 2014, 08:21:24 pm
I don't actually think it's a bad thing. Although the government should invest the money that they saved from this into providing more opportunities for employment, or education for that matter.

If people really didn't enjoy being on the 'dole' they should actively try to invest in themselves and make a better future. My parents came from disadvantaged backgrounds, having to commit themselves in the beginning to 60+hour work weeks with insanely for them to set me up.

The government should just quit the allowances altogether and grant employer's bonuses for hiring these people. Would make more sense and encourage these people to work for their money.
Your parents were fortunate then. But not everyone are given these opportunities to be employed again. Finding a job isn't all about leaving the couch and just starting work and working hard.. Some people face discrimination because of age, level of education, criminal history, prejudices etc; these are where welfare should be reserved. I mean Abbott is on the record for saying homelessness is a choice to some - that his government can't stop people if they choose to be homeless. Like wtf?

And of course, I am speaking for the minority; welfare will be abused by some but I believe no one would genuinely be content to be living off $36 a day; everyone innately will want the best future, but circumstances don't allow that... welfare is there as a safety net to help the most vulnerable to survive; we can't really cut it simply through making assumptions like "oh they spend so much on alcohol and ciggies anyway" or "oh they're just lazy bums who don't want to work"... Especially when we have all the means to provide each and everyone of us with some form of economic security.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 17, 2014, 08:30:39 pm
I don't actually think it's a bad thing. Although the government should invest the money that they saved from this into providing more opportunities for employment, or education for that matter.

If people really didn't enjoy being on the 'dole' they should actively try to invest in themselves and make a better future. My parents came from disadvantaged backgrounds, having to commit themselves in the beginning to 60+hour work weeks with insanely for them to set me up.

The government should just quit the allowances altogether and grant employer's bonuses for hiring these people. Would make more sense and encourage these people to work for their money.

Dude, the dole gives very little money anyhow.

I'd rather let a few people abuse welfare (I know someone personally who lived their whole life on welfare and managed to do some cash in hand jobs and dodgy stuff, and he now has a house) than have people begging, starving on the streets. Although some might say "they deserve it, that's what they get for not working hard".

I'm angry.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 17, 2014, 08:53:20 pm
"cash in hand jobs"

teehee
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 17, 2014, 09:01:01 pm
Your parents were fortunate then. But not everyone are given these opportunities to be employed again. Finding a job isn't all about leaving the couch and just starting work and working hard.. Some people face discrimination because of age, level of education, criminal history, prejudices etc; these are where welfare should be reserved. I mean Abbott is on the record for saying homelessness is a choice to some - that his government can't stop people if they choose to be homeless. Like wtf?

And of course, I am speaking for the minority; welfare will be abused by some but I believe no one would genuinely be content to be living off $36 a day; everyone innately will want the best future, but circumstances don't allow that... welfare is there as a safety net to help the most vulnerable to survive; we can't really cut it simply through making assumptions like "oh they spend so much on alcohol and ciggies anyway" or "oh they're just lazy bums who don't want to work"... Especially when we have all the means to provide each and everyone of us with some form of economic security.

'Fortunate' to be discriminated by being asian and getting paid 20% less than 'white' workers? Don't think so.

There are always options if you truly wanted to get out of the dole. Mind, there are exceptions (eg. disability) and I fully support disabled people getting a reasonable living.
Yes, i'm considerably more fortunate than all the other people who are on the dole because I have an excellent working environment and fully supportive family and friends, but at the same time, if the govt regulated and encouraged employers to hire these people by paying incentives, there'll be more opportunities for those that want to build a better life.

Yes, we have the means to provide us with economic security, but why should we do this for the ones that don't do anything to contribute to society and don't want to either? They may not be genuinely content with getting $36 a day, but i'm sure there's plenty of options if you spent a bit of time (with government help) on education. For example, there's a significant shortage of roof tilers in vic, these people can go do that. It doesn't take a 4 year diploma or something to learn roof tiling, yet there's a shortage. This is due to the physical exertion that is required from long hours doing so. Bakers are also in shortage, many supermarket chains (eg. Coles, Woolworths) want to hire more bakers. These jobs aren't something that requires a 6 year university degree or something ridiculous. They're all careers that can fit people who want to work hard.



Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: M_BONG on May 17, 2014, 10:01:36 pm
'Fortunate' to be discriminated by being asian and getting paid 20% less than 'white' workers? Don't think so.
Ok fine - even if accept your parents weren't fortunate, this does not preclude others from being more "fortunate" or having a secure, basic future. It's like saying "oh I experienced so much shit so you should too to see how it feels like"...


Yes, we have the means to provide us with economic security, but why should we do this for the ones that don't do anything to contribute to society and don't want to either?

Because it reflects well on our humanity and morality as a society to help those who cannot get out of unemployment. You will see that it is always the same type of people being unemployed - those who don't have two arms, those with a criminal history, those who cannot speak English, those who never had the opportunities to get a decent education. These are structural, institutional barriers which cannot be addressed by forcing them to go to work; for example - never having good parenting. It's not about saying "oh here.. we need more plumbers... go learn how to plumb". This is not the society I want to live in - where we push people into roles that they cannot fill. We cannot start treating people as economic units - our fundamental role as human beings is is not to contribute to the GDP or the economy. There is something more humane than that.
 
For example, there's a significant shortage of roof tilers in vic, these people can go do that. It doesn't take a 4 year diploma or something to learn roof tiling, yet there's a shortage. This is due to the physical exertion that is required from long hours doing so. Bakers are also in shortage, many supermarket chains (eg. Coles, Woolworths) want to hire more bakers. These jobs aren't something that requires a 6 year university degree or something ridiculous. They're all careers that can fit people who want to work hard.

You're making way too many assumptions here. I mean we don't even force people who have committed crimes to work. We pay around $200 to keep someone each day to stay in a cell because they committed a crime... they haven't contributed to society; why are we spending millions each year to rehabilitate them?

Also, what about individuals living in Indigenous communities or low socioeconomic areas whom our government has neglected? Are you genuinely telling me children should be sniffing petrol and our government do nothing about it? Do we really deserve to be left behind when we have the economic means to help?

You have completely missed my point. Welfare should be a safety net reserved for the most vulnerable - those who were born with less opportunities and cannot get out of it. There will be outliers, there will be those who exploit it. But a government policy that sees this small cause as a need for a universal policy to cut welfare for all is simply, appalling and missing the bigger picture.  The purpose of welfare has never been for it to become an alternative to employment. It is about leaving no one behind. Honestly, I am really ashamed that we are even arguing over whether we should hand out welfare to the most vulnerable in society when the Budget injects $4 billion to the mining industry, reduces company tax by 1.5%, spends $80 billion (or however much) on planes, and disproportionately taxes the poor more than rich....
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 17, 2014, 10:38:00 pm
Admittedly, going by what Hockey said to Ferguson, it seems as though he needs to lower company tax to keep companies in Australia and not ship off elsewhere, which would lead to a massive job loss; other countries are lowering their company taxes as well.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 17, 2014, 10:41:47 pm
Keep it nice everyone. This thread is great for sharing thoughts but any cheap insults or otherwise derogatory comments will be deleted. It's been above board for now but things are getting heated and I wouldn't want anyone getting banned over this! Consider this a friendly heads up.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: M_BONG on May 17, 2014, 10:46:37 pm
Keep it nice everyone. This thread is great for sharing thoughts but any cheap insults or otherwise derogatory comments will be deleted. It's been above board for now but things are getting heated and I wouldn't want anyone getting banned over this! Consider this a friendly heads up.

Yup. I do sense that this can get out of hand.. and often it's easy to confuse passion with insults online. I apologise to hamo if what I said is in any way offensive above. Nothing personal/derogatory (not even a shade) was intended.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 17, 2014, 10:52:50 pm
Are you saying that the greater the need, the greater the obligation to provide it? I reject that premise. In any case, shouldn't it need to be demonstrated that there is an entitlement to provision of 100% free healthcare?

Aren't you an MD student? I thought you would've had more consideration for an issue like this.

The problem with the copayment is that it establishes a culture where we implicitly discourage patients from seeking medical attention for issues they deem as unworthy of their own sacrifice. I don't need to explain to you how dangerous it is when patients start to assess the severity of their own medical concerns. I don't particularly like the idea of medical professionals conducting their own kind of superficial means test to assess whether someone is worthy of having their copayment waived, either.

The intrinsic flaw in this idea is that it is likely to disadvantage only the people who actually have need of consistent medical care. I'm going to assume that everyone in this thread is relatively privileged, middle class and healthy. To us, an extra $7 for the one or two times we visit a GP each year is nothing. To a disabled person living off government benefits who has to visit the GP regularly, for whatever reason, the copayment is going to be a lot more burdensome.

Even from an economic perspective (which I find a bit egotistical, to be honest), the copayment doesn't make sense. Discouraging people from visiting the GP will cause people to neglect their medical issues until they actually start to impact on the wellbeing of the patient - meaning that people are more likely to require more demanding treatment - in a hospital, for example. That would place a much larger strain on the health system than a free GP consultation.

Of course, if it actually remains at $7, I'm not that worried. I doubt it will, however. The purpose of such a small levy is that it makes it difficult to reject, but easy to increase. In doing so, the Liberal Party has subtly undermined the equality of the Australian healthcare - slowly paving the way to an Americanised system, and the class divide this budget seems to be trying to achieve.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: M_BONG on May 17, 2014, 10:59:19 pm
Aren't you an MD student? I thought you would've had more consideration for an issue like this.

The problem with the copayment is that it establishes a culture where we implicitly discourage patients from seeking medical attention for issues they deem as unworthy of their own sacrifice. I don't need to explain to you how dangerous it is when patients start to assess the severity of their own medical concerns. I don't particularly like the idea of medical professionals conducting their own kind of superficial means test to assess whether someone is worthy of having their copayment waived, either.

The intrinsic flaw in this idea is that it is likely to disadvantage only the people who have actually have need of consistent medical care. I'm going to assume that everyone in this thread is a relatively privileged, middle class and healthy. To us, an extra $7 for the one or two times we visit a GP each year is nothing. To a disabled person living off government benefits who has to visit the GP regularly, for whatever reason, the copayment is going to be a lot more burdensome.

Even from an economic perspective (which I find a bit egotistical, to be honest), the copayment doesn't make sense. Discouraging people from visiting the GP will cause people to neglect their medical issues until they actually start to impact on the wellbeing of the patient - meaning that people are more likely to require more demanding treatment - in a hospital, for example. That would place a much larger strain on the health system than a free GP consultation.

Of course, if it actually remains at $7, I'm not that worried. I doubt it will, however. The purpose of such a small levy is that it makes it difficult to reject, but easy to increase. In doing so, the Liberal Party has subtly undermined the equality of the Australian healthcare - slowly paving the way to an Americanised system, and the class divide this budget seems to be trying to achieve.
Yeah, I have similar concerns in that I feel there is more at stake than a $7 co-payment. It's not the $7 cost per se that is worrying. It is more a principled issue at hand - we are undermining the universality of Medicare, which when created by Hawke was meant to provide free healthcare for all, regardless of wealth, privileges or opportunities.

Coupled with a $50 billion cut in spending in hospitals, a condition, or charge, for going to the doctor undermines the universality of health as an inalienable right in Australia. And really, if we are going to start introducing a charge, there is nothing stopping a future government from increasing that cost out of some stupid reason like inflation etc.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 17, 2014, 11:01:43 pm
Also, you're right, nobody is entitled to free healthcare. Likewise, nobody is objectively entitled to a dole, to an education, to housing or food. Nobody has an obligation to be nice to each other, nobody is obligated to volunteer or help others.

Why do you think people do, then?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 17, 2014, 11:03:12 pm
Yeah, I have similar concerns in that I feel there is more at stake than a $7 co-payment. It's not the $7 cost per se that is worrying. It is more a principled issue at hand - we are undermining the universality of Medicare, which when created by Hawke was meant to provide free healthcare for all, regardless of wealth, privileges or opportunities.

Coupled with a $50 billion cut in spending in hospitals, a condition, or charge, for going to the doctor undermines the universality of health as an inalienable right in Australia. And really, if we are going to start introducing a charge, there is nothing stopping a future government from increasing that cost out of some stupid reason like inflation etc.

I agree completely. These things are incredibly hard to establish, and once they're taken away, it's even harder to reestablish them. Just look at the difficulty Obama has had trying to reform the American healthcare system.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 17, 2014, 11:16:04 pm
i think them forcing unemployed people under 30 to wait 6 months to apply for the dole made me angriest tbh.
the point of the dole is that it's an immediate source of relief when you lose your job to give you some time to get back on your feet. if you're between 25-30, and too old for youth allowance, if you find yourself unemployed you're basically screwed for 6 months unless you can get support from your family. if the idea is to galvanise people into looking for work, they need to stop watching today tonight stories on 'dole-bludgers' because the vast majority of people on the dole aren't on it because they enjoy being on it.

to me it just kind of shows that old elitist attitude of 'if you're poor, it's your own fault for not working hard enough'.

It's a terrible idea. The idea of a social safety-net is universality. Everyone gets it, young or old, black or white. How can we say young people are automatically less deserving of help than people of a more advanced age. We all need to eat, we all need to drink, we all need clothes and shelter. Turfing people out for six months, out of some 'A Current Affair' style attitude of all them damn dole bludgers is not compatible with a compassionate society such as ours. The whack thing is, i know many people who receive government payments in one form or another and yet, they also hold this attitude. People don't realise we're all in this together, we shouldn't be looking down upon fellow workers struggling. People aren't conscious of just how screwed they get in society.



Are you saying that the greater the need, the greater the obligation to provide it? I reject that premise. In any case, shouldn't it need to be demonstrated that there is an entitlement to provision of 100% free healthcare?

I don't know how you can be serious about your first claim. It seems axiomatic to me. Secondly, you were the one making the claim first, it's up to you to argue why we shouldn't be entitled to it, which you have not yet produced a convincing argument for at all (beyond deflections).



Yes, but the animal shelter doesn't use a big chunk of its money on 'missions' with absolutely no benefit to the country. With all their leaders living the high life whilst ignoring all the sexual assault and fraud going on around them.

They're a corrupt organisation in every way. A business with so many criminals + no income tax = disaster.

Listen, its clear you don't like religion. I don't know if you just found out about the God delusion or Richard Dawkins but it goes much deeper than that mate. It's clear we can't have a reasonable argument with you because you seem so biased. A non-profit organisation can spend the money as it likes, within the limits of the law. Churches do this just fine. It might help if you view them as an non-profit social club, many of these exist, many have arguably little or no benefits to the wider community. I won't engage you on the rest because it's such a wild tangent from the substance of this debate.



I don't actually think it's a bad thing. Although the government should invest the money that they saved from this into providing more opportunities for employment, or education for that matter.

That is VERY, VERY hard to pull off. It's easy to say "invest in more jobs" but how do you actually go about that? The dole does what it needs to do, it does it effectively and immediately. It provides people with the money they need to survive, to buy the bare necessities, to live a decent life while they get back on their feet.

It's easy to say they should get a job or the government should make more jobs but in the mean time, they need food on their plate. They need money to travel to job interviews, to clean their clothes, to wash themselves, to buy business clothes or otherwise.

Imagine if the dole didn't exist. Where does someone who doesn't have a job find money to prepare for getting a job or survive at all? Family? Not everyone has one they talk to believe it or not. Even then, what if the entire family is unemployed, ill or elderly, same problem.

If people really didn't enjoy being on the 'dole' they should actively try to invest in themselves and make a better future. My parents came from disadvantaged backgrounds, having to commit themselves in the beginning to 60+hour work weeks with insanely for them to set me up.

You're assuming the majority of people don't actively try to do this. You assume this with zero evidence. I'm not trying to be mean to you at all but think deeply, where did you get the evidence for this? If you can't answer, perhaps it is just a false prejudice you picked up and needs to be examined (unless you want to go on believing something that isn't true). The majority of people who get some kind of income support payment do not stay on it for the rest of their lives, thats a fact. The dole is barely livable, i assure you, no one is really "enjoying it" or "living it up". Of course they'll try to get off it but it's hard to get a job out there, especially if you're already from a disadvantaged sector of society. Many people who are on these payments do get a job eventually but they need this in the interim to keep them going.

Basically, you have a choice. Have the dole, support people, helping them to get a job and feed them along the way - OR - End the dole, let people starve and beg in the streets, crime will rise, people will not have the money or time to even think of applying for a job, you end up with a viscous cycle. The choice is yours. You may not like it, you may (untruthfully think) most people on it are bludgers but the truth is that it is a necessity, it is a good pragmatic policy.

(http://www.thecitrusreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/7Nanx.gif)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 17, 2014, 11:24:05 pm
I don't actually think it's a bad thing. Although the government should invest the money that they saved from this into providing more opportunities for employment, or education for that matter.

If people really didn't enjoy being on the 'dole' they should actively try to invest in themselves and make a better future. My parents came from disadvantaged backgrounds, having to commit themselves in the beginning to 60+hour work weeks with insanely for them to set me up.

The government should just quit the allowances altogether and grant employer's bonuses for hiring these people. Would make more sense and encourage these people to work for their money.

I feel the need to reply to this as well.

Remember that you're incredibly lucky. You're so lucky, in fact, that I think that no matter what you do with your life, I doubt you'll ever be in a position to realise that things don't always work out so easily. One does not step out of employment into work simply because they are 'committed'. There is no such thing as an endless supply of jobs waiting for people who are willing to 'invest' themselves. And if that worked for your parents as simply as you've made it sound, then they too were lucky. They were lucky in that they were presented with that kind of employment, they were lucky in that it worked out for them, and they were lucky in that they had both the mental and physical capacity to work 60 hour weeks. And they were lucky that they had each other to fall back on. A lot of people don't have that.

Again, I'll provide my argument from a basic economic perspective. To maintain a healthy economy, we want as any people in work as possible. To get people to continue searching for employment out of a job, we want them to be in a state where they can turn up to a job interview looking respectable, where they have food to eat, where they don't need to spend their days begging etc. To a large majority of people, the dole provides the stability they need between jobs - again, it's not large enough that anyone can retire and have a comfortable life. Thus, the incentive to find work remains, but so does the fact that, you know, they're alive to do so. So again, it's not necessarily good for our economy to get rid of it.

That's a relatively basic explanation, but I'll let you fill in the gaps.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 17, 2014, 11:28:43 pm
'Fortunate' to be discriminated by being asian and getting paid 20% less than 'white' workers? Don't think so.

Let's not play the oppression Olympics, this has nothing to do with an argument about the dole. Yes, it sucks and i definitely feel for them but this is not a logical argument or evidence.

There are always options if you truly wanted to get out of the dole.

I don't think we're arguing necessarily about whether people want to get off the dole. I think we all agree its unpleasant (you seem to accept this). Likewise, you, like all of us here, accept almost all people do not want to stay on it for life, that is not how they envision the rest of their life. In these matters, there is no debate.

The debate, or so it seems to me, is whether we should at all have a dole at all. This seems to be what the other are arguing against. If we have no form of income support payments for people who have no income, they will live a horrible life. They will starve, beg or turn to crime. It's as simple as that. You seem to not understand people need money to (literally) survive in a society centered around money.

The problem with the copayment is that it establishes a culture where we implicitly discourage patients from seeking medical attention for issues they deem as unworthy of their own sacrifice. I don't need to explain to you how dangerous it is when patients start to assess the severity of their own medical concerns. I don't particularly like the idea of medical professionals conducting their own kind of superficial means test to assess whether someone is worthy of having their copayment waived, either.

The intrinsic flaw in this idea is that it is likely to disadvantage only the people who actually have need of consistent medical care. I'm going to assume that everyone in this thread is relatively privileged, middle class and healthy. To us, an extra $7 for the one or two times we visit a GP each year is nothing. To a disabled person living off government benefits who has to visit the GP regularly, for whatever reason, the copayment is going to be a lot more burdensome.

Even from an economic perspective (which I find a bit egotistical, to be honest), the copayment doesn't make sense. Discouraging people from visiting the GP will cause people to neglect their medical issues until they actually start to impact on the wellbeing of the patient - meaning that people are more likely to require more demanding treatment - in a hospital, for example. That would place a much larger strain on the health system than a free GP consultation.

Of course, if it actually remains at $7, I'm not that worried. I doubt it will, however. The purpose of such a small levy is that it makes it difficult to reject, but easy to increase. In doing so, the Liberal Party has subtly undermined the equality of the Australian healthcare - slowly paving the way to an Americanised system, and the class divide this budget seems to be trying to achieve.

Hear, Hear!

It stabs at the very heart of the principals of our universal health-care system. Free (Gone!). Equally accessible to everyone (Gone! If you're of low income its much harder). Make no mistake this is a small wound yes but it is a deep one. As you very astutely point out, once we have a fee, a fee of any denomination, it breaks the very principals of the system, the most sacred tenets. Once we have a fee, even if it is tiny (arguably) like $7, what is to stop it ever increasing more and more in the future. Once you cede a power like this, a right we all deserve, once you throw those away they are extraordinarily hard to get back, this is shown time and time again in history. 
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Sense on May 18, 2014, 05:06:19 am



Listen, its clear you don't like religion. I don't know if you just found out about the God delusion or Richard Dawkins but it goes much deeper than that mate. It's clear we can't have a reasonable argument with you because you seem so biased. A non-profit organisation can spend the money as it likes, within the limits of the law. Churches do this just fine. It might help if you view them as an non-profit social club, many of these exist, many have arguably little or no benefits to the wider community. I won't engage you on the rest because it's such a wild tangent from the substance of this debate.


(http://www.thecitrusreport.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/7Nanx.gif)

I'm sorry I came across that way, but is there really a need for personal jabs ? I didn't just find out about 'the god delusion or Richard Dawkins'. I have researched this stuff for a long time and come to the most logical conclusion. There's no need to get so defensive, I never even mentioned the science of religion, I'm talking about the political side of it. They've been caught so many times doing really messed up things, but once again that's going off track. The fact is, it is a corrupt organisation who is freely able to hide everything they're doing. Just because they're a non for profit organisation doesn't mean they can be criminals. They need to be treated equally.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 18, 2014, 10:09:24 am
Yup. I do sense that this can get out of hand.. and often it's easy to confuse passion with insults online. I apologise to hamo if what I said is in any way offensive above. Nothing personal/derogatory (not even a shade) was intended.

All good.

This is just my opinion from my personal experiences, not trying to insult him either
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Russ on May 18, 2014, 11:18:47 am
How do you reject that premise? Are you saying that walking past a hungry student on the street and refusing to buy them food is equivalent to walking past someone severely starving and refusing to buy them food?

What I'm saying is that I don't believe that obligation is created solely because of the need of others and I'm reasonably sure you don't think so either. You can't be indebted to others just because of their needs. Whether or not you decide to act is irrelevant to whether you feel morally obliged to; I do a lot of things that contribute to society, that I'm not obligated to do. I extend this to the principle of free healthcare not being something the population is entitled to, despite it being a system that has been desirable and successful. I don't have a problem with healthcare not being 100% freely available to all, in all circumstances, which is one of the larger objections to this new Budget change.

Aren't you an MD student? I thought you would've had more consideration for an issue like this.

Cute.

I am aware of the practical issues with the introduction of a copay in this current form, you have no need to explain them to me. If you'd read my original post you'd see I clearly flagged that as the problem and why it's going to be an issue. Most of the discussion, including what you're responding to, has been about me disagreeing with people over the right to free healthcare and whether or not you can justify changing the Medicare system in this way. If your biggest objection to the change is that it's a slippery slope to a worse problem (which is apparently why you object?), you leave me unconvinced.

Also, you're right, nobody is entitled to free healthcare. Likewise, nobody is objectively entitled to a dole, to an education, to housing or food. Nobody has an obligation to be nice to each other, nobody is obligated to volunteer or help others.

Why do you think people do, then?

I'm glad you agree with me? See above.

I don't know how you can be serious about your first claim. It seems axiomatic to me. Secondly, you were the one making the claim first, it's up to you to argue why we shouldn't be entitled to it, which you have not yet produced a convincing argument for at all (beyond deflections).

Why can't I be serious about it? I see a lot of people talking about the changes being unacceptable because people need medicare or because it's a critical part of our society etc. I disagree with that idea, as represented by my comment.
I was first? I'm responding to the idea that universal healthcare is an entitlement.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 18, 2014, 11:49:40 am
Most of the discussion, including what you're responding to, has been about me disagreeing with people over the right to free healthcare and whether or not you can justify changing the Medicare system in this way.

Okay, that's fine. If you're going to turn the discussion into private vs. public healthcare system, there's not much I can say really. I think illness is a horrible thing. I don't think it should be something that creates class divide, or something that destroys families and lives. It's not anyone's obligation, I just like the idea of a society where your quality of life isn't a lottery ticket. I can't impose that point of view on you, and I'll leave it at that.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 18, 2014, 11:55:23 am
Well sure, no one's entitled to it. We're also not entitled to affordable education, or entitled to a roof over our heads. How do you get inherent entitlement for something created by society well after we became civilised? How is that relevant though when surely you accept that it creates an unequal healthcare system? Who cares what people are entitled to when we're so easily able to save people misery? Entitlement is besides the point. Basic compassion is the point.

Edit: And even if need isn't the only influence on our obligation, surely my example shows that it is at least an influence on our obligation.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Hannibal on May 18, 2014, 12:21:18 pm
What's funny is that the fate of the higher education reforms rests in PUP's hands...
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 18, 2014, 12:22:54 pm
What's funny is that the fate of the higher education reforms rests in PUP's hands...

And Palmer is starting to warm up to the higher education reforms it seems.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 18, 2014, 01:19:51 pm
What's funny is that the fate of the higher education reforms rests in PUP's hands...

Students should start sending letters and phone calls to the offices of PUP senators.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 18, 2014, 01:33:07 pm
Students should start sending letters and phone calls to the offices of PUP senators.
This is very true, especially if Palmer is serious about his aspirations for PUP in future years. He has to remember who the voters will be.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 18, 2014, 02:21:16 pm
Palmer in the past has advocated for free education. It seems based on all the comparison pictures around he's undecided about the changes as well.

http://www.palmerunited.com/2013/08/palmer-united-party-to-abolish-tertiary-education-fees/
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 18, 2014, 03:00:09 pm
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/clive-palmer-more-open-to-hike-in-student-loans-20140517-38gw6.html

The majority of the budget will pass -- it always does. If any of it gets blocked, it won't be the HELP hike.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: nerdmmb on May 18, 2014, 04:40:34 pm
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-c-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-prn2/t1.0-9/10257695_1419564401650039_4488605010035840197_n.jpg)
 

(http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m9ffnrV95U1r1vzzeo2_500.jpg)

Source: 9 news
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 18, 2014, 05:35:37 pm
Let's not play the oppression Olympics, this has nothing to do with an argument about the dole. Yes, it sucks and i definitely feel for them but this is not a logical argument or evidence.

I don't think we're arguing necessarily about whether people want to get off the dole. I think we all agree its unpleasant (you seem to accept this). Likewise, you, like all of us here, accept almost all people do not want to stay on it for life, that is not how they envision the rest of their life. In these matters, there is no debate.

The debate, or so it seems to me, is whether we should at all have a dole at all. This seems to be what the other are arguing against. If we have no form of income support payments for people who have no income, they will live a horrible life. They will starve, beg or turn to crime. It's as simple as that. You seem to not understand people need money to (literally) survive in a society centered around money.

Hear, Hear!

It stabs at the very heart of the principals of our universal health-care system. Free (Gone!). Equally accessible to everyone (Gone! If you're of low income its much harder). Make no mistake this is a small wound yes but it is a deep one. As you very astutely point out, once we have a fee, a fee of any denomination, it breaks the very principals of the system, the most sacred tenets. Once we have a fee, even if it is tiny (arguably) like $7, what is to stop it ever increasing more and more in the future. Once you cede a power like this, a right we all deserve, once you throw those away they are extraordinarily hard to get back, this is shown time and time again in history.

What you fail to understand, however, is that there is a surplus of jobs in some undesirable sectors. DO something you don't want to. There will always be jobs for those to truly seek for it. If you break down the walls between 'this is a job suited for me' and 'there's no way in hell that i'd partake in this', then you'll find that the options expand exponentially. Equally, you don't exactly know that when this comes into effect whether people will turn to crime or starve or whether they will suddenly find this new sense of 'forced inspiration' and change their life around.

Not everything turns out in life the way you want it to be. Of course there are certain demographics where they are bound, physically or mentally incapable of doing so, and there's already support for those demographics. I've continuously volunteered for NFPs and am in full support of those who are, in some way or another, severely compromised in their life. But when we're talking about those who are essentially capable of doing so, but they refuse to take part and do something because it's deemed to 'physically difficult and draining', why should we continue to support these people?

In society, once you have a look at all the job sectors, just how many people are truly 'satisfied' with their jobs? A minuscule number. But these people continue to work hard at their jobs and establish a solid foundation. Additionally, most of the people who miss out on this NewStart allowance are the people under 25, people who are generally more physically capable.

I understand that I'm fortunate and in this sense I have little right arguing against this, but it's my opinion more or less.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 18, 2014, 05:41:40 pm
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-c-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-prn2/t1.0-9/10257695_1419564401650039_4488605010035840197_n.jpg)
 

(http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m9ffnrV95U1r1vzzeo2_500.jpg)

Source: 9 news

*cough* GST *cough*
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: spectroscopy on May 18, 2014, 05:42:29 pm
with the higher uni fees post-deregulation, if you commence your degree in 2015, will you still be charged the old prices for your subjects in years 2016 and 2017, even though commencing students that year will have to pay the new, higher fees,
or do people who start in 2015 have one year of old prices then 2 years of the new prices (assuming a 3 year degree)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 18, 2014, 06:34:41 pm
with the higher uni fees post-deregulation, if you commence your degree in 2015, will you still be charged the old prices for your subjects in years 2016 and 2017, even though commencing students that year will have to pay the new, higher fees,
or do people who start in 2015 have one year of old prices then 2 years of the new prices (assuming a 3 year degree)

Higher fees start in 2016 unless you accepted a CSP before 13 May this year. So if you start in 2015 then you will have 1 year of old fees and 2 years of new.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: nerdmmb on May 18, 2014, 06:51:26 pm
Is it true that the new uni fees have doubled?

I'm certain that the interest rates on hecs have increased -.-
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 18, 2014, 07:05:59 pm
Is it true that the new uni fees have doubled?

I'm certain that the interest rates on hecs have increased -.-

Nobody actually knows how much they will increase by but for most courses it will probably be at least double

HECS interest rates are no longer pegged at CPI (2.9% in 12 months ending March 2014). They are now pegged at the Commonwealth 10Y bond rate (currently 3.71%):

http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-bonds/government-bonds/australia/

http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats%[email protected]/mediareleasesbyCatalogue/902A92E190C24630CA2573220079CCD9?Opendocument
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: pi on May 18, 2014, 07:14:07 pm
Is it true that the new uni fees have doubled?

A prediction as aforementioned in this thread:
http://theconversation.com/how-much-student-debt-will-you-be-facing-post-budget-26712

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-e-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-frc3/t1.0-9/s720x720/10259956_792357357441391_4065228730813619442_n.png)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 18, 2014, 08:15:57 pm
I read in passing that someone finishing an old degree (pre-May this year) that immediately starts a new degree at completion of another one will be charged old fees for te postgrad. True or false?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: pi on May 18, 2014, 10:01:53 pm
lol'd

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-frc3/t1.0-9/1472028_10152414863530729_1895871497614472394_n.jpg)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 18, 2014, 10:15:10 pm
I read in passing that someone finishing an old degree (pre-May this year) that immediately starts a new degree at completion of another one will be charged old fees for te postgrad. True or false?

True.

http://studyassist.gov.au/sites/studyassist/helpfulresources/pages/studentoverview_budget2014#ChangestoSC

I suspect that is partly to accommodate people who may wish to transfer courses, since that would constitute acceptance of a new CSP.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 18, 2014, 10:35:04 pm
What you fail to understand, however, is that there is a surplus of jobs in some undesirable sectors. DO something you don't want to.  There will always be jobs for those to truly seek for it. If you break down the walls between 'this is a job suited for me' and 'there's no way in hell that i'd partake in this', then you'll find that the options expand exponentially.

Proof, where is your proof? It might as well be a useful lie unless you prove it. From my prior readings, many of the jobs in shortage, are, believe it or not, skilled jobs. These jobs by their very nature aren't readily open to everyone. You start with the basic, flawed and hateful assumption that Australian society is just full of bludgers who don't want to work. Whether you do this deliberately or you just haven't read very widely i am not sure. Time and time again though, the evidence proves all your assumptions wrong.

According to Professor Eva Cox from the University of Technology, Sydney:

Quote
At any one time, there are about 200,000 vacant jobs listed most of which are for skilled people with recent experience. Source

On the Truth-O-Meter, your claim that there are plenty of jobs out there and people just don't want to do "hard" or "icky" jobs is dead false. You don't even need evidence to see it, you can even work it out logically. Everyone can offer labor, it is not surprising that anyone can hire anyone to do labour (stack boxes, etc). It's much harder to filled skilled jobs because (duh) you require skills. This is why that the vast majority of openings require skills and prior experience.



Equally, you don't exactly know that when this comes into effect whether people will turn to crime or starve or whether they will suddenly find this new sense of 'forced inspiration' and change their life around.

You're taking a bet on this? You're willing to run society on such a cruel principal? Where is your heart, where is your compassion? This is not the sort of political ethos i want to see in Australia.

Force people to starve or turn to crime, in an effort to get the few bludgers who really do exist off centerlink to save you a cent of tax? In this effort turning many more to the street and crime? That is not at all pragmatic, kind or compassionate. It fails on all three.



But when we're talking about those who are essentially capable of doing so, but they refuse to take part and do something because it's deemed to 'physically difficult and draining', why should we continue to support these people?

This is a highly empirical claim with again, zero proof. Without proof, all this is a fantasy that is constructed in the mind to justify brutal policy decisions.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 18, 2014, 10:44:31 pm
Is it true that the new uni fees have doubled?

I'm certain that the interest rates on hecs have increased -.-

As the others point out, the idea that they'll double (or move by X) is just an estimate. It remains to be seen where universities set their fees. It's extremely probable they will be higher than they currently are. It's quite a simple logic. The universities are free to charge between $0 and the legislated maximum fee for a degree (in each band) currently. There is no university that charges anything less than the maximum. It's quite obvious once this barrier is removed, fees will definitely rise. Since students aren't very price sensitive (or perhaps not at all price sensitive), there won't be a huge competition based on price basis alone. This likely means fees will balloon before reaching a plateau.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 18, 2014, 11:27:40 pm
an understated part of the education budget is that the projected rate in failure of full HELP repayment is predicted to increase from the current 17% to 23%. and also by 2017-2018, only 63% of graduates will find jobs within four months. it's currently at ~75%.

and at someone who has taken shit jobs, i can tell you that actually living on it is sordid fucking life and if your parents could do 60+ hours of that, big ups to them. it is a sadistic method of devising policy though
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 18, 2014, 11:45:40 pm
True.

http://studyassist.gov.au/sites/studyassist/helpfulresources/pages/studentoverview_budget2014#ChangestoSC

I suspect that is partly to accommodate people who may wish to transfer courses, since that would constitute acceptance of a new CSP.
Great news. Now I don't know whether to finish Law or go straight to an MA
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 19, 2014, 04:29:29 pm
Proof, where is your proof? It might as well be a useful lie unless you prove it. From my prior readings, many of the jobs in shortage, are, believe it or not, skilled jobs. These jobs by their very nature aren't readily open to everyone. You start with the basic, flawed and hateful assumption that Australian society is just full of bludgers who don't want to work. Whether you do this deliberately or you just haven't read very widely i am not sure. Time and time again though, the evidence proves all your assumptions wrong.

According to Professor Eva Cox from the University of Technology, Sydney:

On the Truth-O-Meter, your claim that there are plenty of jobs out there and people just don't want to do "hard" or "icky" jobs is dead false. You don't even need evidence to see it, you can even work it out logically. Everyone can offer labor, it is not surprising that anyone can hire anyone to do labour (stack boxes, etc). It's much harder to filled skilled jobs because (duh) you require skills. This is why that the vast majority of openings require skills and prior experience.



You're taking a bet on this? You're willing to run society on such a cruel principal? Where is your heart, where is your compassion? This is not the sort of political ethos i want to see in Australia.

Force people to starve or turn to crime, in an effort to get the few bludgers who really do exist off centerlink to save you a cent of tax? In this effort turning many more to the street and crime? That is not at all pragmatic, kind or compassionate. It fails on all three.



This is a highly empirical claim with again, zero proof. Without proof, all this is a fantasy that is constructed in the mind to justify brutal policy decisions.

http://docs.employment.gov.au/node/30587
http://employment.gov.au/national-state-and-territory-skill-shortage-information

Yes you require skills. Why don't you go learn them instead of sticking around and not doing anything? But then again, none of us are sure whether this is a 'correct' or 'wrong' process.
If none of the proclaimed benefits ensue, then by all means return to the previous model.

And where is your proof that people will resort to crime? Running the new model for a brief 3-6 month period won't be as drastic as what you suggest. Show me some proof that these people will resort to crime.

Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: jammin on May 19, 2014, 04:57:50 pm
http://docs.employment.gov.au/node/30587
http://employment.gov.au/national-state-and-territory-skill-shortage-information

Yes you require skills. Why don't you go learn them instead of sticking around and not doing anything? But then again, none of us are sure whether this is a 'correct' or 'wrong' process.
If none of the proclaimed benefits ensue, then by all means return to the previous model.

And where is your proof that people will resort to crime? Running the new model for a brief 3-6 month period won't be as drastic as what you suggest. Show me some proof that these people will resort to crime.

The problem here is you don't realise the awful condition that some of these people in welfare are in

You voice support for people who are disabled and suffering from severe prejudice

Yet you are under the false impression that these people are in that state because they don't work hard enough

The problem with Tony Abbott and his stupid budget is how he is appealing to the people who are uninformed regarding the true situation. Yes there are dole bludgers, a substantial number. However the vast majority are not in this situation

That's what I thought previously too until I signed up for community service

Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: nerdmmb on May 19, 2014, 05:35:18 pm
I never thought this day would come.

http://m.smh.com.au/money/budgets-secret-sting-for-pensioners-and-matureage-workers-20140516-zreh5.html

Abbott has now introduced a 50cent tax on pensioners and as of July, will stop the concession benefits costing couples $2000 simply to boost the budget and save 1.3billion-- how the hell is this even going to benefit us or pensioners?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 19, 2014, 06:30:56 pm
The problem here is you don't realise the awful condition that some of these people in welfare are in

You voice support for people who are disabled and suffering from severe prejudice

Yet you are under the false impression that these people are in that state because they don't work hard enough

The problem with Tony Abbott and his stupid budget is how he is appealing to the people who are uninformed regarding the true situation. Yes there are dole bludgers, a substantial number. However the vast majority are not in this situation

That's what I thought previously too until I signed up for community service

Yes, perhaps I don't.
I just had a look over the net, it's indeed true that some of the people are in appalling conditions.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 19, 2014, 07:44:28 pm
http://docs.employment.gov.au/node/30587
http://employment.gov.au/national-state-and-territory-skill-shortage-information

Yes you require skills. Why don't you go learn them instead of sticking around and not doing anything? But then again, none of us are sure whether this is a 'correct' or 'wrong' process.
If none of the proclaimed benefits ensue, then by all means return to the previous model.

And where is your proof that people will resort to crime? Running the new model for a brief 3-6 month period won't be as drastic as what you suggest. Show me some proof that these people will resort to crime.
Yes, there's a skill shortage. How are you not to know the people on the "dole" aren't actively seeking out these skills? The majority are  in fact trying to better their lives. How do you expect these people to earn the skills needed if they aren't making any money and are virtually homeless?? Why do you treat people as mere economic pawns, merely tools to increase economic growth, while completely ignoring basic human values of compassion and empathy??

The facts are already very, very clear and we simply don't need to do a "brief 3-6 month" trial (also if you understood the nature of the budget you would realise it is pretty difficult and will cost so much admin costs to adopt a "3-6 month" trial)because the facts have already established that it would have little benefit and cost so much.

And, are you serious that you think that people who have nothing and will literally starve to death if they don't get something somehow will simply lie down and starve and not resort to crime??
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 19, 2014, 07:54:00 pm
http://docs.employment.gov.au/node/30587
http://employment.gov.au/national-state-and-territory-skill-shortage-information

Yes you require skills. Why don't you go learn them instead of sticking around and not doing anything? But then again, none of us are sure whether this is a 'correct' or 'wrong' process.
If none of the proclaimed benefits ensue, then by all means return to the previous model.

And where is your proof that people will resort to crime? Running the new model for a brief 3-6 month period won't be as drastic as what you suggest. Show me some proof that these people will resort to crime.

I think you should probably read the executive summary of the report you included. It supports the converse of what you're arguing, especially considering the 7 year trends. I won't go into much detail with that.

Stopping everything to receive an education in the conditions these people are in is impossible (especially without government support.. ironically? How do you expect people to fund themselves while they 'study'?). Not everybody can pull open their laptop to do their uni assignment while mum cooks dinner at night. Some people have you know, families to look after. Not to mention just.. so many other things wrong with the assumption that anyone can just go get 'qualified'. I won't even go there, I think you're bright enough to figure it out.

India is proof. Basically any African country is proof. Your scruples are reminiscent of the Chinese working ideology - and no offense to anyone Chinese in this thread, but I'm not particularly convinced that the competitiveness of their working class and the cut-throat nature of their society is something I want to adopt in Australia. Their quality of life isn't exactly superb.

Basically, just have a little empathy dude. Just, try to be nice. Empathy is a really valued quality and people will like you more for it. You'll have a happier life if you can learn to put yourself in someone else's shoes and consider what will make them happy as well. You're not going to have a happy life treating people the way you do now, and people won't like you. That's the crux of it really. I hope I don't offend you, I'm not trying to - but maybe it'll make you reconsider why you have the opinions you do. That's all.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Orb on May 19, 2014, 09:07:29 pm
Yes, there's a skill shortage. How are you not to know the people on the "dole" aren't actively seeking out these skills? The majority are  in fact trying to better their lives. How do you expect these people to earn the skills needed if they aren't making any money and are virtually homeless?? Why do you treat people as mere economic pawns, merely tools to increase economic growth, while completely ignoring basic human values of compassion and empathy??

The facts are already very, very clear and we simply don't need to do a "brief 3-6 month" trial (also if you understood the nature of the budget you would realise it is pretty difficult and will cost so much admin costs to adopt a "3-6 month" trial)because the facts have already established that it would have little benefit and cost so much.

And, are you serious that you think that people who have nothing and will literally starve to death if they don't get something somehow will simply lie down and starve and not resort to crime??

I'm going to concede something here.

I have never personally delved deep into the living conditions of people on the dole and thus, have limited knowledge. And that's the stem of my problem which you guys helped address.

I've been horribly misguided and did not truly grasp the extent of this situation for which I apologise to anyone who's been affected by my comments.

I think you should probably read the executive summary of the report you included. It supports the converse of what you're arguing, especially considering the 7 year trends. I won't go into much detail with that.

Stopping everything to receive an education in the conditions these people are in is impossible (especially without government support.. ironically? How do you expect people to fund themselves while they 'study'?). Not everybody can pull open their laptop to do their uni assignment while mum cooks dinner at night. Some people have you know, families to look after. Not to mention just.. so many other things wrong with the assumption that anyone can just go get 'qualified'. I won't even go there, I think you're bright enough to figure it out.

India is proof. Basically any African country is proof. Your scruples are reminiscent of the Chinese working ideology - and no offense to anyone Chinese in this thread, but I'm not particularly convinced that the competitiveness of their working class and the cut-throat nature of their society is something I want to adopt in Australia. Their quality of life isn't exactly superb.

Basically, just have a little empathy dude. Just, try to be nice. Empathy is a really valued quality and people will like you more for it. You'll have a happier life if you can learn to put yourself in someone else's shoes and consider what will make them happy as well. You're not going to have a happy life treating people the way you do now, and people won't like you. That's the crux of it really. I hope I don't offend you, I'm not trying to - but maybe it'll make you reconsider why you have the opinions you do. That's all.

However, I am a little irritated at your comments about the Chinese working ideology.
-60 years ago, the Chinese were abused, discriminated, prejudiced at the highest level.

-Look at them now, all of that was a result from hard work, sweat and tears. But at the end of it, I can safely say that their quality of life is far superior to the quality of life many Australians are living today.

-Not going to limit this to Chinese but asians in general. You've entered the high ranks of the 99.90s and 95ers, you know how many are from an asian race, what, 50-60% every year, maybe even more from a 15-20% population percentage?
 



Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 19, 2014, 09:15:39 pm
I'm really sorry. Rereading that it did sound a little racist. It wasn't intended at all of course. I value work-life balance - I always have. What's sad is how much people have to sacrifice to pull themselves into the middle class in China - and how many don't make it simply because of predisposition. That's all. You're right in your implication, Australia is comparatively unproductive. That's another issue to discuss though, quite unrelated to the dole. Unfortunately I have a french assignment to do now haha  :-\ Somebody else can reply to that if they want to.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 19, 2014, 09:28:53 pm
I'm going to concede something here.

I have never personally delved deep into the living conditions of people on the dole and thus, have limited knowledge. And that's the stem of my problem which you guys helped address.

I've been horribly misguided and did not truly grasp the extent of this situation for which I apologise to anyone who's been affected by my comments.

I don't blame you for being a little out of touch -- you're surrounded by wealth and privilege every day, whether you asked to be or not, and it can be difficult to appreciate what life on the other side if you've never seen it for yourself.

I commend you for keeping an open mind. Just remember this discussion the next time you hear your own words out of someone else's mouth. Maybe you can change somebody else's mind too.

Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 19, 2014, 10:48:43 pm
I'm going to concede something here.

I have never personally delved deep into the living conditions of people on the dole and thus, have limited knowledge. And that's the stem of my problem which you guys helped address.

I've been horribly misguided and did not truly grasp the extent of this situation for which I apologise to anyone who's been affected by my comments.

Very mature of you. Maximum respects. Apologies if I sounded a little hard-hitting in my post also.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 19, 2014, 10:49:44 pm
Agreed ^, big props for the concession.




----Clive Palmer to oppose deregulation (???!)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 19, 2014, 10:59:20 pm
----Clive Palmer to oppose deregulation (???!)

Read that. Very pleased to hear. Though I'm never sure about anything Palmer says really, he seems to be pretty vague and idealistic at times in my opinion, and I find it difficult to understand what he's really trying to say or do most of the time.

Would be interesting if deregulation is completely rejected in the senate to see what the LNP does, I mean, is this really a big enough issue for them that they would call a double disillusion if the senate absolutely will not pass it? I suppose if the LNP thinks they could gain enough support in a re-election to get back in with greater numbers they could do it, but if the polls are correct, they would have trouble doing that and may end up in a worse position than they started with.

This is why I love the bicameral system, no government goes formally unquestioned (well, most of the time at least)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: alondouek on May 19, 2014, 11:01:46 pm
----Clive Palmer to oppose deregulation (???!)

huehuehue

(http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view3/20131211/4921280/clive-palmer-twerk-o.gif)

While I'm in favour of this, the dude flipflops more than Mitt Romney.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 20, 2014, 12:07:57 am
the inner machinations of clive's mind are an enigma

and anthony green has spoken about double dissolution stating that it is unlikely that it would occur anytime soon, especially with how the polls are looking
http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2014/05/an-early-double-dissolution-dont-hold-your-breathe.html

also not sure if fee deregulation constitutes a supply bill considering how intrinsically tied it is to government expenditure
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 20, 2014, 12:14:59 am
Would be interesting if deregulation is completely rejected in the senate to see what the LNP does, I mean, is this really a big enough issue for them that they would call a double disillusion if the senate absolutely will not pass it? I suppose if the LNP thinks they could gain enough support in a re-election to get back in with greater numbers they could do it, but if the polls are correct, they would have trouble doing that and may end up in a worse position than they started with.

This is why I love the bicameral system, no government goes formally unquestioned (well, most of the time at least)

There can't be a double dissolution unless Tony Abbott calls for it, and he won't do that unless he thinks he can win the subsequent election.

Also, a DD requires legislation to be knocked back in the Senate at least twice. I was about to post JellyDonut's link and he beat me ( >:( ) but it's a good read.

also not sure if fee deregulation constitutes a supply bill considering how intrinsically tied it is to government expenditure

Supply bills are basically just funding for the government itself. Fee deregulation will be its own piece of legislation which the Greens/PUP/ALP are free to block in the Senate as they please.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loss_of_supply
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 20, 2014, 12:16:38 am
While I'm in favour of this, the dude flipflops more than Mitt Romney.

Unless he's flipflopped since, he has been in favour of fee-free uni places for domestic students as far back as August '13. The recent article that the SMH ran yesterday was a far stretch I reckon. I don't think he's come out  publicly in favour of deregulation.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 20, 2014, 12:17:14 am
Not sure if its linked but clive palmer declared he opposes the rise in uni fees (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/19/clive-palmer-opposes-deregulation-university-fees).

As i linked a page or two ago, part of their policy document is free education for all. It's been like that since the last election (which is when i last read their policies). Nice to know they're sticking to their guns. Clive is actually a refreshing breath of air. Some people might crucify me for this but i think he's doing a good job, certainly, much better than i expected of him. That's probably the surprising aspect.

I'm not sure whether it counts as a supply bill either. More likely, the coalition will just do behind the scenes horse trading and then pass a budget thats pleasant to all (with some kind of compromise).

Here are some recent palmer videos:


Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 20, 2014, 12:19:58 am
Not sure if its linked but clive palmer declared he opposes the rise in uni fees (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/19/clive-palmer-opposes-deregulation-university-fees).


There was this, too:

http://palmerunited.com/2013/08/palmer-united-party-to-abolish-tertiary-education-fees/
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Thu Thu Train on May 20, 2014, 12:26:03 am
Abbott is too much of a coward to request a double dissolution because he knows he'll lose. The Governor General could dissolve the House of Representatives without a DD or he could dismiss the PM if he feels that parliament has lost faith in him or whatever. But then we'd probably end up with Pyne as PM.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: alondouek on May 20, 2014, 12:36:51 am
Abbott is too much of a coward to request a double dissolution because he knows he'll lose. The Governor General could dissolve the House of Representatives without a DD or he could dismiss the PM if he feels that parliament has lost faith in him or whatever. But then we'd probably end up with Pyne as PM.

Or Turnbull, and it'll all have been worth it.

maybe
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 20, 2014, 01:12:43 am
The Libs aren't stupid enough to call an election before they're forced to. They'd get decimated right now.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Paulrus on May 20, 2014, 07:56:55 am
The Libs aren't stupid enough to call an election before they're forced to. They'd get decimated right now.
there was a poll from the age which showed that abbott's approval ratings are at something like 34% at the moment, which is abysmal.

of course he's still got the daily telegraph on his side - one of the most disgusting headlines i've seen.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bn_V_jiCUAAdyev.png)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 20, 2014, 10:47:19 am
there was a poll from the age which showed that abbott's approval ratings are at something like 34% at the moment, which is abysmal.

of course he's still got the daily telegraph on his side - one of the most disgusting headlines i've seen.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bn_V_jiCUAAdyev.png)

The telegraph has become a fucking bias disgrace. If my face was published next to headlines implying I was feral I would sue for defamation.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 20, 2014, 11:29:34 am
Not just the headline -- "Doctors and delinquents stand side by side ..."

I'd laugh if I didn't know how many people lap that stuff up like milk.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 20, 2014, 11:45:48 am
there was a poll from the age which showed that abbott's approval ratings are at something like 34% at the moment, which is abysmal.

of course he's still got the daily telegraph on his side - one of the most disgusting headlines i've seen.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bn_V_jiCUAAdyev.png)

A far right winger's response would be: "About time that this riff raff stop complaining about the Libs' amazing budget that finally does justice to men and women of substance and people who actually work hard."
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 21, 2014, 12:57:46 am
the ferals are revolting is a beautiful phrase
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 21, 2014, 01:37:36 am
Abbott is too much of a coward to request a double dissolution because he knows he'll lose. The Governor General could dissolve the House of Representatives without a DD or he could dismiss the PM if he feels that parliament has lost faith in him or whatever. But then we'd probably end up with Pyne as PM.
Not sure at all that Pyne will be appointed. If supply is blocked, merely switching heads won't solve anything. The precedent, if supply is blocked through the Senate, is to appoint the Opposition Leader the PM. Of course, that precedent is highly questionable. I think directly dissolving the House of Reps is more likely. This will be a HoR-only election, as barring a double dissolution, the Senate operates on fixed terms.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: ninwa on May 21, 2014, 08:38:42 am
Friend posted this on Facebook. It's the only thing I've read that defends the Budget without being all "people on the dole are lazy and entitled and how dare they have any govt assistance because fuck people in need!!!"

While I disagree with some of it, particularly her comments on education (which I find especially concerning, considering she's studying to become a teacher...) a lot of it makes a surprising amount of sense. Thoughts?

Quote
Alrighty, I said I would endeavour to reply to your comments so here is my scrappy attempt! Firstly, guys, it is clear to me that what we are debating here is a matter of opinion rather than facts. There is no clear right or wrong answer. Of course, if any of my facts are incorrect, please correct me. So let’s proceed with an open frame of mind that allows for differences in opinion. Most of what I said and am about to say is opinion, not precise factual information that can be proved or disproved. This applies to your hypotheses too.

RE “our debt is not as big as other countries” points: We should not wait until the budget is in crisis before we start repaying a debt. A national debt, no matter how small in comparison to other countries, is still a debt. It is billions of dollars in interest that can be saved, rather than slowly giving our creditors more power over us.

RE “labourers etc cannot work till 70 due to physical constraints” – no, they certainly can’t. In fact, how many 50-something year olds do you see working in labour-intensive jobs? By this logic, all people involved in laborious jobs should retire by 40. However, what actually happens is that people progress onto more managerial/training roles rather than doing the same heavy lifting as when they started out in their teens/20s. Some people will possibly have to re-train, but given that the average person now undergoes 3 career changes in their lifetime, this is not a new concept. The $10,000 grant to businesses who hire older employees (for a minimum of 2 years) will also help.

RE “$7 is aimed at the poorest” – it is not aimed at anybody, it’s a universally applied co-payment. And as mentioned several times, for people who need it most (those with chronic illnesses, concession cards, kids under 16), there will only be a maximum of 10 payments of $7 in a year. Any more visits will be free. Furthermore, if people are struggling and cannot pay, the doctor is more than likely to waive the $7 fee, given that $2 from every payment will go to the doctors, to allow them to do so. In the long run, the jobs and money created through medical advances (through research) will be of enormous benefit to the country, given that our mining boom won’t last forever. We need to invest in the next big thing – medical research.

RE “6 months is too long to wait for the Dole” – this proposal will only apply to people under 30, and presumably not to disabled people, as they would be applying for the disability pension, not these benefits. While 6 months is indeed a long time if you have no savings/family, there are many jobs that people could take up (e.g. cleaning, pizza delivery, casual labour work) but under the existing welfare arrangements, sometimes bypass these types of jobs to wait for something better (while on welfare). In my opinion, this is the proposal that will most likely be watered down anyway – if people risk being made homeless, they will probably be given more immediate assistance. BUT this is a big if, so we need to see how the debate plays out. If not, there is always public housing and emergency shelters – in reality though, no government would risk such a huge public backlash by doing nothing for 6 months while a person’s condition becomes worse. I believe that this measure is being proposed to push people to take whatever job they can find, rather than rely on unemployment benefits until they find something better. Also, [name redacted] – I disagree with your statement that welfare is an investment. Education and infrastructure are investments, but not welfare, certainly not on borrowed money.

RE “the government is prioritising serving big business through military spending”: [name redacted], you are suggesting that this military spend is exorbitant and unnecessary, and I admit that I am no expert in this area, but in my opinion, we need to stay ahead of the game in military capability. If we only spent on military when there was an immediate threat, we’d be too late. Being militarily advanced also acts as a deterrent to potential invasions, and while I admit again that I don’t have any deep understanding of this issue, it just seems logical to me to be prepared for potential attacks. Also, I looked up the short range and CTOL (learnt something new!) jets and I didn’t really understand what the problem was there. Doesn’t short range just mean that it can’t go for as long a distance without fuel stops? And CTOL is basically a traditional jet that needs a runway to take off and land (so it might not be as mobile?) I mean these jets could be sent elsewhere and be used from there, perhaps more usefully than in Australia. It might be just a case of supporting our allies (without starting a new topic on that!) Anyway, our military spend is tiny compared to what we spend on welfare (6% versus 35%). I don’t think it’s a waste, for the reasons above.

Lastly, education was touched upon too. The government would allow universities to uncap fees. However, there has been no suggestion of removing the HECS system. This may be a way of addressing the issue of oversupply of graduates, who are left without the job they thought they’d get, and instead with a big debt. In other words, it might deter people from pursuing tertiary education (although HECS would still be available to all), but I don’t think this is a bad thing, given the state of oversupply in many areas (e.g. law). We need to actively encourage alternatives to university for school leavers, and this might be the impetus for doing so. Also, online courses are probably going to increase affordable tertiary education options, so you could also argue that that would act as an incentive for universities to keep fees reasonable.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 21, 2014, 11:29:13 am
Quote
“our debt is not as big as other countries” points: We should not wait until the budget is in crisis before we start repaying a debt. A national debt, no matter how small in comparison to other countries, is still a debt. It is billions of dollars in interest that can be saved, rather than slowly giving our creditors more power over us.

Good point in itself but it's a non-sequiter. I imagine she's replying to the idea that "we're not in a budget emergency, we have a comparatively small debt", but she's actually replying to the phrase "we shouldn't lower our debt". Of course, lower our debt, but do it with good, steady economic management. "We should lower our debt" just in no way entails "let's cut funding to literally everything".

Quote
labourers etc cannot work till 70 due to physical constraints” – no, they certainly can’t. In fact, how many 50-something year olds do you see working in labour-intensive jobs? By this logic, all people involved in laborious jobs should retire by 40. However, what actually happens is that people progress onto more managerial/training roles rather than doing the same heavy lifting as when they started out in their teens/20s. Some people will possibly have to re-train, but given that the average person now undergoes 3 career changes in their lifetime, this is not a new concept. The $10,000 grant to businesses who hire older employees (for a minimum of 2 years) will also help.
A fair few 50-something year olds, actually. Should retire by 40 lol. My Dad's going on 50 and isn't in a managerial or training role. He lifts shit. A friend of mine's Dad - 50+, still paints houses full time (very intense job). Regardless, let's do some basic thinking - there are more fucking labourers than there are managerial or training roles, aren't there? "some" will "possibly" have to retrain. Please.

Quote
$7 is aimed at the poorest” – it is not aimed at anybody, it’s a universally applied co-payment. And as mentioned several times, for people who need it most (those with chronic illnesses, concession cards, kids under 16), there will only be a maximum of 10 payments of $7 in a year. Any more visits will be free. Furthermore, if people are struggling and cannot pay, the doctor is more than likely to waive the $7 fee, given that $2 from every payment will go to the doctors, to allow them to do so. In the long run, the jobs and money created through medical advances (through research) will be of enormous benefit to the country, given that our mining boom won’t last forever. We need to invest in the next big thing – medical research.
Of course, it's not aimed at anybody. It's universal. Consider a scenario where every rich person in a country has a bomb shelter and the poor people don't. Pretend we drop a bomb on every inch of the country. Of course, it's not aimed at poor people. It's a universal bombing. Who it's aimed at is irrelevant, it hurts the poorest. Someone find me a person who will say "Oh, only $70 bucks a year? That's no worries! What a relief!". Dreaming. Medical research is again removed from $7 co-payments. If you want to invest in research then find a method that isn't inevitably going to fuck people over.

Quote
“6 months is too long to wait for the Dole” – this proposal will only apply to people under 30, and presumably not to disabled people, as they would be applying for the disability pension, not these benefits. While 6 months is indeed a long time if you have no savings/family, there are many jobs that people could take up (e.g. cleaning, pizza delivery, casual labour work) but under the existing welfare arrangements, sometimes bypass these types of jobs to wait for something better (while on welfare). In my opinion, this is the proposal that will most likely be watered down anyway – if people risk being made homeless, they will probably be given more immediate assistance. BUT this is a big if, so we need to see how the debate plays out. If not, there is always public housing and emergency shelters – in reality though, no government would risk such a huge public backlash by doing nothing for 6 months while a person’s condition becomes worse. I believe that this measure is being proposed to push people to take whatever job they can find, rather than rely on unemployment benefits until they find something better. Also, [name redacted] – I disagree with your statement that welfare is an investment. Education and infrastructure are investments, but not welfare, certainly not on borrowed money.
Oh good good. I forgot that 29 year olds without a job don't need to eat. I wonder if she's every actually tried looking for one of those jobs that are easy to get. "Always public housing". This is fucking offensive. For one, take a trip to The Pines and see how well-kept public housing is. Two, if a single mother with two kids has to wait more than six months for public housing after fleeing an alcoholic boyfriend, how the fuck does she suppose that people are just going to up and go into public housing once they don't have a job or the dole? They'll have the dole a year before public housing becomes available for them.
How is welfare ever not an investment? My Dad's needed welfare for a very short amount of time at least twice that I can remember after being made redundant. Super confident he's paid in taxes what he got on the dole over, and over, and over... and over, and over again. Let's say he was my only parent, never had the dole, lost our house, has a wife, two kids and two step-kids to support, ends up in bad financier trouble, my brother and I never graduate high-school, and there you've three people that are significantly less useful to the economy than they would have been. Even if it were't an invest-return type thing, maybe she should consider it an investment so the economy doesn't take a hit from tourism because no one wants to look at all the homeless people begging along Flinders Street.

Re: military. Sure. Spend money on military. Don't do it while you're in a "budget emergency" and need to save so much that you cut everything else under the sun.


I wish your friend went to uni next year, the deregulation bill was passed, and then she could go and be a teacher and come back to the discussion in forty years and say "wow, these fees/this interest rate has really fucked me over. Just a few years left until my debt is gone! Maybe we should have kept uni fees regulated".
"you could also argue that that would act as an incentive for universities to keep fees reasonable."
Lol.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 21, 2014, 02:34:05 pm
Not sure if its linked but clive palmer declared he opposes the rise in uni fees (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/19/clive-palmer-opposes-deregulation-university-fees).

As i linked a page or two ago, part of their policy document is free education for all. It's been like that since the last election (which is when i last read their policies). Nice to know they're sticking to their guns. Clive is actually a refreshing breath of air. Some people might crucify me for this but i think he's doing a good job, certainly, much better than i expected of him. That's probably the surprising aspect.

I'm not sure whether it counts as a supply bill either. More likely, the coalition will just do behind the scenes horse trading and then pass a budget thats pleasant to all (with some kind of compromise).

Here are some recent palmer videos:


I actually just watched these videos. To be honest, I've resented Clive Palmer since the last election for being a massive wanker (but I think I was more resenting that people were voting for such an oaf because he had a funny advertising campaign). This wasn't even packed full of rhetoric. He didn't need to be inciting, inspiring etc. He was just saying it how it is. Pretty fucked to think that Clive Palmer has more integrity than the major parties o.o
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: ninwa on May 21, 2014, 02:59:05 pm
<snip>

Thank god your views make even more sense than hers. Was worried I was turning into a grumpy old right wing wanker :P
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Thu Thu Train on May 21, 2014, 03:18:42 pm
just gonna leave this here...
(http://i.imgur.com/qjKzC9K.gif)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Inside Out on May 21, 2014, 11:22:07 pm
i dont really know anything about politics and stuff.. but why punish people who go to uni and work hard?
I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 21, 2014, 11:32:28 pm
"I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees."

=> Actually, most people on Centrelink benefits do work; you're thinking of the Newstart payment (i.e. the dole). The dole is for people who are temporarily unemployed and looking for work. Sure, there are some dole bludgers, but its a small price to pay to ensure that those who need money to get by whilst looking for work get that.


Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 22, 2014, 12:37:35 am
Friend posted this on Facebook. It's the only thing I've read that defends the Budget without being all "people on the dole are lazy and entitled and how dare they have any govt assistance because fuck people in need!!!"

While I disagree with some of it, particularly her comments on education (which I find especially concerning, considering she's studying to become a teacher...) a lot of it makes a surprising amount of sense. Thoughts?

it makes ok sense. and someone else made a toplel military-industrial complex argument. if you can find out what he said i wanna know
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 22, 2014, 01:08:19 am
Alrighty, I said I would endeavour to reply to your comments so here is my scrappy attempt! Firstly, guys, it is clear to me that what we are debating here is a matter of opinion rather than facts. There is no clear right or wrong answer.

This i dispute. It may seem unnecessarily contrarian but to argue that there isn't one set of facts out there is a dangerous thing. Lately, in our media and even amongst our politicians, we see a disturbing trend where we can't even establish what is reality anymore. Likewise, especially with this budget, to have disputes over basic ethics as not factual, like compassion, is a very dangerous thing as well.

Quote
RE “our debt is not as big as other countries” points: We should not wait until the budget is in crisis before we start repaying a debt. A national debt, no matter how small in comparison to other countries, is still a debt. It is billions of dollars in interest that can be saved, rather than slowly giving our creditors more power over us.

Economist after economist tells us that the budget of a country is not like a household budget. Something like this doesn't escape Clive Palmer but it somehow escapes a chunk of the population (watch the palmer videos i posted, he actually goes into it). It's perfectly fine for a country to run a manageable debt. A national debt is not ipso facto a bad thing. This is the point your friend argues and they are wrong. The idea creditors have great power over any nation, especially one with such a small debt as ours, is silly.

This is a matter of FACT not opinion.

Quote
RE “labourers etc cannot work till 70 due to physical constraints” – no, they certainly can’t. In fact, how many 50-something year olds do you see working in labour-intensive jobs? By this logic, all people involved in laborious jobs should retire by 40. However, what actually happens is that people progress onto more managerial/training roles rather than doing the same heavy lifting as when they started out in their teens/20s. Some people will possibly have to re-train, but given that the average person now undergoes 3 career changes in their lifetime, this is not a new concept. The $10,000 grant to businesses who hire older employees (for a minimum of 2 years) will also help.

This is all based on conjecture, they provide zero evidence. Using my fathers work and all the workers there, many are over 50 and the job is very labour intensive. (Comparatively or actually) uneducated blue-collar labor doesn't easily slot into a management role unless its the fantasy in the mind of the privileged middle class or someone who has only known office jobs their entire life. Plenty of blokes at his workplace can't use a computer (my father cant either) and plenty have written English skills at something like an 8th grade level. Remember, they were educated 30-40 years ago when things were very, very different. It was a hard time. I know its hard to swallow on the ultra-academic ATARNotes but there really are plenty of people like that out there. Now, i realise thats also anecdotal evidence but its more than they provide. It touches at deeper things than they consider as well. If you've been a bricklayer your entire life, where are you really going to go from that?

Furthermore, it may be true that people change careers 3 times in their lives. That is not separated based on their field of work though. It may be that white collar workers have 6 jobs in their lifetime. Bluecollar have 1 or 2. The office workers distort the average. Average is totally useless if you are talking about a specific segment of the population. Her third clause/argument also contradicts the first. She acknowledges that age and physical impairment is a reality and a constraint then argues that $10,000 grant will somehow make this better.

This is a matter of medical and sociological FACT not opinion.

Quote
RE “6 months is too long to wait for the Dole” – this proposal will only apply to people under 30, and presumably not to disabled people, as they would be applying for the disability pension, not these benefits. While 6 months is indeed a long time if you have no savings/family, there are many jobs that people could take up (e.g. cleaning, pizza delivery, casual labour work) but under the existing welfare arrangements, sometimes bypass these types of jobs to wait for something better (while on welfare). In my opinion, this is the proposal that will most likely be watered down anyway – if people risk being made homeless, they will probably be given more immediate assistance. BUT this is a big if, so we need to see how the debate plays out. If not, there is always public housing and emergency shelters – in reality though, no government would risk such a huge public backlash by doing nothing for 6 months while a person’s condition becomes worse. I believe that this measure is being proposed to push people to take whatever job they can find, rather than rely on unemployment benefits until they find something better. Also, [name redacted] – I disagree with your statement that welfare is an investment. Education and infrastructure are investments, but not welfare, certainly not on borrowed money.

Again, this is tinged with the assumption there are a hordes of dole bludgers out there just waiting to leech of society. You reject this in your opening Nina. She also assumes its easy to get a job (i know people who have handed out 50 resumes), especially with no skills and no experience (these people often come from the most disadvantaged segments of society as well). Playing an experiment with peoples lives and wellbeing is horrible. I can't believe shes so forthright about a want to simply experiment with what could possibly result in people starving or going homeless. What happened to being a compassionate society? Down the toilet it seems.

She's dead wrong that welfare isn't an investment either. If people don't have money, they cant eat. If you cant eat, you get sick (hello public hospitals). You cant afford to visit the GP now. You either deal with a life of misery, one that no one in such a rich society like ours should have to endure or you get desperate and turn to crime. Welfare saves money by preventing these scenarios. There's good evidence welfare cuts can be correlated with increases in crime and lower health outcomes. You didn't even really need statistics to tell you that though. It's fairly axiomatic. Again, she just focuses on the money and not the compassion. "Investment"?!? We might be talking about the difference between someone having food or not. Horrible.

This is part opinion but some of these things are definitely facts as well.

(http://core0.staticworld.net/images/article/2013/05/get_a_job-100038022-orig.gif)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 22, 2014, 01:17:14 am
(http://core0.staticworld.net/images/article/2013/05/get_a_job-100038022-orig.gif)

video version is better

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXnifPfxK0Q
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 22, 2014, 01:19:55 am
Quote
RE “$7 is aimed at the poorest” – it is not aimed at anybody, it’s a universally applied co-payment. And as mentioned several times, for people who need it most (those with chronic illnesses, concession cards, kids under 16), there will only be a maximum of 10 payments of $7 in a year. Any more visits will be free. Furthermore, if people are struggling and cannot pay, the doctor is more than likely to waive the $7 fee, given that $2 from every payment will go to the doctors, to allow them to do so. In the long run, the jobs and money created through medical advances (through research) will be of enormous benefit to the country, given that our mining boom won’t last forever. We need to invest in the next big thing – medical research.

It might be universal but the impact is disproportionate. $7 is worth a hell of a lot more to the poor than the rich. Plenty of people on the side of lower SES completely (or come close to it) drain their bank account each week. A study i read awhile back showed an alarming number of Australians have no savings (or none beyond 2 weeks, i cant remember). Many people are living paycheque to paycheque. Your friend needs a cold, hard blast of reality.

It's not just that though, its the principal behind it. We no longer have a free, universal healthcare system at the primary care point. They are slaying one of the greatest things about our society. They are literally breaking the system at work here, the principals at work here. $7 may be modest, i partially agree but its the underlying principal here that is disturbing. There's also the fact that this isn't really *needed*. The quote from the Liberal party that people visit the doctor 11-12 times a year on average has been found to be false. Even if it was true, its not like people visit the doctor for fun, they go if they feel they need to go. Internal liberal party modeling suggested $7 was the right fee to make people reconsider/avoid going to the doctor.

Finally, the last clause is based on the false idea we need to rob Peter to pay Paul. We do not need to dismantle our cherished system of universal health-care to provide more money for research, its just plain logic. Considering their cuts to uni, the public service and other scientific organisations like CSIRO, whilst this fund is adding money, people forgetting it must be balanced against the damage being done too.

Quote
Lastly, education was touched upon too. The government would allow universities to uncap fees. However, there has been no suggestion of removing the HECS system. This may be a way of addressing the issue of oversupply of graduates, who are left without the job they thought they’d get, and instead with a big debt. In other words, it might deter people from pursuing tertiary education (although HECS would still be available to all), but I don’t think this is a bad thing, given the state of oversupply in many areas (e.g. law). We need to actively encourage alternatives to university for school leavers, and this might be the impetus for doing so. Also, online courses are probably going to increase affordable tertiary education options, so you could also argue that that would act as an incentive for universities to keep fees reasonable.

I doubt it. The students wont be very price sensitive. They are not paying for it immediately out of pocket. It's very unlikely the increased costs will deter hordes of students because they don't have to pay it out of pocket and they don't have to pay it right now. Either way, is the best and most logical way to address an oversupply to massively increase fees? I highly doubt it. We could return to the government capping university places at sensible levels but maybe that sounds crazy in comparison to a degree costing $200,000 to stop oversupplies. This assumes an oversupply is bad as well. Every other field has to deal with changing supplies, why should white collar workers also not have to deal with it? Do they need a special protection racket?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 22, 2014, 01:28:10 am
i dont really know anything about politics and stuff.. but why punish people who go to uni and work hard?
I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees.

I think you lack an understanding of the issue here. They dont get very much money, its not a pleasant way to live. They're not really living the high life (or much of a life at all). Jobs aren't easy to find either, i know people who have handed out more than 50+ resumes. The majority of people who need this money aren't bludgers, they are simply hard workers who have fallen on hard times and need to eat like the rest of us.

video version is better

You can also embed it like this:



I actually just watched these videos. To be honest, I've resented Clive Palmer since the last election for being a massive wanker (but I think I was more resenting that people were voting for such an oaf because he had a funny advertising campaign). This wasn't even packed full of rhetoric. He didn't need to be inciting, inspiring etc. He was just saying it how it is. Pretty fucked to think that Clive Palmer has more integrity than the major parties o.o

I quite like Clive lately. I think many peoples views of him are based on misconceptions they created in their head "He's a clown!" etc. That's never the right way to judge or assess someones character. His policy document, i find many of the changes in there agreeable. Since the foundation of his party (more or less) he has supported totally FREE university, just as an example.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: ninwa on May 22, 2014, 01:52:29 am
it makes ok sense. and someone else made a toplel military-industrial complex argument. if you can find out what he said i wanna know

He made several comments in response to questions and seems to be very knowledgeable about this subject.

Quote
^And then contrast everything said above with the fact that they found it necessary to spend 12 billion + on the F-35 JSF project and 300 million + on new Northrop Grumman Triton marine drones. Those are core costs not bringing in the peripheral figures of training and infrastructure. Considering that the F35 is a short range and CTOL jet, those aircraft aren't going to do much more than sit hangared at Australian Airfields and look menacing. They're being bought mostly because of diplomatic alliance equity thats tied up in Washington and considering the fact that the previous government gave the USMC a base in the Northern territory, i don't think we had a problem in that regard. All this is coming at the expense of education, health, and the environment because apparently theres a budget crisis?

it comes down to priority and whether you believe a government should serve big business or its constituents and in respect to that, It feels like this government is stuck in the Thatcherite 80s.
Quote
Heres the way I see it. This particular gripe isn't just about big business but rather misaligned priorities and archaically hawkish defence values that belong in the 80's. We're an island nation and in terms of pure defence, our force projection needs to be able to cope with the strains of maritime logistics and longer distances. So conventional take off, short ranged stealth strike fighers don't really seem of much strategic vantage especially considering that the PLA(N) has blue water naval ambitions and a short, land based fighter won't be of much help in a naval conflict in say the Straits of Malacca/South China Sea which is the most likely scenario were we to be dragged into an incredibly unlikely war with China. Compound this with spirited debate due to the f35s long and troubled production history as to whether it can compete with its main rival (the new generation Su30 Flanker series) and i have my doubts as to why the government has purchased 58 of them.

Its true, funding had been provided to buy 12 JSFs since 2008. Defence has always ben committed to the idea of buying a few. This was to be bolstered with the purchase of new generation f/a18 super hornets and e/a18 growlers last year for a much more well rounded fighter fleet. These are planes that not only outrange the jsf by a good 1000 kms but that Australian pilots and technicians are already familiar with and for which there will not have to be a huge infrastructure overhead cost to make operational. While its a capable jet and we do need to modernise defence platforms with the times, the purchase of 58... 58 new jsfs makes my mind boggle. the only reason to buy so many has to be pressure from corporate and political power brokers in Washington because they need to make this troubled, delayed programme that they've invested so heavily in since the late 1990s pay off. Whether this money was 'squirrelled away' or not, it still seems like an inefficient and clunky use of funds.

All that jargon aside, i really believe that the only way to 'win a war' is to stop or cauterise it before conflict and killing gains momentum. The ADF has a proud history in humanitarian affairs. everything from East Timor to RAMSI brought us international brownie points. The vast majority of our deployments overseas since Vietnam have been non warlike or humanitarian in nature. And the few warlike theatres that we've been involved in are far from conventional. Counter insurgency, asymmetrical conflicts etc that we see not only in the middle east and Afghanistan but also in the Indian ocean (Sri Lanka) and the South East Pacific (Aceh, P&G) aren't won by out-killing the adversary, they're won by out-governing them because the adversary is integrated in a sort of human terrain that gives it support... i.e stabilising regions in which disenfranchisement and violence perpetuate in cycles... where people with little prospects align themselves with violent groups because at least their autocratic militia style governance brings some stability or because they pay financial dividends. In this sense, the ADF can be a vital tool of Australian foreign and humanitarian policy BUT it has always needed some partnership with the development sector (NGOs & State Aid) to consolidate the changes it has tried to make...
...but nup, we cut the foreign aid budget too...

Everybody else here seems to know more than me about health, economy etc so i'll leave it at that long personal ramble about defence policy but fundamentally i think i'm probably just a bit more left leaning than you are

/my2unnecessarilylongwindedcents
Quote
Well I have to admit I wasn't enamoured of the previous govt either. None the less I think they were a bit more measured in their defence and aid spending. The commitment to purchase any JSFs was a bit more gradual (beginning with a commitment to buy just 2 which was enlarged to a single squadron size of 12) and the content of their white papers since 2008 seemed fairly logical. I.e. tailoring defence to suit Australia's unique demographics. Focusing on modernising the navy while downsizing and specialising the regular army and trying to increase focus on the reserves. Considering that were a small country this made sense to me without breaking the bank. There was also quite a bit of focus on starting up a new cyber warfare agency. Other than that I have to concede that I find both parties somewhat similar when it comes to defence and any real answer to your question will only really become apparent when the Abbott govt releases their defence white paper. But I wouldn't have supported labour either had they chosen to make such a huge commitment to the JSF programme
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: JellyDonut on May 22, 2014, 09:28:30 am
ok, that's not actually an argument about big businesses that i thought it was but it's pretty tight
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Inside Out on May 22, 2014, 10:08:35 pm
"I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees."

=> Actually, most people on Centrelink benefits do work; you're thinking of the Newstart payment (i.e. the dole). The dole is for people who are temporarily unemployed and looking for work. Sure, there are some dole bludgers, but its a small price to pay to ensure that those who need money to get by whilst looking for work get that.


Well either way something is obviously flawed with the system.
I'll give you a little example.
My parents work their ass off in factories yet because they meet (just) the limit, i don't get any youth allowance while people get 200 bucks of youth allowance a week because while both of their parents work the mum works in a nail salon, gets paid in cash and doesn't report it. Not to mention we have to pay 60 bucks for meds while they only pay five bucks.
Too many people cheat the system.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: brenden on May 22, 2014, 10:39:29 pm
Well either way something is obviously flawed with the system.
I'll give you a little example.
My parents work their ass off in factories yet because they meet (just) the limit, i don't get any youth allowance while people get 200 bucks of youth allowance a week because while both of their parents work the mum works in a nail salon, gets paid in cash and doesn't report it. Not to mention we have to pay 60 bucks for meds while they only pay five bucks.
Too many people cheat the system.
I think what you're looking for, then, is "I say reduce the amount of people cheating the system". Obviously the system is flawed, but that doesn't mean welfare is. If your parents are in factories, you should be for welfare, because that's what's going to save the workmates of your parents (or even your parents) when whatever company decides they need to save money and make half their staff redundant. 
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 23, 2014, 12:03:18 am
I think what you're looking for, then, is "I say reduce the amount of people cheating the system". Obviously the system is flawed, but that doesn't mean welfare is. If your parents are in factories, you should be for welfare, because that's what's going to save the workmates of your parents (or even your parents) when whatever company decides they need to save money and make half their staff redundant.

Most of the flaws in the system although a large amount of money, aren't a huge amount of money relative to other budget items. The flaws in the welfare system isn't what is causing the budget defecit quite clearly.

Evidence:
Quote
The $1.8 billion in overpayments in 2011-12 was up from $1.7 billion the previous year.

Human Services Department spokeswoman Andrea Fox said the figure of payments wrongfully claimed was "relatively low" when compared to how much money was paid out in total.
-The overpayments also include honest mistakes people make when filling out applications so only a small subset is actually people abusing the system. It is also worth knowing a very very small amount of cases actually resulted in a conviction for fraud, indicating serious fraud is very rare in the Australian system, I will however concede with the high conviction rate for those charged with such frauds, the probably don't charge people unless they have definitive evidence and it is of the most serious cases, probably because the cost of mounting a prosecution probably exceeds the debt the wrongful claimers actually owe back, again just how miniscule the issue of fraud actually is.

from: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/government-cracks-down-on-welfare-fraud/story-e6frg6n6-1226619846555
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: slothpomba on May 23, 2014, 12:26:28 am
My parents work their ass off in factories yet because they meet (just) the limit, i don't get any youth allowance while people get 200 bucks of youth allowance a week because while both of their parents work the mum works in a nail salon, gets paid in cash and doesn't report it. Not to mention we have to pay 60 bucks for meds while they only pay five bucks.
Too many people cheat the system.


The limit has to be set somewhere. A limit by its very nature will have many people who fall just outside it. If we raised it by a bit, you'd get youth allowance but then we'd have other people claiming they missed because they're just over the limit. It's unfortunate you landed in this situation but i hope you can see why it happened.

They are doing multiple illegal things, it is not a virtuous life to lead. The system is designed with the intention that people are honest, like almost every other law or social system out there. Take waiting in a line, the very principal of a line only works if no one pushes, if everyone takes there place. The very idea of having a line is based on the assumption people will actually wait there turn, its the same deal here. They are criminals and they are evading tax, that does not mean we should punish the majority of good, law abiding citizens who need money to live though.

What is the outcome of what you say? You say there are cheats but what then do you think we ought to do about it? Cut welfare payments? Punish the innocent majority because a few minority members cheat it? That's a very bad legal and moral precedent - punishing the innocent majority for something a minority has done. Some people use kitchen knifes to spread people open but most people just use it to spread butter, we should hardly get rid of kitchen knives. It makes no sense to throw the baby out with the bath water.

Here is a piece of literature from a few centuries ago. It should reminded us how far we have come. It is only through social progress and a strong welfare state that the life of the average worker has become far less cruel than what is written here. We should be constantly on guard of a slow slip backwards. Especially one so gradually sinister and slow that it merely chisels aways fragments until we find we have nothing left.

A little excerpt...

Spoiler
AN APPEAL TO THE YOUNG - PETER KROPOTKIN

It is to the young that I wish to address myself today. Let the old - I mean of course the old in heart and mind - lay the pamphlet down therefore without tiring their eyes in reading what will tell them nothing.

I assume that you are about eighteen or twenty years of age; that you have finished your apprenticeship or your studies; that you are just entering into life. I take it for granted that you have a mind free from the superstition which your teachers have sought to force upon you; that you don't fear the devil, and that you do not go to hear parsons and ministers rant. More, that you are not one of the fops, sad products of a society in decay, who display their well-cut trousers and their monkey faces in the park, and who even at their early age have only an insatiable longing for pleasure at any price...I assume on the contrary that you have a warm heart, and for this reason I talk to you.

A first question, I know, occurs to you - you have often asked yourself: "What am I going to be?" In fact when a man is young he understands that after having studied a trade or a science for several years - at the cost of society, mark - he has not done this in order that he should make use of his acquirements as instruments of plunder for his own gain, and he must be depraved indeed and utterly cankered by vice who has not dreamed that one day he would apply his intelligence, his abilities, his knowledge to help on the enfranchisement of those who today grovel in misery and in ignorance.

You are one of those who has had such a vision, are you not? Very well, let us see what you must do to make your dream a reality.

I do not know in what rank you were born. Perhaps, favored by fortune, you have turned your attention to the study of science; you are to be a doctor, a barrister, a man of letters, or a scientific man; a wide field opens up before you; you enter upon life with extensive knowledge, with a trained intelligence. Or, on the other hand, you are perhaps only an honest artisan whose knowledge of science is limited by the little that you have learnt at school; but you have had the advantage of learning at first hand what a life of exhausting toil is the lot of the worker of our time.

TO THE “INTELLECTUALS”
To Doctors

I stop at the first supposition, to return afterward to the second; I assume then that you have received a scientific education. Let us suppose you intend to be - a doctor. Tomorrow a man in corduroys will come to fetch you to see a sick woman. He will lead you into one of those alleys where the opposite neighbors can almost shake hands over the heads of the passersby; you ascend into a foul atmosphere by the flickering light of a little illtrimmed lamp; you climb two, three, four, five flights of filthy stairs, and in a dark, cold room you find the sick woman, lying on a pallet covered with dirty rags. Pale, livid children, shivering under their scanty garments, gaze at you with their big eyes wide open. The husband has worked all this life twelve or thirteen hours a day at, no matter what; now he has been out of work for three months. To be out of employ is not rare in his trade; it happens every year, periodically. But, formerly, when he was out of work his wife went out a charwoman - perhaps to wash your shirts - at the rate of fifteen pence a day; now she has been bedridden for two months, and misery glares upon the family in all its squalid hideousness.

What will you prescribe for the sick woman, doctor - you who have seen at a glance that the cause of her illness is general anemia, want of good food, lack of fresh air? Say, a good beefsteak every day? a little exercise in the country? a dry and well-ventilated bedroom? What irony! If she could have afforded it this would have been done long since without waiting for your advice.

If you have a good heart, a frank address, an honest face, the family will tell you many things. They will tell you that the woman on the other side of the partition, who coughs a cough which tears your heart, is a poor ironer; that a flight of stairs lower down all the children have the fever; that the washerwoman who occupies the ground floor will not live to see the spring; and that in the house next door things are still worse.

What will you say to all these sick people? Recommend them generous diet, change of air, less exhausting toil...You only wish you could but you daren't and you go out heartbroken, with a curse upon your lips.

The next day, as you still brood over the fate of the dwellers in this dog-hutch, your partner tells you that yesterday a footman came to fetch him, this time in a carriage. It was for the owner of a fine house, for a lady worn out with sleepless nights, who devotes all her life to dressing, visits, balls, and squabbles with a stupid husband. Your friend has prescribed for her a less preposterous habit of life, a less heating diet, walks in the fresh air, an even temperament, and, in order to make up in some measure for the want of useful work, a little gymnastic exercise in her bedroom.

The one is dying because she has never had enough food nor enough rest in her whole life; the other pines because she has never known what work is since she was born.

If you are one of those miserable natures who adapt themselves to anything, who at the sight of the most revolting spectacles console themselves with a gentle sigh and a glass of sherry, then you wilt gradually become used to these contrasts, and the nature of the beast favoring your endeavors, your sole idea will be to lift yourself into the ranks of the pleasure-seekers, so that you may never again find yourself among the wretched. But if you are a Man, if every sentiment is translated in your case into an action of the will; if, in you, the beast has not crushed the intelligent being, then you will return home one day saying to yourself, "No, it is unjust; this must not go on any longer. It is not enough to cure diseases; we must prevent them. A little good living and intellectual development would score off our lists half the patients and half the diseases. Throw physic to the dogs! Air, good diet, less crushing toil - that is how we must begin. Without this, the whole profession of a doctor is nothing but trickery and humbug."

That very day you will understand Socialism. You will wish to know it thoroughly, and if altruism is not a word devoid of significance for you, if you apply to the study of the social question the rigid induction of the natural philosopher, you will end by finding yourself in our ranks, and you will work as we work, to bring about the Social Revolution.

Spoiler
To Artists

Lastly, you, young artist, sculptor, painter, poet, musician, do you not observe that the sacred fire which inspired your predecessors is wanting in the men of today? that art is commonplace and mediocrity reigns supreme?

Could it be otherwise? The delight of having rediscovered the ancient world, of having bathed afresh in the springs of nature which created the masterpieces of the Renaissance no longer exists for the art of our time; the revolutionary ideal has left it cold until now, and, failing an ideal, our art fancies that it has found one in realism when it painfully photographs in colors the dewdrop on the leaf of a plant, imitates the muscles in the leg of a cow, or describes minutely in prose and verse the suffocating filth of a sewer, the boudoir of a whore of high degree.

"But, if this is so, what is to be done?" you say. If, I reply, the sacred fire that you say you possess is nothing better than a smoldering wick, then you will go on doing as you have done, and your art will speedily degenerate into the trade of decorator of tradesmen's shops, of a purveyor of librettos to third-rate operettas, and tales for Christmas Annuals - most of you are already running down that grade with a head of steam on...

But, if your heart really beats in unison with that of humanity, if like a true poet you have an ear for Life, then gazing out upon this sea of sorrow whose tide sweeps up around you, face to face with these people dying of hunger, in the presence of these corpses piled up in the mines, and these mutilated bodies lying in heaps on the barricades, looking on these long lines of exiles who are going to bury themselves in the snows of Siberia and in the marshes of tropical islands; in full view of this desperate battle which is being fought, amid the cries of pain from the conquered and the orgies of the victors, of heroism in conflict with cowardice, of noble determination face to face with contemptible cunning - you cannot remain neutral; you will come and take the side of the oppressed because you know that the beautiful, the sublime, the spirit of life itself are on the side of those who fight for light, for humanity, for justice!
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 23, 2014, 11:11:26 am
http://www.theage.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/stop-your-complaints-says-budget-architect-tony-shepherd-20140522-38rv2.html

Well, well, well.

Summary of article: "Oh stop whining you self-entitled dole bludgers! You should be thanking us for the fact that we give you anything at all, when if the natural order were to exist and everybody got what they deserved, you would be left with no food. Get over yourselves and live within your means."

This makes me sick.

Have a look at the comments. Makes me wonder how progressive youth turn into cynical adults.

On another note, just some food for thought. Where we say that "the poor are hit the hardest in this budget", a right winger would probably say that "you say it as if the poor were contributing to the tax system. they don't. the money they get, that's our money, our charity. we are well within our rights to not give them anything at all, but the fact that we give them anything, even though it's less than what it used to be, they should be grateful about that. like us giving tax money to them doesn't benefit us at all, and we worked for that money".

Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 23, 2014, 08:24:51 pm
http://www.thestringerdaily.com/future-australian-mother-feeds-children-warm-budget-surplus-for-dinner/

Quote
Local mother Carol Osborne served up a lovely, warm budget surplus to her three hungry children on a cold winter night in 2019. After rushing home from work, the single mum was relieved when she remembered the overflow of beautiful budget surplus she still had left in the fridge, and quickly threw together a scrumptious meal. Always concerned about giving her kids the right food, the divorced 39-year-old thanked her lucky stars that the budget surplus not only contained all the right nutrients her young kids needed to help them grow, but it also never sparked push-back from her children because they always relished the budget surplus’ delectable taste.

“I’ve just got to thank the Abbott government from 5 years ago for all this invaluable budget surplus I’ve got around the house,” gushed the empowered Mum, “the kids love it, I love it. It’s affected me in a very real, positive way this budget surplus.” And the uses for budget surplus do not apparently end there. Unemployed 27-year-old Dennis Tamworth also told reporters how priceless budget surplus had been in keeping his spirits up as he searched for work. “For the last four months it’s been pretty tough going as I haven’t had work, or any financial support from the Government,” Tamworth explained, “but at least I’ve got budget surplus to live off during this difficult time. I don’t know what I would have done if it weren’t for this budget surplus.”

At press time, scientists were allegedly optimistic that budget surplus could soon be utilised to combat the effects of global warming worldwide.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 24, 2014, 03:19:50 pm
I'm hardly one to argue for keeping a balanced budget at all costs, but having a constant (structural) deficit is not a good thing. It's not about the end - an important one - rather about the means.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 24, 2014, 04:24:40 pm
I'm hardly one to argue for keeping a balanced budget at all costs, but having a constant (structural) deficit is not a good thing. It's not about the end - an important one - rather about the means.
It's hardly a concern for us yet though, as this article points out (written by a Nobel economist): http://www.smh.com.au/comment/australia-you-dont-know-how-good-youve-got-it-20130901-2sytb.html

And yes this is the second time I've cited this article in this thread.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 24, 2014, 04:34:54 pm
It's hardly a concern for us yet though, as this article points out (written by a Nobel economist): http://www.smh.com.au/comment/australia-you-dont-know-how-good-youve-got-it-20130901-2sytb.html

And yes this is the second time I've cited this article in this thread.

Just because public debt isn't high Enough to be a concern yet, doesn't mean we shouldn't actively be trying to reduce it.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 24, 2014, 04:53:26 pm
It's hardly a concern for us yet though, as this article points out (written by a Nobel economist): http://www.smh.com.au/comment/australia-you-dont-know-how-good-youve-got-it-20130901-2sytb.html

And yes this is the second time I've cited this article in this thread.
I'm going to have a go at predicting what the article says without reading it. Yes, our gross-debt-to-GDP ratio is one of the lowest in the world. (Or maybe they used net debt - the end result is about the same, except that countries that maintain their natural resource revenues as long-term assets would then be lower than us.) Yes, we have triple-A ratings from S&P, Moody's and Fitch.

That doesn't mean we should become complacent and start building large structural deficits, as the US did in the early 2000s. What happens then is that when revenues start declining, a feature of the bust part of the 'boom-and-bust' cycle (see: GFC), you start having even higher deficits. Things then become a lot trickier, and you need to implement austerity measures instead of stimulating the economy (see: most of Europe).

I'm not saying we need to reach zero net debt, or even necessarily zero deficit (a surplus) in the medium-term. But right now, the global economy is recovering, and it's time to start thinking about reducing our deficits. This is something the previous Labor government did do, and deficits were projected to shrink. Most of the further spending cuts by the Liberal government have an ideological rationale, rather than an economic one.

tl;dr: The budget is shit, but reducing deficits is a legitimate and important goal. When the economy is doing well, you want surpluses or low deficits.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: MJRomeo81 on May 24, 2014, 05:45:14 pm
Some of the comments I have heard recently have been laughable.

"Parents should start saving now to prevent their children from suffering a crippling HECs debt".

LMFAO. Ok. Sure, really expensive degrees (Med, Law, eng, etc.) might cost an arm and a leg but it's expected that your future salary will easily pay it off (and if it doesn't, why is this the case? Too many graduates being pumped out?) Even other degrees aren't that bad when you consider how little is deducted from your wage week by week. Now if you want to do a generic degree that doesn't lead to employment then that isn't the taxpayers problem; it's yours.

Furthermore, these student protesters should be angry at the Universities, not Pyne. In theory, shouldn't deregulation allow some universities to offer affordable and competitive costs? But oh no...now they will ALL charge the maximum. While still making you pay for parking, printing, etc. Is this Pyne's fault? Or greedy VCs who pocket FAT salaries every year?

So the incredible house prices in Melbourne aren't crippling? I really wish one of these political parties had the balls to scrap rorts such as negative gearing.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Professor Polonsky on May 24, 2014, 06:02:41 pm
Furthermore, these student protesters should be angry at the Universities, not Pyne. In theory, shouldn't deregulation allow some universities to offer affordable and competitive costs? But oh no...now they will ALL charge the maximum. While still making you pay for parking, printing, etc. Is this Pyne's fault? Or greedy VCs who pocket FAT salaries every year?
The reason Go8 universities have been pushing for deregulation is two-fold.

First, government funding for universities is insufficient. In many faculties, they actually lose money on every domestic student that they enrol; a loss that they have to recoup by enrolling international students. And as a result of the efficiency dividend (yes, this is a Labor policy) I would not be surprised if they started laying off professional staff.

Second, Go8 universities want to differentiate themselves from the rest of the pack by becoming Americanized research-intensive elite universities. Part of that is the ability to charge exorbitant fees.

It is true that the second part can be partly blamed on the ambitions of VCs and their fellow bureaucrats, but the first is clearly the Commonwealth's fault. Even in regards to that though, the Commonwealth is the one that ultimately sets the policy - it should be able to tell the Go8 VCs no, as Labor did. (They've been pushing for dereg for about four years now.)

"Parents should start saving now to prevent their children from suffering a crippling HECs debt".

LMFAO. Ok. Sure, really expensive degrees (Med, Law, eng, etc.) might cost an arm and a leg but it's expected that your future salary will easily pay it off (and if it doesn't, why is this the case? Too many graduates being pumped out?) Even other degrees aren't that bad when you consider how little is deducted from your wage week by week. Now if you want to do a generic degree that doesn't lead to employment then that isn't the taxpayers problem; it's yours.
The issue isn't whether you go into a job that pays enough to repay the loan. The repayment rate is proportional to your income anyway, and will remain the same (with only a slight modification) after these reforms.

The issue is the duration of the loan - how long it will take to pay it back. Instead of paying it through your 20s and early 30s - mostly before you have to start providing for kids, and your expenses go up - you are going to have to continue paying that 7% or so of your wage for another 10-20 years. Once you hit your 30s and, despite earning a decent (say $100,000 in today's money) wage, it will be a serious burden to still have a HECS loan to repay once you add a mortgage, kids etc into the equation.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: ninwa on May 24, 2014, 06:38:33 pm
ok, that's not actually an argument about big businesses that i thought it was but it's pretty tight

Just curious, what did you think his argument was going to be?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 24, 2014, 09:07:11 pm
Just because public debt isn't high Enough to be a concern yet, doesn't mean we shouldn't actively be trying to reduce it.
Well obviously, but we're also not at a state where the government can be justifying vicious, unjust cuts to public spending on the back of a 'debt crisis' because that crisis is completely artificial.

Most of the further spending cuts by the Liberal government have an ideological rationale, rather than an economic one.
This essentially is my problem with the budget. Even if we should be doing what we can to reduce our debt that's not what the government is doing, they're just using it as an excuse to make cuts that justify their social ideologies.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: MJRomeo81 on May 24, 2014, 09:51:50 pm
Even if we should be doing what we can to reduce our debt that's not what the government is doing, they're just using it as an excuse to make cuts that justify their social ideologies.

The LNP and the Labour parties just have different philosophies about how to make a country strong. The tireless suggestion that Tony and Smokin' Joe are only interested in looking after their "mates" in the big end of town is utter nonsense. It's just that they believe that the country is best run via stronger businesses which then create employment and lifts everyone up.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: M_BONG on May 24, 2014, 10:33:49 pm
The LNP and the Labour parties just have different philosophies about how to make a country strong. The tireless suggestion that Tony and Smokin' Joe are only interested in looking after their "mates" in the big end of town is utter nonsense. It's just that they believe that the country is best run via stronger businesses which then create employment and lifts everyone up.
You see - the businesses that won't be hurt as much by the budget are those that are at the "big end of town"- eg .lowering company tax, doing nothing about tax avoidance such as negative gearing, injecting large subsidies to the mining sector while we pay more for petrol, disproportional levy on the rich, giving $50,000 to even the richest 1%  through the Paid Parental Leave Scheme etc. Oh I have to mention, my personal favourite, spending $240 million on religious chaplains in schools (wtf?). So yes, the Coalition may not be explicitly creating greater inequalities but through inaction, they are implicitly creating less opportunities for those on low incomes EVEN when they are employed.

Businesses do create employment and drive the economy; but remember the sector that allows these businesses to function: real people. If Abbott thinks his neoliberalist, "leave it all to the free market" ideology is going to work.... well there's going to be a lot of people left behind.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: hobbitle on May 27, 2014, 09:39:53 pm
(http://www.distractify.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads//2014/05/1782105_778429402185641_418958319_n-620x.jpg)
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: charmanderp on May 27, 2014, 09:56:36 pm
The LNP and the Labour parties just have different philosophies about how to make a country strong. The tireless suggestion that Tony and Smokin' Joe are only interested in looking after their "mates" in the big end of town is utter nonsense. It's just that they believe that the country is best run via stronger businesses which then create employment and lifts everyone up.
We'll see.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 28, 2014, 07:53:01 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kgih2ORI8Z8&sns=em

Food for thought, perhaps. Also places some of our attitudes towards protest in perspective.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: IndefatigableLover on May 28, 2014, 08:47:27 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kgih2ORI8Z8&sns=em

Food for thought, perhaps. Also places some of our attitudes towards protest in perspective.
LOL I was just going to post the same thing albeit one of many articles instead xD
But seriously the irony...
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: simpak on May 28, 2014, 09:53:19 pm
What I get out of that video is not really 'Hockey is a hypocrite' but more 'and if we look into the future of most everyone in this thread, in x years time they also will not give a shit about university fees'. Idealism fades with age, well documented, boring.

Re: that article. The final quote from Hockey is actually quite true - whilst I don't support the current changes to HECS in any way shape or form, my aunty couldn't even go to university because my grandma could only afford to send one child to uni and thought that my dad would find it more useful simply because he was male.  At least we don't live in that Australia anymore...higher education has seen sorer times.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: xenial on May 28, 2014, 10:17:11 pm
I was more interested in the manner of protestation. I wonder how people would react if a university was occupied like that today.

I've never really figured out why idealism fades with age. Why? It's obviously not because they become more politically enlightened - people still fall on some spectrum of educated to politically ignorant, but generally they're more conservative. Is it cynicism?
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: alondouek on May 28, 2014, 10:28:47 pm
I think it's cynicism in some people, but I'd argue it's more just mellowing of opinions over time.

The video shows this pretty nicely; we have younger Joe Hockey as a progressive, nowadays he's a key member in a highly conservative government. Conversely, we have Malcolm Fraser who headed up a fairly conservative Liberal government and is not endorsing Greens candidates in later life.

Essentially, people's opinions change over time because what is important to them changes over time as well. Early 20's Uni Student Joe Hockey understandably cared about university fees; late 40s Politician Joe Hockey is obviously more focused on other things. I wouldn't call it hypocrisy because he's (assumedly) not advocating for something he doesn't really believe in - he likely wouldn't be Coalition treasurer if this were the case. Simply put, his priorities have shifted, just like Fraser's has.






Side note: I feel like that this is an inherent weakness in democracy, in that those generally representing the population aren't often actually reflective of the strata of populations they represent due to age gap and resultant differing of interests.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: chasej on May 28, 2014, 10:42:17 pm
I think it's cynicism in some people, but I'd argue it's more just mellowing of opinions over time.

The video shows this pretty nicely; we have younger Joe Hockey as a progressive, nowadays he's a key member in a highly conservative government. Conversely, we have Malcolm Fraser who headed up a fairly conservative Liberal government and is not endorsing Greens candidates in later life.

Essentially, people's opinions change over time because what is important to them changes over time as well. Early 20's Uni Student Joe Hockey understandably cared about university fees; late 40s Politician Joe Hockey is obviously more focused on other things. I wouldn't call it hypocrisy because he's (assumedly) not advocating for something he doesn't really believe in - he likely wouldn't be Coalition treasurer if this were the case. Simply put, his priorities have shifted, just like Fraser's has.






Side note: I feel like that this is an inherent weakness in democracy, in that those generally representing the population aren't often actually reflective of the strata of populations they represent due to age gap and resultant differing of interests.

I think the message that can be taken from this that generally people, regardless of whether they are left or right wing, are inherently self-interested.
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: kinslayer on May 28, 2014, 11:43:48 pm
I think the message that can be taken from this that generally people, regardless of whether they are left or right wing, are inherently self-interested.

^ I was going to post this. At the end of the day, Joe Hockey will do what's best for Joe Hockey, which given his current position of significant power and privilege, is to uphold the party line and that of his political supporters. I'd be surprised if he still thinks that uni should be free for everyone, but I suspect that's currently not relevant.

*edited
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: thushan on May 31, 2014, 11:12:54 am
http://www.theage.com.au/business/university-fees-to-be-regulated-under-pynes-reforms-20140530-399pd.html

@slothpomba: this analysis correlates well with yours about deregulation of university fees
Title: Re: Budget 2014
Post by: Ballerina on May 31, 2014, 12:30:56 pm
I think the message that can be taken from this that generally people, regardless of whether they are left or right wing, are inherently self-interested.

Oh wow, you've eloquently described what I've been trying to sum politics up as for 20 years, ty