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VCE Stuff => VCE Mathematics => VCE Mathematics/Science/Technology => VCE Subjects + Help => VCE Mathematical Methods CAS => Topic started by: Andiio on September 14, 2010, 07:56:09 pm

Title: Probability help?
Post by: Andiio on September 14, 2010, 07:56:09 pm
Two bowls each contain 8 pieces of fruit. In bowl 'A' there are five oranges and three apples, in bowl B there is one orange and seven apples.

One bowl is chosen at random and from it 2 pieces of fruit are chosen at random, the first piece of fruit being replaced before the second is chosen. if both pieces of fruit are apples, find the probability that bowl 'A' was chosen.

Thanks in advance!
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: Aqualim on September 14, 2010, 08:43:49 pm
I'm gonna suggest setting up two tree diagrams, one for bowl A and one for Bowl B, although there is probably an easier to do this.
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: UncleXxx on September 14, 2010, 08:53:03 pm
Sorry if it's too messy.

Assuming that both bowls have an equal chance of being selected.

SOrry if i'm wrong.
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: Andiio on September 14, 2010, 09:02:07 pm
yeah that's wat i thought at first, but isn't it supposed to be A intersection B, not A union B in the numerator of the conditional. prob formula? I was thinking of doing that but then I got stuck on calculating the intersection :/

oh wait they are independent events.. .hmm
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: UncleXxx on September 14, 2010, 09:03:40 pm
Sorry my bad, that should have been intersection. Other than that, the working out should be fine. I think =]

(fixed the drawing)
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: Andiio on September 14, 2010, 09:04:54 pm
Mm yep, haha
So wait, are the bowls and apples independent events? B/c if you pick the other bowl then you get a diff amount of apples :/
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: UncleXxx on September 14, 2010, 09:07:28 pm
I thought the probablity of an apple being picked depends on which bowl it is. If i picked bowl A the probability of picking an apple will be different to the probability of picking an apple in bowl B.

Hope that makes sense
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: Andiio on September 14, 2010, 09:09:47 pm
Oh yep, so they are necessarily independent events 'INSIDE' the bowls? But they aren't outside? (If what I just said makes sense haha)
Title: Re: Probability help?
Post by: UncleXxx on September 14, 2010, 09:12:38 pm
Sorry, i don't really understand that. You'll probably need someone else to clear things up for you. That's all the help i could provide. Gl =]