The SEAS cut-off will most likely increase a few points. Also, getting a place for Biomed at UoM depends whether you get your first preference I think. If you get Monash Med, then you won't get any offers for other preferences because you have already received your first one (correct me if i'm wrong). If I were you, personally I would place Biomed at UoM higher than Biomed at Monash, because it is better. You should also know that you can't apply for all unis through VTAC, just the Victorian ones, so you will have to apply through QTAC, VTAC... etc. and even directly for some I believe (JCU Med/Surgery there is a separate form which has to be signed by your principle). Also, the UMAT cutoffs for Monash Med and pretty much everywhere else will be likely to increase, like in 2010 is was 93rd percentile, last yr it was 95th, and it seems to be a linear climb, so maybe 96th or 97th this yr.