In reality, the students that attempt to complete methods 3/4 in Year 11, only about half in some schools proceed on to specialist mathematics the year after. The scaling for 2012 A) will depend on the number of students performing it, the boost for SS points was mainly due to the declining number of specialist mathematics students the years after from traditional 6000 of the students completing VCE, to in 2011, the approximately 4000 students that are completing it. In addition, there is the assumption, that because you are generally good at maths, does not give the premise that you will automatically do high or get a higher study score at Specialist, merely for the fact. Specialist mathematics has difficult concepts that take a while to sink in and the fact that there are many things that need to be interpreted with good english rather than a fully fledged mathematics mind. In this case, there are ESL students that have attempted Methods and gotten mid/end 30-40's, yet only get 30 in specialist.
In addition, specialist mathematics has a greater workload, depending on the school, but contrary to that, then again, all books have many questions that take time to process and complete, and the expectation that every question is done in most schools.
Unlike further, which has maybe 10 minutes per excercise, per se, excluding the graphing excercises in the TIME Series chapters, it is evident through the scaling. Trust me, I've already done it.
The easier subject to get higher on, has very little scaling, but the subject that takes effort and time in this regard is rewarded. But compared to last year, it was slightly errerd. The fact that one could lose two marks for the further exam and only lose one study score point, in comparison to the specialist exam 1 mark per study score point.
There is also the point that methods in Year 11, is quite easy to get into. At most schools it is a C+ average in Year 10, which proceeds to Unit one and 2, and then in Year 11, Unit 3 and 4. At many schools, there are students that expect that as they were able to skip Unit 1 and 2 for the pressure of doing a 3/4 in Year 11, believe that it is quite easy to get a high 30's.
Evidently, they usually get low 30's, like the ones that I have heard at many schools.
Finally, my prediction is that spesh will stay at 12-13, only one up from last yaer. Methods last year suffered a -1, from the orginal scaling, the usual + 5 after 39 turned into a +4, no effect for further, but evidently, if specialist raisesd again this year, methods will most likely go to the +3, from the +4 last year.