Oh i think i know what you are saying.
Yes increase in H2Co3 will create a net back reaction which increases CO2 and H20, so this leads to the netback reaction in reaction 1 due to increased CO2,
but your asking why does H20 that increase, not cause a net forward reaction?
Well, in an equilirbium reaction,
A + B --> C
If C is increased, that means A and B will also increase, and this will result in equilibrium being formed. There is no need to further decrease the increased B, because you've aready established equilibrium despite more B.
it's just how it works, so lost some C, to increase the other side to get equilibrium again, and then its done, no more changes need to occur.
this is the same with the increase in water, it doesnt need to change anymore as its already increased to the left to establish equilibrium, anymore changes would only occur if more water was added, not since it was done by the system itself to actually get the equilibrium state.
all good now xD?