Be interesting to see what happens if Trump becomes president.
Do you guys reckon trump could possibly win? i mean they just had a vote kinda thingy and he lost...but it was 28-24...he only lost by 4 and thats not a lot...don''t really favour him (at all)
Trump won't become President, he'd get slaughtered by Clinton in the general election, and that's if he wins the nomination (which isn't looking likely).
Last night was a caucus - an event where parties decide who their nominee is. Each state hosts one (or a primary). Iowa goes first - they have relatively little say, but because they're first, they can make or break campaigns. Trump will probably win NH and SC, but it's hard to see him actually winning the nomination.
Predictions:
Marco Rubio will be the Republican nominee.
Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee.
General election would be extremely close. It really depends on how well the economy continues to recover under Obama's policies I think.
Yep, agree with this. 90%+ certainty on Clinton (seriously, unless there's a major, unheard of scandal prior to June, she'll be the nominee). Much less certain on Rubio, but he's the only 'moderate' (note scare quotes) candidate who actually went well in Iowa.
NH will be interesting for the GOP - a good showing there for Rubio will cement his status as the 'establishment frontrunner'. That said, there's a long and gruelling primary season ahead for everyone on the GOP side. This will play well for Clinton (a mirror of 2008, when a brutal Democrat primary season played well for the Republicans!)
The electoral (vote) math is getting pretty challenging for Republicans these days. Rubio will be able to pick up swing states that Obama won in 2012, but it's hard to see him making up the 60 odd votes needed to win. Plus, he's largely an untested commodity, recall what happened when a virtual unknown was dropped into a Presidential ticket in 2008...
This map is, in my opinion the
worst case scenario for a Democratic candidate. It's certainly very close, but it still (narrowly) gets them over the line. I'd probably say that VA would go blue as well, FL would go red if Rubio's the nominee, OH, who knows.
America has an irrational obsession with freedom of speech and hates being told that racism/sexism/whatever is a Bad Thing
This, especially those in the right in America.