As a part of our holiday homework, we got Probability stuff to work on :/
Not sure why, seeing as you mentioned...we'll probably forget most of it by the time we get around to the topic later in the year.
Yeah, that's strange. I think the majority of schools do functions and algebra as the first few topics, although perhaps your school is doing probability as its first topic? Otherwise, I wouldn't weight the probability homework too heavily (I'd concentrate on things like discriminants, transformations, sketching functions, etc.)
Personally, I think probability is easy as a review section (because what is covered in Year 11 Prob is relatively basic, apart from a few tricky conditional probability questions); however, it's the section of the methods course with the most new content in Year 12. That's why I would think many schools cover it later, to keep it fresher in students' minds towards the exam (I know that that system worked for me
).
Nonetheless, these are just my thoughts, and there's no harm in previewing new content!