Login

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

May 14, 2024, 01:22:53 am

Author Topic: Atar Estimate  (Read 5457 times)  Share 

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

BPunjabi

  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 262
  • So... Hows life?
  • Respect: 0
Atar Estimate
« on: September 05, 2016, 09:56:11 am »
0
=====================================================================
Eng Adv.: 45/78
A History: 2/9
2 Unit Maths: 32/39
2 Unit RE: 54/100
IPT: 1 or 2 /19 (All marks being added up, im either one of those ranks)

School Rank : 201 Last year but this year definitely in the 150's
====================================================================

Did HSC in 2016 and was first person to get 100. Aeronautical engineering for me now :P
  <-- CLICK ME

jamonwindeyer

  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 10150
  • The lurker from the north.
  • Respect: +3108
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2016, 11:17:48 am »
0
=====================================================================
Eng Adv.: 45/78
A History: 2/9
2 Unit Maths: 32/39
2 Unit RE: 54/100
IPT: 1 or 2 /19 (All marks being added up, im either one of those ranks)

School Rank : 201 Last year but this year definitely in the 150's
====================================================================

Hey there! Welcome to the forums! ;D

Quick Aside: School rank plays no direct role in determining your ATAR. I got 99.80 from a 300+ ranked school. Yes, your cohorts performance counts, but 95% of the work is all on you :)

It's tricky to give an ATAR estimate with ranks alone. All I can say is that the moderation process will be very kind to you for Ancient History and IPT, reasonably kind for English and SOR II, perhaps not too kind for 2 Unit Mathematics. But exactly what effect that has depends on the sorts of marks you are pulling, and further, the sorts of marks you think you can pull in the HSC exam! :)

rachs23

  • Fresh Poster
  • *
  • Posts: 3
  • Respect: 0
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #2 on: September 05, 2016, 12:51:03 pm »
0
Hey,

These are my final ranks for all of my HSC subjects:

English Advanced: 2/67
Biology: 2/80
Legal Studies:1/46
Business Studies: 1/52
Mathematics General: 1/60
English Extension 1: 3/7

My assessment ranks for all of my subjects would be in the 90s expects Mathematics General and Biology which would be high 80s. My school would be somewhere in the 200s.

From this, is it possible to give a rough atar estimate??

Thanks!

RuiAce

  • ATAR Notes Lecturer
  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 8814
  • "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
  • Respect: +2575
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #3 on: September 05, 2016, 01:00:53 pm »
0
Disclaimer: ATAR estimates are never accurate. I got estimated a 91.2 and I got way higher. Plus I don't use the ATAR calculator nor do I use the raw marks database - I'm going off intuition.

=====================================================================
Eng Adv.: 45/78
A History: 2/9
2 Unit Maths: 32/39
2 Unit RE: 54/100
IPT: 1 or 2 /19 (All marks being added up, im either one of those ranks)

School Rank : 201 Last year but this year definitely in the 150's
====================================================================
89-92.3
Hey,

These are my final ranks for all of my HSC subjects:

English Advanced: 2/67
Biology: 2/80
Legal Studies:1/46
Business Studies: 1/52
Mathematics General: 1/60
English Extension 1: 3/7

My assessment ranks for all of my subjects would be in the 90s expects Mathematics General and Biology which would be high 80s. My school would be somewhere in the 200s.

From this, is it possible to give a rough atar estimate??

Thanks!
91-95.5
« Last Edit: September 05, 2016, 01:02:51 pm by RuiAce »

jamonwindeyer

  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 10150
  • The lurker from the north.
  • Respect: +3108
Atar Estimate
« Reply #4 on: September 05, 2016, 01:21:37 pm »
0
Hey,

These are my final ranks for all of my HSC subjects:

English Advanced: 2/67
Biology: 2/80
Legal Studies:1/46
Business Studies: 1/52
Mathematics General: 1/60
English Extension 1: 3/7

My assessment ranks for all of my subjects would be in the 90s expects Mathematics General and Biology which would be high 80s. My school would be somewhere in the 200s.

From this, is it possible to give a rough atar estimate??

Thanks!

Massively disagree with Rui here (this happens on Occassion ;) ) - If you get the marks you have now in the HSC, especially with those ranks, I think you'd be looking at above 95 pretty comfortably, if you can work hard and get everything into the 90's, then perhaps even higher!

RuiAce

  • ATAR Notes Lecturer
  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 8814
  • "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
  • Respect: +2575
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #5 on: September 05, 2016, 01:25:26 pm »
0
Massively disagree with Rui here (this happens on Occassion ;) ) - If you get the marks you have now in the HSC, especially with those ranks, I think you'd be looking at above 95 pretty comfortably, if you can work hard and get everything into the 90's, then perhaps even higher!
I always leave huge disclaimers for ATAR estimates because I already know how unreliable they are anyhow

jamonwindeyer

  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 10150
  • The lurker from the north.
  • Respect: +3108
Atar Estimate
« Reply #6 on: September 05, 2016, 01:50:58 pm »
0
I always leave huge disclaimers for ATAR estimates because I already know how unreliable they are anyhow

We should construct an estimator and calculate a standard error:



Lectures are fun!!

RuiAce

  • ATAR Notes Lecturer
  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 8814
  • "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
  • Respect: +2575
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #7 on: September 05, 2016, 05:43:09 pm »
0
Calm down :P

Also, my estimates are based off current positions. I never factor in improvement with an ATAR estimate

onepunchboy

  • Forum Regular
  • **
  • Posts: 91
  • Respect: +5
  • School: Concord High
  • School Grad Year: 2016
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2016, 08:21:20 am »
0
Hey could you also estimate my atar? I didnt do very well in the trials and dropped a few ranks
My school is ranked 120ish
Eng adv-trial mark : 83 rank: 13/37ish
Math 2u : trial mark : 82 rank : 5/35ish
Modern: trial mark : 72 rank: 7/15
Eco: trial mark: 72 rank:7/15
Chem: trial mark : 72 rank: 9/35-39ish
Thankss

RuiAce

  • ATAR Notes Lecturer
  • Honorary Moderator
  • Great Wonder of ATAR Notes
  • *******
  • Posts: 8814
  • "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
  • Respect: +2575
Re: Atar Estimate
« Reply #9 on: September 07, 2016, 08:48:57 am »
0
Hey could you also estimate my atar? I didnt do very well in the trials and dropped a few ranks
My school is ranked 120ish
Eng adv-trial mark : 83 rank: 13/37ish
Math 2u : trial mark : 82 rank : 5/35ish
Modern: trial mark : 72 rank: 7/15
Eco: trial mark: 72 rank:7/15
Chem: trial mark : 72 rank: 9/35-39ish
Thankss
90-95.8

Once again, emphasising the inaccuracy of the estimate.
« Last Edit: September 07, 2016, 09:03:14 am by RuiAce »