mid 30s study score?

[nights]

hey,
i'm currently in year 11 and my sacs for my 3/4 subject (philosophy) this year have been pretty awful.
my grades for each outcome were roughly around 57% for unit 3 and 52% for unit 4, and the exam weighs in 50% of my study score.
our cohort in this subject has been pretty strong in past years (with around 9 out of 20 students achieving a 40+ last year), and if this pattern continues this year's results might be pretty similar.
the highest mark for each sac was usually around 90%, so i think each outcome would get scaled up by 10%? not sure if that's how it works or if this info is any relevant but yeah
does anyone think it's still possible to get around 34-35 raw assuming i do relatively okay (60%+, hopefully) on the exam? and taking into consideration sac moderation etc etc. i had a look at the graded distributions for philosophy and the mean grade in the 2018 exam was 45% if that helps, too
sorry if all of this sounded rlly pretentious i just. really don't know what i'm doing or what to expect. numbers suck and i understand that it's hard to predict anything but any insight would be really appreciated
thanks!