AFL 2018: The Squiggle Speaks

[Joseph41]

For those who are unfamiliar with The Squiggle, you're in for quite a ride haha.

It's basically a visual representation of, mathematically, where each side sits. It's updated live as games are played. Really cool thing. You can also see your team's progress as you go through the rounds. On a basic level, each team's offence is graphed on the vertical axis, and defence on the horizontal axis. If you perform better than expected, or worse than expected, your squiggle is updated accordingly.

As it stands after round eight:

As you can see, only Richmond is really in the premiership zone at the moment. In fact, their defence is rated better than any premiership side listed on the Squiggle - pretty impressive. After them, there's a big clump including Geelong, Port, Sydney, GWS, West Coast, Hawthorn, North and Adelaide (and to a lesser extent, Melbourne). Squiggle really rates Richmond at the moment.

Predicted ladder (on the assumption that nothing changes, which obviously it will):

Painful reading as a Melbourne supporter. Missing finals by <1.0% again would be, well, quite upsetting haha.

Use this thread to track Squiggle's movements throughout the season.

[Aaron]

I've had a good play around with the new Ladder Predictor.... at least on 10+ occasions to see whether it puts NM anywhere in the 8. Sadly disappointed.

It's very cool. I also like to see which sites tip who - they've really improved since you introduced me to Squiggle last year.

[Joseph41]

Squiggle's round nine tips:

This doesn't take into account injuries etc.; it goes purely by the figures. I'd be happy to follow those tips 9/9, though.

[Aaron]

Same, however i'd challenge the WC v Rich one.

Reckon the Eagles have got this one.

[Joseph41]

The season so far:

Look at North go!

[Joseph41]

I forgot to mention that Squiggle now takes into account personnel on game day. So if Richmond is missing Dustin Martin, for example, Squiggle now notices that when it didn't prior.

[Aaron]

I looked at their ladder predictor before and after our match v Geelong and we went from 4th to 8th just based on that one loss to Geelong down on their home turf...

Well everybody is saying we're going to make the 8 so fingers crossed...

[Joseph41]

I looked at their ladder predictor before and after our match v Geelong and we went from 4th to 8th just based on that one loss to Geelong down on their home turf...

Well everybody is saying we're going to make the 8 so fingers crossed...

I reckon only a win or two will separate like 3rd and 10th or something ridiculous.

[Aaron]

I reckon only a win or two will separate like 3rd and 10th or something ridiculous.

wouldn't surprise me. Every match is winnable given the right circumstances.

[Aaron]

Lol.......

http://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=587

Knowing our luck, we'll drop this one as well. Inconsistent!

[Joseph41]

Lol.......

http://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=587

Knowing our luck, we'll drop this one as well. Inconsistent!

Tbh I just can't see them containing Brown etc.

[Aaron]

Tbh I just can't see them containing Brown etc.

Gold Coast and Bulldogs are our tough teams to beat. Always difficult against them both. Would not be surprised at all if the game is much closer than people think.

[Joseph41]

Updated Squiggle prediction:

Currently has Richmond defeating West Coast 94-62 in the grand final. And its tips for this week coming:

Really fascinating that Squiggle is backing Brisbane over Adelaide!

EDIT: Although these margins etc. will change after teams are named, such is the nature of the updated Squiggle.

[Aaron]

Stattraction has my love for at least the next day:

https://squiggle.com.au/game/?gid=604

Sad they don't have faith in North. I think we've been pretty competitive in all of our matches this year, unlike some teams.

[Joseph41]

It's time for a squiggly update!

Good weeks for North, Essendon, Hawthorn and, particularly, Port Adelaide. Look at the movement to the right of screen! The rain probably helped, but it will be interesting to see if they can maintain that position. Moving toward Sydney 2005 premiership territory.

Tips for this week sees some absolute belters. These tips will change when teams come out, but Squiggle is currently predicting three one-point ball games. What a season.

In terms of the Tower of Power, which shows likely finishing positions:

Richmond all but guaranteed the minor premiership. Fremantle's finishing position is pretty set already. Still lots to play out in that 2-12 range, which is also reflected by this:

How good is Squiggle?