The invasion of Iraq is still certainly one that puzzles me. If anything, it's probably because they have always been a thorn in the US' side. Out of all the Middle Eastern nations, Iraq probably was seen to be the most violent and therefore most dangerous to American interests. ... Honestly, it's probably them finishing the job.
The entire logic behind this point collapses when you consider America's other enemies that have (and had even in 2003) far greater destructive potential than Iraq (read: confirmed nuclear weapons programs). Iran and North Korea pose far greater threats to the US and to the West - in fact, by invading Iraq, the US gave Iran a free ticket to control the region without Iraqi reprisals. By your logic, NK and Iran should have been invaded long before Iraq, and I'm not even getting into the 444 days hostage crisis @ the US embassy in Tehran or the fact that Iran is the world's #1 sponsor of terrorism.
Thorn in the US' side my a88
Getting into anything with Iran would be quite messy. Invading Iran would provoke one of their allies, NK, simply can't have that happening, can we?. By my logic, America would never invade Iran or NK. For one, read the rest the post. I said American (or Western) interests. In particular, trade liberalization. In about 2000, Iran has embraced the market whereas NK doesn't have anything worth purchasing. Iraq, at this point, was still embracing nationalistic values.
Is it not in American (or Western) interests to not have nuclear bombs launched at them? Because failing to combat Iran could lead to that, and personally that's not a risk I'd be willing to take.
Could lead to that. I wouldn't be so quick to brush off the Iran state as stupid because they certainly are not. They've got very few allies and any form of action which could be considered threatening would be essentially suicide. Notice why President Imadinnercard hasn't taken any military against Israel, much less the US? Also, US intelligence is also quite efficient is sussing out any potential attacks rather quickly. Not starting a full-blown war with two nations for an attack highly unlikely to occur is a risk I am willing to take
Not strictly related but the Currency War is like super awesome right now. American dollar weakening <333
Iran has been attacking Israel for the past 30 years by proxy war. Hamas and Hezzbollah are Iranian funded and trained, and they receive their orders from Tehran.
And there's little chance that under the Obama administration, Israel will receive military assistance from the US. BTW, I wouldn't be so quick to write off Iran as a threat. You're forgetting that the country is ruled by people who are willing to commit national suicide for the fundamentalist fantasy of reviving the 12th imam.
The impending war will look like Israel vs Iran + Syria + Hamas + Hezzbollah. It's gonna be '67 all over again, and Obama's pacifist stance is resembling that of Neville Chamberlain's every day.
It seems that the Nobel Peace Prize will become an object of scorn much like the "Peace in our time" catchcry.
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I meant to say direct military action but I'll concede that. Anyway, I highly doubt they would commit "national suicide". For one, Iran showed clear interests in attaining western technology. That is why they are willing to submit to western markets and not shut it all off like Iraq. Plus, a large minority of the population, mainly students and under 30s who were not born early enough to remember the 1979 revolution, are quite the progressive bunch of chaps. I believe there were university protests against the construction of atomic weapons.
There was a report a few years ago outlining the possible options if Iran made nuclear weapons. A number of them, such as a full-blown invasion or clandestine operations were renounced but a deal would be quite likely.