is there any tricks you guys have with probability? do you rely on formulas or more so on common knowledge and logical thinking.
- Year 11 atm
Combination of the following: (d/w if you arent familiar with the terms im using below for year 11)
knowing and
getting the probability definitions and syntax like what Pr(X) means, what random events are, knowing
and understanding intuitively mutual exclusiveness and independence and conditional probability, and formulas for things like transitions and binomial distributions
experience with lots of probability questions so that you find it easy to tell what type of probability question you're dealing with, though not in a 'okay this is binomial, step 1...' way, just in a broad way of classifying what concept a question is based around
being able to visualise the setup of a question, often with the aid of tree diagrams or venn diagrams, drawing a probability density function, or similar tools if necessary
with all of that, problem solving is very logical - a lot of the time the path to the answer is quite simple because the tricky part of probability is understanding how everything in the question fits together
What you can do at the year 11 curriculum level:
make sure you have a really good grasp of any formulas you're studying and why they work and make sense, and make sure you get a handle on the language used in probability like outcomes, events, random events, random variables, all that