Clearly-in predictions

[vcestudent94]

Is there any correlation between the number of applications/offers and clearly in? Is it possible to make a prediction of clearly ins using the stats on the vtac page? I provided the link if anyone wants to have look
http://www.vtac.edu.au/reports.html

[gummo]

This is a good question. The number of applicants for my first preference has increased by 500 people since the statistics for this same time last year... Does that mean the clearly-in might go up a bit, considering that the applicants will probably get around the same marks as last year's ones?

[sluu001]

It is a simple demand - supply scenario. If assuming you have the same amount places offered by the uni, and the demand for places go up - then it will push up the atar requirement. Unis cannot simply increase places for various reasons (ie. logistically, due to govt/professional associations requirements or even the prestige facor).

We have seen this happen in the b.sci and b. biomed courses offered by melb (mainly due to the professional undergrads gone - ie. med, dent, optom etc). We have also seen the opposite happen in monash's pharmacy program (an oversupply of pharmacists driving down grad job prospects --> less demand by high school students --> atar req of 98-99 in 2005/6 (+umat) to about 93/94/95 (+umat) in 2011/2012.