Login

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

May 25, 2025, 09:50:40 pm

Author Topic: 2008 3(d)  (Read 4853 times)  Share 

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

iGilly

  • Victorian
  • Adventurer
  • *
  • Posts: 11
  • Respect: 0
2008 3(d)
« on: November 07, 2010, 05:53:51 pm »
0

I'm completely lost and the answers aren't much help, so was hoping you could be haha
2009- Revolutions: 41, Biology: 37
2010- Lit:40+, Methods:30, Chem:35+, French:40

Scaled
2009- Revolutions: 43, Biology: 38
2010- Lit:40+(+1.5), Methods: 36, Chem: 39, French: 49

Predicted ATAR: 97.35

2011: Uni. of Melb- Ba of Sci.

Jestar

  • Victorian
  • Fresh Poster
  • *
  • Posts: 4
  • Respect: 0
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2010, 06:16:29 pm »
0
The 65-95-99 rule states that 66% of the area lies withing the first standard dev, 95% within the second and 99% within the third.

So basically, to attain 99% you want to find what the deviation is when multiplied by three.

68.4-67 = 1.4 -> 1.4/3 = 0.47

It works the other way too:

67-65.6 = 1.4, same answer.

At least I think that's right, but it is approximate so I'm not really sure.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2010, 06:18:15 pm by Jestar »

cypriottiger

  • Victorian
  • Forum Leader
  • ****
  • Posts: 629
  • Respect: +1
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2010, 06:17:23 pm »
0
do you have solutions?
Official namer of the "cone of death"
2009: Business management 35
2010: Biology 40     Chemistry 35    Physics 33    English 38     Methods 31
ENTER: 90.7 :)
2011: Bachelor of Science (Melbourne university)
2014: DVM

3Xamz

  • Victorian
  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 348
  • Respect: +1
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2010, 06:19:11 pm »
0
The 65-95-99 rule states that 66% of the area lies withing the first standard dev, 95% within the second and 99% within the third.

So basically, to attain 99% you want to find what the deviation is when multiplied by three.

68.4-67 = 1.4 -> 1.4/3 = 0.47

It works the other way too:

67-65.6 = 1.4, same answer.

At least I think that's right, but it is approximate so I'm not really sure.

Question asks for .99 not .997 as you've suggested.
Also, why does the VCAA solutions use .995? Instead of 0.99 :S

InitialDRulz

  • Victorian
  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 339
  • Respect: +2
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2010, 06:19:54 pm »
0
3Xamz, i've been asking that question for the last 3 hours!!!!! thank god you just said it!!!
Maths Methods Examination 1 Cone of Death Facebook Fan Page

2011: Bachelor of Business Information Systems (IBL Stream) - Monash University Clayton

Jestar

  • Victorian
  • Fresh Poster
  • *
  • Posts: 4
  • Respect: 0
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2010, 06:21:58 pm »
0
The 65-95-99 rule states that 66% of the area lies withing the first standard dev, 95% within the second and 99% within the third.

So basically, to attain 99% you want to find what the deviation is when multiplied by three.

68.4-67 = 1.4 -> 1.4/3 = 0.47

It works the other way too:

67-65.6 = 1.4, same answer.

At least I think that's right, but it is approximate so I'm not really sure.

Question asks for .99 not .997 as you've suggested.
Also, why does the VCAA solutions use .995? Instead of 0.99 :S

Yeah, I realised that as I re-read the question. Ignore my answer :S

3Xamz

  • Victorian
  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 348
  • Respect: +1
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2010, 06:24:23 pm »
0
Okay, we know;

Pr(65.6 < X < 68.4) = 0.99 and the mean is 67.

How do we progress from here.. Urgh, this question stuffed me last year too and I still don't get it. =='

m@tty

  • Victorian
  • ATAR Notes Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 4324
  • Respect: +33
  • School: Heatherton Christian College
  • School Grad Year: 2010
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2010, 06:29:14 pm »
0
Okay, so you know that the values are symetrical about the mean +-1.4 . That implies that Pr(X>68.4)=Pr(X<65.6)=0.005. From there you can use invnorm and solve for .

EDIT:



« Last Edit: November 07, 2010, 06:32:40 pm by m@tty »
2009/2010: Mathematical Methods(non-CAS) ; Business Management | English ; Literature - Physics ; Chemistry - Specialist Mathematics ; MUEP Maths

96.85

2011-2015: Bachelor of Aerospace Engineering and Bachelor of Science, Monash University

2015-____: To infinity and beyond.

3Xamz

  • Victorian
  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 348
  • Respect: +1
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2010, 06:30:41 pm »
0
OMG! Urgh, so stupid. Here's my way of thinking about it now that I get it;

We know that the probability either side of the mean is 0.495.
Since continuous variable functions are symmetrical along the mean.

Hence let's convert this into a standard normal distribution.

We know, that from -infinity to Z, the probability must be 0.5+0.495 = 0.995.
Because till half way its 0.5, and from halfway to the required Z value is another 0.495.

So, find the value of Z that has a probability of 0.995 which is Z = 2.5758 ,
This Z value corresponds to the higher limit, hence 2.5758 = (X-mu)/S.D

Therefore; S.D = (X-mu)/2.5758.
X = 68.4 and mu = 67.
Solving this gives S.D = .54mm :)

EDIT: Or m@tty's much more convenient method, LOL T__T

InitialDRulz

  • Victorian
  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 339
  • Respect: +2
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2010, 06:30:48 pm »
0
according from iTute
Maths Methods Examination 1 Cone of Death Facebook Fan Page

2011: Bachelor of Business Information Systems (IBL Stream) - Monash University Clayton

matt123

  • Victorian
  • Part of the furniture
  • *****
  • Posts: 1653
  • Strive.
  • Respect: +6
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2010, 06:32:11 pm »
0
OMG! Urgh, so stupid. Here's my way of thinking about it now that I get it;

We know that the probability either side of the mean is 0.495.
Since continuous variable functions are symmetrical along the mean.

Hence let's convert this into a standard normal distribution.

We know, that from -infinity to Z, the probability must be 0.5+0.495 = 0.995.
Because till half way its 0.5, and from halfway to the required Z value is another 0.495.

So, find the value of Z that has a probability of 0.995 which is Z = 2.5758 ,
This Z value corresponds to the higher limit, hence 2.5758 = (X-mu)/S.D

Therefore; S.D = (X-mu)/2.5758.
X = 68.4 and mu = 67.
Solving this gives S.D = .54mm :)

EDIT: Or m@tty's much more convenient method, LOL T__T

WAIT
lol wtf how did u find Z?
2009 : Physical Education
2010  ATAR : 91.45 , Bio , Chem , Methods , Psychology , English
Completed VCE at the age of 16.
2011 : Bachelor of pharmacy
2012 : Hopefully med? " crosses fingers"

m@tty

  • Victorian
  • ATAR Notes Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 4324
  • Respect: +33
  • School: Heatherton Christian College
  • School Grad Year: 2010
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2010, 06:33:52 pm »
0
invnorm function on calc.
2009/2010: Mathematical Methods(non-CAS) ; Business Management | English ; Literature - Physics ; Chemistry - Specialist Mathematics ; MUEP Maths

96.85

2011-2015: Bachelor of Aerospace Engineering and Bachelor of Science, Monash University

2015-____: To infinity and beyond.

3Xamz

  • Victorian
  • Forum Obsessive
  • ***
  • Posts: 348
  • Respect: +1
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2010, 06:34:48 pm »
0
OMG! Urgh, so stupid. Here's my way of thinking about it now that I get it;

We know that the probability either side of the mean is 0.495.
Since continuous variable functions are symmetrical along the mean.

Hence let's convert this into a standard normal distribution.

We know, that from -infinity to Z, the probability must be 0.5+0.495 = 0.995.
Because till half way its 0.5, and from halfway to the required Z value is another 0.495.

So, find the value of Z that has a probability of 0.995 which is Z = 2.5758 ,
This Z value corresponds to the higher limit, hence 2.5758 = (X-mu)/S.D

Therefore; S.D = (X-mu)/2.5758.
X = 68.4 and mu = 67.
Solving this gives S.D = .54mm :)

EDIT: Or m@tty's much more convenient method, LOL T__T

WAIT
lol wtf how did u find Z?

invNormCDf("L", 0.995,1,0) on Classpad 330.
You can get that Interactive -> Inv. Distribution -> invNormCDf

Or you can go old school like I do, and refer to the Standard Normal Cumulative Density Function table :P

m@tty

  • Victorian
  • ATAR Notes Legend
  • *******
  • Posts: 4324
  • Respect: +33
  • School: Heatherton Christian College
  • School Grad Year: 2010
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2010, 06:35:29 pm »
0
OMG! Urgh, so stupid. Here's my way of thinking about it now that I get it;

We know that the probability either side of the mean is 0.495.
Since continuous variable functions are symmetrical along the mean.

Hence let's convert this into a standard normal distribution.

We know, that from -infinity to Z, the probability must be 0.5+0.495 = 0.995.
Because till half way its 0.5, and from halfway to the required Z value is another 0.495.

So, find the value of Z that has a probability of 0.995 which is Z = 2.5758 ,
This Z value corresponds to the higher limit, hence 2.5758 = (X-mu)/S.D

Therefore; S.D = (X-mu)/2.5758.
X = 68.4 and mu = 67.
Solving this gives S.D = .54mm :)

EDIT: Or m@tty's much more convenient method, LOL T__T

Our methods are the same, just you explained it in more detail xD
2009/2010: Mathematical Methods(non-CAS) ; Business Management | English ; Literature - Physics ; Chemistry - Specialist Mathematics ; MUEP Maths

96.85

2011-2015: Bachelor of Aerospace Engineering and Bachelor of Science, Monash University

2015-____: To infinity and beyond.

matt123

  • Victorian
  • Part of the furniture
  • *****
  • Posts: 1653
  • Strive.
  • Respect: +6
Re: 2008 3(d)
« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2010, 06:36:11 pm »
0
OMG! Urgh, so stupid. Here's my way of thinking about it now that I get it;

We know that the probability either side of the mean is 0.495.
Since continuous variable functions are symmetrical along the mean.

Hence let's convert this into a standard normal distribution.

We know, that from -infinity to Z, the probability must be 0.5+0.495 = 0.995.
Because till half way its 0.5, and from halfway to the required Z value is another 0.495.

So, find the value of Z that has a probability of 0.995 which is Z = 2.5758 ,
This Z value corresponds to the higher limit, hence 2.5758 = (X-mu)/S.D

Therefore; S.D = (X-mu)/2.5758.
X = 68.4 and mu = 67.
Solving this gives S.D = .54mm :)

EDIT: Or m@tty's much more convenient method, LOL T__T

WAIT
lol wtf how did u find Z?

invNormCDf("L", 0.995,1,0) on Classpad 330.
You can get that Interactive -> Inv. Distribution -> invNormCDf

Or you can go old school like I do, and refer to the Standard Normal Cumulative Density Function table :P

I get 1.695 for Z when i do this.
But that is the wrong number.

Why is it 1 , 0
i always thought it was 0 , 0 ?

lol
wtf am i doing wrongggg
2009 : Physical Education
2010  ATAR : 91.45 , Bio , Chem , Methods , Psychology , English
Completed VCE at the age of 16.
2011 : Bachelor of pharmacy
2012 : Hopefully med? " crosses fingers"