It seems though, like any other investment there is no guarantee that you will get your money back at all.
Say the borrower flat out refuses to pay you back, what options do you have?
It seems like a good initiative, but is there more on the risks involved?
Well most investments (excluding the strongest ones like bonds and insured bank accounts) are risky to a degree, pretty much like gambling (bit smarter though). On their website they make the point you shouldn't give more than you can afford and whilst there is a decent potential to make money, it still is an act of charity too.
According to their
stats page, only 2% of loans are totally written off.
75% of loans are paid back exactly on time. I've seen a fair few actually paid back early as well. About 15% of loans are rescheduled to a different time period (if they cannot pay back immediately) but they still are paid back in full. Where they are simply very late [90+ days] and don't reschedule or anything, thats only ~2% of the time.
So, there is only about a 2% chance (distinct from the 2% mentioned above, the numbers are coincidental) of actually losing your money. Many of the written off loans i have seen as well, the borrower has paid a significant portion back (say 50%) and bounced on the rest. Again though, this seems relatively rare.
There is also a currency risk as well. The loans are denominated in their local currency. So, they're not being loaned 500 USD, they're being loaned 20 000 Kenyan Shillings. Zidisha takes money from lenders in USD though ( a lot of the lenders/donators are from USA). So, say they put up a loan for 500 USD and you put in 50 USD or 10% of the total debt. At the time, that might be 22 000 Shillings, so, you are entilted to 10% of their payment in shillings which is then converted into USD. So, in theory, the value of their local currency could fall or rise compared to when you lent them the money, you still get 10% of the loan back but when converted back into USD, it might be higher or lower than the 50 USD you originally put in.
Of course, while a currency can fall in value, so can it rise. I assume unless there are huge fluctuations, it'll mostly smooth out from month to month. They recommend you loan in multiple countries with different currencies (Kenya has Kenyan Shillings and Senegal has Francs), so, you hedge your currencies in the hope it averages out the fluctuations.
Including paypal fees and factoring in paypals currency conversion (according to them 1 Aussie dollar is worth less than 1 usd, so, we get something like 99.4 cents), there is about 4% taken up there. So, to donate 10 on the website, i would need to pay 10.4 (the .40 being eaten up in conversions and paypal fees). This is just all a very rough calculation though. The highest loans i've seen are ~12-13%. So, even if we take away the 4% from paypal, we still have about 8% left, leaving out considerations about currency fluctuations. I get about ~4.5% for my savings account so its double that and you're helping people too.
This is all the very businessy side of it though. Of course, its still somewhat charity (even though both of you conceivably profit), some people would give just for the sake of it but it is nice to know you can get your money back as well.