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ninwa

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #135 on: May 21, 2014, 08:38:42 am »
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Friend posted this on Facebook. It's the only thing I've read that defends the Budget without being all "people on the dole are lazy and entitled and how dare they have any govt assistance because fuck people in need!!!"

While I disagree with some of it, particularly her comments on education (which I find especially concerning, considering she's studying to become a teacher...) a lot of it makes a surprising amount of sense. Thoughts?

Quote
Alrighty, I said I would endeavour to reply to your comments so here is my scrappy attempt! Firstly, guys, it is clear to me that what we are debating here is a matter of opinion rather than facts. There is no clear right or wrong answer. Of course, if any of my facts are incorrect, please correct me. So let’s proceed with an open frame of mind that allows for differences in opinion. Most of what I said and am about to say is opinion, not precise factual information that can be proved or disproved. This applies to your hypotheses too.

RE “our debt is not as big as other countries” points: We should not wait until the budget is in crisis before we start repaying a debt. A national debt, no matter how small in comparison to other countries, is still a debt. It is billions of dollars in interest that can be saved, rather than slowly giving our creditors more power over us.

RE “labourers etc cannot work till 70 due to physical constraints” – no, they certainly can’t. In fact, how many 50-something year olds do you see working in labour-intensive jobs? By this logic, all people involved in laborious jobs should retire by 40. However, what actually happens is that people progress onto more managerial/training roles rather than doing the same heavy lifting as when they started out in their teens/20s. Some people will possibly have to re-train, but given that the average person now undergoes 3 career changes in their lifetime, this is not a new concept. The $10,000 grant to businesses who hire older employees (for a minimum of 2 years) will also help.

RE “$7 is aimed at the poorest” – it is not aimed at anybody, it’s a universally applied co-payment. And as mentioned several times, for people who need it most (those with chronic illnesses, concession cards, kids under 16), there will only be a maximum of 10 payments of $7 in a year. Any more visits will be free. Furthermore, if people are struggling and cannot pay, the doctor is more than likely to waive the $7 fee, given that $2 from every payment will go to the doctors, to allow them to do so. In the long run, the jobs and money created through medical advances (through research) will be of enormous benefit to the country, given that our mining boom won’t last forever. We need to invest in the next big thing – medical research.

RE “6 months is too long to wait for the Dole” – this proposal will only apply to people under 30, and presumably not to disabled people, as they would be applying for the disability pension, not these benefits. While 6 months is indeed a long time if you have no savings/family, there are many jobs that people could take up (e.g. cleaning, pizza delivery, casual labour work) but under the existing welfare arrangements, sometimes bypass these types of jobs to wait for something better (while on welfare). In my opinion, this is the proposal that will most likely be watered down anyway – if people risk being made homeless, they will probably be given more immediate assistance. BUT this is a big if, so we need to see how the debate plays out. If not, there is always public housing and emergency shelters – in reality though, no government would risk such a huge public backlash by doing nothing for 6 months while a person’s condition becomes worse. I believe that this measure is being proposed to push people to take whatever job they can find, rather than rely on unemployment benefits until they find something better. Also, [name redacted] – I disagree with your statement that welfare is an investment. Education and infrastructure are investments, but not welfare, certainly not on borrowed money.

RE “the government is prioritising serving big business through military spending”: [name redacted], you are suggesting that this military spend is exorbitant and unnecessary, and I admit that I am no expert in this area, but in my opinion, we need to stay ahead of the game in military capability. If we only spent on military when there was an immediate threat, we’d be too late. Being militarily advanced also acts as a deterrent to potential invasions, and while I admit again that I don’t have any deep understanding of this issue, it just seems logical to me to be prepared for potential attacks. Also, I looked up the short range and CTOL (learnt something new!) jets and I didn’t really understand what the problem was there. Doesn’t short range just mean that it can’t go for as long a distance without fuel stops? And CTOL is basically a traditional jet that needs a runway to take off and land (so it might not be as mobile?) I mean these jets could be sent elsewhere and be used from there, perhaps more usefully than in Australia. It might be just a case of supporting our allies (without starting a new topic on that!) Anyway, our military spend is tiny compared to what we spend on welfare (6% versus 35%). I don’t think it’s a waste, for the reasons above.

Lastly, education was touched upon too. The government would allow universities to uncap fees. However, there has been no suggestion of removing the HECS system. This may be a way of addressing the issue of oversupply of graduates, who are left without the job they thought they’d get, and instead with a big debt. In other words, it might deter people from pursuing tertiary education (although HECS would still be available to all), but I don’t think this is a bad thing, given the state of oversupply in many areas (e.g. law). We need to actively encourage alternatives to university for school leavers, and this might be the impetus for doing so. Also, online courses are probably going to increase affordable tertiary education options, so you could also argue that that would act as an incentive for universities to keep fees reasonable.
« Last Edit: May 21, 2014, 08:45:43 am by ninwa »
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brenden

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #136 on: May 21, 2014, 11:29:13 am »
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Quote
“our debt is not as big as other countries” points: We should not wait until the budget is in crisis before we start repaying a debt. A national debt, no matter how small in comparison to other countries, is still a debt. It is billions of dollars in interest that can be saved, rather than slowly giving our creditors more power over us.

Good point in itself but it's a non-sequiter. I imagine she's replying to the idea that "we're not in a budget emergency, we have a comparatively small debt", but she's actually replying to the phrase "we shouldn't lower our debt". Of course, lower our debt, but do it with good, steady economic management. "We should lower our debt" just in no way entails "let's cut funding to literally everything".

Quote
labourers etc cannot work till 70 due to physical constraints” – no, they certainly can’t. In fact, how many 50-something year olds do you see working in labour-intensive jobs? By this logic, all people involved in laborious jobs should retire by 40. However, what actually happens is that people progress onto more managerial/training roles rather than doing the same heavy lifting as when they started out in their teens/20s. Some people will possibly have to re-train, but given that the average person now undergoes 3 career changes in their lifetime, this is not a new concept. The $10,000 grant to businesses who hire older employees (for a minimum of 2 years) will also help.
A fair few 50-something year olds, actually. Should retire by 40 lol. My Dad's going on 50 and isn't in a managerial or training role. He lifts shit. A friend of mine's Dad - 50+, still paints houses full time (very intense job). Regardless, let's do some basic thinking - there are more fucking labourers than there are managerial or training roles, aren't there? "some" will "possibly" have to retrain. Please.

Quote
$7 is aimed at the poorest” – it is not aimed at anybody, it’s a universally applied co-payment. And as mentioned several times, for people who need it most (those with chronic illnesses, concession cards, kids under 16), there will only be a maximum of 10 payments of $7 in a year. Any more visits will be free. Furthermore, if people are struggling and cannot pay, the doctor is more than likely to waive the $7 fee, given that $2 from every payment will go to the doctors, to allow them to do so. In the long run, the jobs and money created through medical advances (through research) will be of enormous benefit to the country, given that our mining boom won’t last forever. We need to invest in the next big thing – medical research.
Of course, it's not aimed at anybody. It's universal. Consider a scenario where every rich person in a country has a bomb shelter and the poor people don't. Pretend we drop a bomb on every inch of the country. Of course, it's not aimed at poor people. It's a universal bombing. Who it's aimed at is irrelevant, it hurts the poorest. Someone find me a person who will say "Oh, only $70 bucks a year? That's no worries! What a relief!". Dreaming. Medical research is again removed from $7 co-payments. If you want to invest in research then find a method that isn't inevitably going to fuck people over.

Quote
“6 months is too long to wait for the Dole” – this proposal will only apply to people under 30, and presumably not to disabled people, as they would be applying for the disability pension, not these benefits. While 6 months is indeed a long time if you have no savings/family, there are many jobs that people could take up (e.g. cleaning, pizza delivery, casual labour work) but under the existing welfare arrangements, sometimes bypass these types of jobs to wait for something better (while on welfare). In my opinion, this is the proposal that will most likely be watered down anyway – if people risk being made homeless, they will probably be given more immediate assistance. BUT this is a big if, so we need to see how the debate plays out. If not, there is always public housing and emergency shelters – in reality though, no government would risk such a huge public backlash by doing nothing for 6 months while a person’s condition becomes worse. I believe that this measure is being proposed to push people to take whatever job they can find, rather than rely on unemployment benefits until they find something better. Also, [name redacted] – I disagree with your statement that welfare is an investment. Education and infrastructure are investments, but not welfare, certainly not on borrowed money.
Oh good good. I forgot that 29 year olds without a job don't need to eat. I wonder if she's every actually tried looking for one of those jobs that are easy to get. "Always public housing". This is fucking offensive. For one, take a trip to The Pines and see how well-kept public housing is. Two, if a single mother with two kids has to wait more than six months for public housing after fleeing an alcoholic boyfriend, how the fuck does she suppose that people are just going to up and go into public housing once they don't have a job or the dole? They'll have the dole a year before public housing becomes available for them.
How is welfare ever not an investment? My Dad's needed welfare for a very short amount of time at least twice that I can remember after being made redundant. Super confident he's paid in taxes what he got on the dole over, and over, and over... and over, and over again. Let's say he was my only parent, never had the dole, lost our house, has a wife, two kids and two step-kids to support, ends up in bad financier trouble, my brother and I never graduate high-school, and there you've three people that are significantly less useful to the economy than they would have been. Even if it were't an invest-return type thing, maybe she should consider it an investment so the economy doesn't take a hit from tourism because no one wants to look at all the homeless people begging along Flinders Street.

Re: military. Sure. Spend money on military. Don't do it while you're in a "budget emergency" and need to save so much that you cut everything else under the sun.


I wish your friend went to uni next year, the deregulation bill was passed, and then she could go and be a teacher and come back to the discussion in forty years and say "wow, these fees/this interest rate has really fucked me over. Just a few years left until my debt is gone! Maybe we should have kept uni fees regulated".
"you could also argue that that would act as an incentive for universities to keep fees reasonable."
Lol.
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brenden

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #137 on: May 21, 2014, 02:34:05 pm »
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Not sure if its linked but clive palmer declared he opposes the rise in uni fees (http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/19/clive-palmer-opposes-deregulation-university-fees).

As i linked a page or two ago, part of their policy document is free education for all. It's been like that since the last election (which is when i last read their policies). Nice to know they're sticking to their guns. Clive is actually a refreshing breath of air. Some people might crucify me for this but i think he's doing a good job, certainly, much better than i expected of him. That's probably the surprising aspect.

I'm not sure whether it counts as a supply bill either. More likely, the coalition will just do behind the scenes horse trading and then pass a budget thats pleasant to all (with some kind of compromise).

Here are some recent palmer videos:


I actually just watched these videos. To be honest, I've resented Clive Palmer since the last election for being a massive wanker (but I think I was more resenting that people were voting for such an oaf because he had a funny advertising campaign). This wasn't even packed full of rhetoric. He didn't need to be inciting, inspiring etc. He was just saying it how it is. Pretty fucked to think that Clive Palmer has more integrity than the major parties o.o
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ninwa

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #138 on: May 21, 2014, 02:59:05 pm »
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<snip>

Thank god your views make even more sense than hers. Was worried I was turning into a grumpy old right wing wanker :P
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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #139 on: May 21, 2014, 03:18:42 pm »
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just gonna leave this here...
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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #140 on: May 21, 2014, 11:22:07 pm »
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i dont really know anything about politics and stuff.. but why punish people who go to uni and work hard?
I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees.

thushan

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #141 on: May 21, 2014, 11:32:28 pm »
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"I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees."

=> Actually, most people on Centrelink benefits do work; you're thinking of the Newstart payment (i.e. the dole). The dole is for people who are temporarily unemployed and looking for work. Sure, there are some dole bludgers, but its a small price to pay to ensure that those who need money to get by whilst looking for work get that.


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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #142 on: May 22, 2014, 12:37:35 am »
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Friend posted this on Facebook. It's the only thing I've read that defends the Budget without being all "people on the dole are lazy and entitled and how dare they have any govt assistance because fuck people in need!!!"

While I disagree with some of it, particularly her comments on education (which I find especially concerning, considering she's studying to become a teacher...) a lot of it makes a surprising amount of sense. Thoughts?

it makes ok sense. and someone else made a toplel military-industrial complex argument. if you can find out what he said i wanna know
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slothpomba

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #143 on: May 22, 2014, 01:08:19 am »
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Alrighty, I said I would endeavour to reply to your comments so here is my scrappy attempt! Firstly, guys, it is clear to me that what we are debating here is a matter of opinion rather than facts. There is no clear right or wrong answer.

This i dispute. It may seem unnecessarily contrarian but to argue that there isn't one set of facts out there is a dangerous thing. Lately, in our media and even amongst our politicians, we see a disturbing trend where we can't even establish what is reality anymore. Likewise, especially with this budget, to have disputes over basic ethics as not factual, like compassion, is a very dangerous thing as well.

Quote
RE “our debt is not as big as other countries” points: We should not wait until the budget is in crisis before we start repaying a debt. A national debt, no matter how small in comparison to other countries, is still a debt. It is billions of dollars in interest that can be saved, rather than slowly giving our creditors more power over us.

Economist after economist tells us that the budget of a country is not like a household budget. Something like this doesn't escape Clive Palmer but it somehow escapes a chunk of the population (watch the palmer videos i posted, he actually goes into it). It's perfectly fine for a country to run a manageable debt. A national debt is not ipso facto a bad thing. This is the point your friend argues and they are wrong. The idea creditors have great power over any nation, especially one with such a small debt as ours, is silly.

This is a matter of FACT not opinion.

Quote
RE “labourers etc cannot work till 70 due to physical constraints” – no, they certainly can’t. In fact, how many 50-something year olds do you see working in labour-intensive jobs? By this logic, all people involved in laborious jobs should retire by 40. However, what actually happens is that people progress onto more managerial/training roles rather than doing the same heavy lifting as when they started out in their teens/20s. Some people will possibly have to re-train, but given that the average person now undergoes 3 career changes in their lifetime, this is not a new concept. The $10,000 grant to businesses who hire older employees (for a minimum of 2 years) will also help.

This is all based on conjecture, they provide zero evidence. Using my fathers work and all the workers there, many are over 50 and the job is very labour intensive. (Comparatively or actually) uneducated blue-collar labor doesn't easily slot into a management role unless its the fantasy in the mind of the privileged middle class or someone who has only known office jobs their entire life. Plenty of blokes at his workplace can't use a computer (my father cant either) and plenty have written English skills at something like an 8th grade level. Remember, they were educated 30-40 years ago when things were very, very different. It was a hard time. I know its hard to swallow on the ultra-academic ATARNotes but there really are plenty of people like that out there. Now, i realise thats also anecdotal evidence but its more than they provide. It touches at deeper things than they consider as well. If you've been a bricklayer your entire life, where are you really going to go from that?

Furthermore, it may be true that people change careers 3 times in their lives. That is not separated based on their field of work though. It may be that white collar workers have 6 jobs in their lifetime. Bluecollar have 1 or 2. The office workers distort the average. Average is totally useless if you are talking about a specific segment of the population. Her third clause/argument also contradicts the first. She acknowledges that age and physical impairment is a reality and a constraint then argues that $10,000 grant will somehow make this better.

This is a matter of medical and sociological FACT not opinion.

Quote
RE “6 months is too long to wait for the Dole” – this proposal will only apply to people under 30, and presumably not to disabled people, as they would be applying for the disability pension, not these benefits. While 6 months is indeed a long time if you have no savings/family, there are many jobs that people could take up (e.g. cleaning, pizza delivery, casual labour work) but under the existing welfare arrangements, sometimes bypass these types of jobs to wait for something better (while on welfare). In my opinion, this is the proposal that will most likely be watered down anyway – if people risk being made homeless, they will probably be given more immediate assistance. BUT this is a big if, so we need to see how the debate plays out. If not, there is always public housing and emergency shelters – in reality though, no government would risk such a huge public backlash by doing nothing for 6 months while a person’s condition becomes worse. I believe that this measure is being proposed to push people to take whatever job they can find, rather than rely on unemployment benefits until they find something better. Also, [name redacted] – I disagree with your statement that welfare is an investment. Education and infrastructure are investments, but not welfare, certainly not on borrowed money.

Again, this is tinged with the assumption there are a hordes of dole bludgers out there just waiting to leech of society. You reject this in your opening Nina. She also assumes its easy to get a job (i know people who have handed out 50 resumes), especially with no skills and no experience (these people often come from the most disadvantaged segments of society as well). Playing an experiment with peoples lives and wellbeing is horrible. I can't believe shes so forthright about a want to simply experiment with what could possibly result in people starving or going homeless. What happened to being a compassionate society? Down the toilet it seems.

She's dead wrong that welfare isn't an investment either. If people don't have money, they cant eat. If you cant eat, you get sick (hello public hospitals). You cant afford to visit the GP now. You either deal with a life of misery, one that no one in such a rich society like ours should have to endure or you get desperate and turn to crime. Welfare saves money by preventing these scenarios. There's good evidence welfare cuts can be correlated with increases in crime and lower health outcomes. You didn't even really need statistics to tell you that though. It's fairly axiomatic. Again, she just focuses on the money and not the compassion. "Investment"?!? We might be talking about the difference between someone having food or not. Horrible.

This is part opinion but some of these things are definitely facts as well.


« Last Edit: May 22, 2014, 01:10:04 am by slothpomba »

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slothpomba

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #145 on: May 22, 2014, 01:19:55 am »
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RE “$7 is aimed at the poorest” – it is not aimed at anybody, it’s a universally applied co-payment. And as mentioned several times, for people who need it most (those with chronic illnesses, concession cards, kids under 16), there will only be a maximum of 10 payments of $7 in a year. Any more visits will be free. Furthermore, if people are struggling and cannot pay, the doctor is more than likely to waive the $7 fee, given that $2 from every payment will go to the doctors, to allow them to do so. In the long run, the jobs and money created through medical advances (through research) will be of enormous benefit to the country, given that our mining boom won’t last forever. We need to invest in the next big thing – medical research.

It might be universal but the impact is disproportionate. $7 is worth a hell of a lot more to the poor than the rich. Plenty of people on the side of lower SES completely (or come close to it) drain their bank account each week. A study i read awhile back showed an alarming number of Australians have no savings (or none beyond 2 weeks, i cant remember). Many people are living paycheque to paycheque. Your friend needs a cold, hard blast of reality.

It's not just that though, its the principal behind it. We no longer have a free, universal healthcare system at the primary care point. They are slaying one of the greatest things about our society. They are literally breaking the system at work here, the principals at work here. $7 may be modest, i partially agree but its the underlying principal here that is disturbing. There's also the fact that this isn't really *needed*. The quote from the Liberal party that people visit the doctor 11-12 times a year on average has been found to be false. Even if it was true, its not like people visit the doctor for fun, they go if they feel they need to go. Internal liberal party modeling suggested $7 was the right fee to make people reconsider/avoid going to the doctor.

Finally, the last clause is based on the false idea we need to rob Peter to pay Paul. We do not need to dismantle our cherished system of universal health-care to provide more money for research, its just plain logic. Considering their cuts to uni, the public service and other scientific organisations like CSIRO, whilst this fund is adding money, people forgetting it must be balanced against the damage being done too.

Quote
Lastly, education was touched upon too. The government would allow universities to uncap fees. However, there has been no suggestion of removing the HECS system. This may be a way of addressing the issue of oversupply of graduates, who are left without the job they thought they’d get, and instead with a big debt. In other words, it might deter people from pursuing tertiary education (although HECS would still be available to all), but I don’t think this is a bad thing, given the state of oversupply in many areas (e.g. law). We need to actively encourage alternatives to university for school leavers, and this might be the impetus for doing so. Also, online courses are probably going to increase affordable tertiary education options, so you could also argue that that would act as an incentive for universities to keep fees reasonable.

I doubt it. The students wont be very price sensitive. They are not paying for it immediately out of pocket. It's very unlikely the increased costs will deter hordes of students because they don't have to pay it out of pocket and they don't have to pay it right now. Either way, is the best and most logical way to address an oversupply to massively increase fees? I highly doubt it. We could return to the government capping university places at sensible levels but maybe that sounds crazy in comparison to a degree costing $200,000 to stop oversupplies. This assumes an oversupply is bad as well. Every other field has to deal with changing supplies, why should white collar workers also not have to deal with it? Do they need a special protection racket?

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slothpomba

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #146 on: May 22, 2014, 01:28:10 am »
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i dont really know anything about politics and stuff.. but why punish people who go to uni and work hard?
I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees.

I think you lack an understanding of the issue here. They dont get very much money, its not a pleasant way to live. They're not really living the high life (or much of a life at all). Jobs aren't easy to find either, i know people who have handed out more than 50+ resumes. The majority of people who need this money aren't bludgers, they are simply hard workers who have fallen on hard times and need to eat like the rest of us.

video version is better

You can also embed it like this:



I actually just watched these videos. To be honest, I've resented Clive Palmer since the last election for being a massive wanker (but I think I was more resenting that people were voting for such an oaf because he had a funny advertising campaign). This wasn't even packed full of rhetoric. He didn't need to be inciting, inspiring etc. He was just saying it how it is. Pretty fucked to think that Clive Palmer has more integrity than the major parties o.o

I quite like Clive lately. I think many peoples views of him are based on misconceptions they created in their head "He's a clown!" etc. That's never the right way to judge or assess someones character. His policy document, i find many of the changes in there agreeable. Since the foundation of his party (more or less) he has supported totally FREE university, just as an example.

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ninwa

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #147 on: May 22, 2014, 01:52:29 am »
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it makes ok sense. and someone else made a toplel military-industrial complex argument. if you can find out what he said i wanna know

He made several comments in response to questions and seems to be very knowledgeable about this subject.

Quote
^And then contrast everything said above with the fact that they found it necessary to spend 12 billion + on the F-35 JSF project and 300 million + on new Northrop Grumman Triton marine drones. Those are core costs not bringing in the peripheral figures of training and infrastructure. Considering that the F35 is a short range and CTOL jet, those aircraft aren't going to do much more than sit hangared at Australian Airfields and look menacing. They're being bought mostly because of diplomatic alliance equity thats tied up in Washington and considering the fact that the previous government gave the USMC a base in the Northern territory, i don't think we had a problem in that regard. All this is coming at the expense of education, health, and the environment because apparently theres a budget crisis?

it comes down to priority and whether you believe a government should serve big business or its constituents and in respect to that, It feels like this government is stuck in the Thatcherite 80s.
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Heres the way I see it. This particular gripe isn't just about big business but rather misaligned priorities and archaically hawkish defence values that belong in the 80's. We're an island nation and in terms of pure defence, our force projection needs to be able to cope with the strains of maritime logistics and longer distances. So conventional take off, short ranged stealth strike fighers don't really seem of much strategic vantage especially considering that the PLA(N) has blue water naval ambitions and a short, land based fighter won't be of much help in a naval conflict in say the Straits of Malacca/South China Sea which is the most likely scenario were we to be dragged into an incredibly unlikely war with China. Compound this with spirited debate due to the f35s long and troubled production history as to whether it can compete with its main rival (the new generation Su30 Flanker series) and i have my doubts as to why the government has purchased 58 of them.

Its true, funding had been provided to buy 12 JSFs since 2008. Defence has always ben committed to the idea of buying a few. This was to be bolstered with the purchase of new generation f/a18 super hornets and e/a18 growlers last year for a much more well rounded fighter fleet. These are planes that not only outrange the jsf by a good 1000 kms but that Australian pilots and technicians are already familiar with and for which there will not have to be a huge infrastructure overhead cost to make operational. While its a capable jet and we do need to modernise defence platforms with the times, the purchase of 58... 58 new jsfs makes my mind boggle. the only reason to buy so many has to be pressure from corporate and political power brokers in Washington because they need to make this troubled, delayed programme that they've invested so heavily in since the late 1990s pay off. Whether this money was 'squirrelled away' or not, it still seems like an inefficient and clunky use of funds.

All that jargon aside, i really believe that the only way to 'win a war' is to stop or cauterise it before conflict and killing gains momentum. The ADF has a proud history in humanitarian affairs. everything from East Timor to RAMSI brought us international brownie points. The vast majority of our deployments overseas since Vietnam have been non warlike or humanitarian in nature. And the few warlike theatres that we've been involved in are far from conventional. Counter insurgency, asymmetrical conflicts etc that we see not only in the middle east and Afghanistan but also in the Indian ocean (Sri Lanka) and the South East Pacific (Aceh, P&G) aren't won by out-killing the adversary, they're won by out-governing them because the adversary is integrated in a sort of human terrain that gives it support... i.e stabilising regions in which disenfranchisement and violence perpetuate in cycles... where people with little prospects align themselves with violent groups because at least their autocratic militia style governance brings some stability or because they pay financial dividends. In this sense, the ADF can be a vital tool of Australian foreign and humanitarian policy BUT it has always needed some partnership with the development sector (NGOs & State Aid) to consolidate the changes it has tried to make...
...but nup, we cut the foreign aid budget too...

Everybody else here seems to know more than me about health, economy etc so i'll leave it at that long personal ramble about defence policy but fundamentally i think i'm probably just a bit more left leaning than you are

/my2unnecessarilylongwindedcents
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Well I have to admit I wasn't enamoured of the previous govt either. None the less I think they were a bit more measured in their defence and aid spending. The commitment to purchase any JSFs was a bit more gradual (beginning with a commitment to buy just 2 which was enlarged to a single squadron size of 12) and the content of their white papers since 2008 seemed fairly logical. I.e. tailoring defence to suit Australia's unique demographics. Focusing on modernising the navy while downsizing and specialising the regular army and trying to increase focus on the reserves. Considering that were a small country this made sense to me without breaking the bank. There was also quite a bit of focus on starting up a new cyber warfare agency. Other than that I have to concede that I find both parties somewhat similar when it comes to defence and any real answer to your question will only really become apparent when the Abbott govt releases their defence white paper. But I wouldn't have supported labour either had they chosen to make such a huge commitment to the JSF programme
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JellyDonut

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #148 on: May 22, 2014, 09:28:30 am »
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ok, that's not actually an argument about big businesses that i thought it was but it's pretty tight
« Last Edit: May 22, 2014, 09:40:22 am by JellyDonut »
It's really not that hard to quantify..., but I believe that being raped once is not as bad as being raped five times, even if the one rape was by a gang of people.

Inside Out

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Re: Budget 2014
« Reply #149 on: May 22, 2014, 10:08:35 pm »
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"I say reduce the centerline money  given to those who stay home doing nothing instead of increasing uni fees."

=> Actually, most people on Centrelink benefits do work; you're thinking of the Newstart payment (i.e. the dole). The dole is for people who are temporarily unemployed and looking for work. Sure, there are some dole bludgers, but its a small price to pay to ensure that those who need money to get by whilst looking for work get that.


Well either way something is obviously flawed with the system.
I'll give you a little example.
My parents work their ass off in factories yet because they meet (just) the limit, i don't get any youth allowance while people get 200 bucks of youth allowance a week because while both of their parents work the mum works in a nail salon, gets paid in cash and doesn't report it. Not to mention we have to pay 60 bucks for meds while they only pay five bucks.
Too many people cheat the system.