Definitely, your scenario actually sounds almost exactly like mine for spesh last year (which I’d say is a good comparison given the exams are weighted the same way). I was ranked equal first (but at an average public school, our highest spesh score the year before me was 32

), and thought I completely stuffed exam 1 (my best case was 30/40), and everyone seemed to be saying it was really easy. However, come exam 2, I found it surprisingly easy (although later realised I made some stupid mistakes on that one too), but still ended up with A+, B+, A+ and 39 SS. Although it’s hard to say exactly, i’d say our SAC and exam 1 scores are comparable, so just do your best for exam 1 and if you do better (which is without a doubt possible given I did it last year in spesh) you’ll get 37+. Good luck, and don’t let it get you down
Also, if it’s any consolation, I scored in the mid 40s for Methods last year and thought this years exam 1 was tougher than last years.