heres the question, it said initially so i assumed no time had elapsed
Yep - so, initially refers to the first trip, not the zero'th trip. Hence, my earlier explanation.
EDIT: As an aside, the methods course doesn't consider 3x3 transition matrices for markov chains (however, Further considers up to 4x4, so watch out for that). If you see questions like that, don't worry, just skip it - you can't be asked about those.
http://gyazo.com/676017328d1d0ad44b832d6645418019
To come up with the end result of Pr(3<X<6), are you supposed to round up/round down the values ( eg. 2.2465<X<6.0497)? some questions round up and some round down, im really confused
So, discrete data can be tricky in this instance. When you have the case of Pr(a < X < b), you always round INWARDS. So, let's consider the case of
)
. If you round the 4.5 up, you're no longer consider JUST when

, you're also consider the values when X is between 4.5 and 5. For discrete data, the points between 4.5 and 5 don't exist - but 5 does, so you've added a whole extra variable. So, to escape counting that extra variable, we must round inwards, so we'd get
)
.
This is only for discrete data - for continuous, you don't round at all, because continuous data can be between whole numbers (which is the basic definition of continuous data).