Just a quick question.
Pr(X=2 | X ≥ 1)
=Pr(X=2) / Pr (X ≥ 1) Right?
Not, [Pr(X=1) + Pr(X=2)] / Pr(X ≥ 1)?
So would Pr(X=3 | X ≥ 1) = [Pr(X=2) + Pr(X=3)] / Pr(X ≥ 1) ?
Pr(A | B) = Pr(A intersection B)/Pr(B)
so
Pr(X=2 | X ≥ 1) = Pr(X=2 intersection X ≥ 1)/Pr(X ≥ 1)
but the intersection of X=2 and X ≥ 1 is X=2, (to be in the intersection, X has to be greater than 1 AND equal to 2, which is the same as if it just had to be equal to 2)
so this simplifies to;
Pr(X=2)/Pr(X ≥ 1)
with the same formula,
Pr(X=3 | X ≥ 1) = Pr(X=3 intersection X ≥ 1)/Pr(X ≥ 1)
the intersection if X=3 and X ≥ 1 is X=3 (same logic as above)
so this one simplifies to;
Pr(X=3)/Pr(X ≥ 1)
(not sure where you got [Pr(X=2) + Pr(X=3)] / Pr(X ≥ 1) unless you're trying to add the two things together, then yes)